Debt defaults are significantly more likely when consequences hit far from home
Today, the world is threatened with a repeat of the 2008 financial meltdown – but on an even more cataclysmic scale. This time it is centred in Europe, rather than the United States. And this time, the financial mechanisms involved are not highly comple...
Comparisons between the current eurozone crisis and South Korea’s situation in the late 90s suggest that devaluation could be very a positive thing
On the surface, at least, the situation in the eurozone today and South Korea in the fall of 1997 look very different. Both are cases of severe economic crisis, to be sure. But the eurozone’s problems stem from high levels of government debt, while Sout...
This year has witnessed a global wave of social and political turmoil and instability, with masses of people pouring into the real and virtual streets: …
This year has witnessed a global wave of social and political turmoil and instability, with masses of people pouring into the real and virtual streets: the Arab Spring; riots in London; Israel’s middle-class protests against high housing prices and an i...
But are the ratings agencies an empire in decline?
They can bring down governments, impoverish entire nations by triggering sharp rises in the cost of their debt, and drive heads of state to rage and frustration. They are the credit rating agencies that, essentially, issue opinions on credit worthiness. P...
Amid all the discussion about the role of credit ratings in financial markets before and after the crisis, their actual performance has often been misunderstood, writes S&P’s Blaise Ganguin
Ratings are forward looking opinions of relative creditworthiness, so their performance can be measured by how well they correlated over time with defaults, and by the rate at which they change. While investors, fund managers and advisers may use credit r...
If an insurer sets a premium based on the average probability of a loss in an entire population, those at higher-than-average risk for a certain hazard will benefit most from coverage, and hence will be the most likely to purchase insurance for that hazard
In an extreme case, the poor risks will be the only purchasers of coverage, and the insurer can expect to lose money on each policy sold. This situation, referred to as adverse selection, occurs when the insurer cannot distinguish between members of good-...
Insurance is an economic institution that allows the transfer of financial risk from an individual to a pooled group of risks by means of a …
Insurance is an economic institution that allows the transfer of financial risk from an individual to a pooled group of risks by means of a two-party contract. The insured party obtains a specified amount of coverage against an uncertain event...
John Blackwell takes a look at various government plans
With the second year of the recession upon us, there are a growing number of administrations looking seriously at introducing programmes to help stimulate trade flows and drive economic recovery. While these programmes come in various guises, they all hav...
Once again, World Finance quizzes the experts on issues of the day
What do you think is the right framework for a healthcare system? Hassan Khan, founding partner, The Khan Partnership The provision of a high quality standard of care that is delivered through a market efficient system with insurance for all by the stat...
World Finance seeks out the most creative minds to help readers come to terms with the perfect financial storm…
Do you think governments are running the risk of flooding markets with cash? Paul Corcoran, Financial Director, Nord Stream This is a very extraordinary situation and governments are taking the necessary measures to prevent the situation from worsenin...
234.1% of GDP, pariah of debt markets, but with hopes for a healthy twelve months ahead
197.5%, hard-hit by the tsunami, and reeling from the internal corruption allegations
142.8%, possibly heading for default, and considered one of many eurozone bad boys
133.8%, deceptively, has a strong banking sector, but little more in an ailing economy
126%, hopelessly indebted banks and very little light at the end of a long and gloomy tunnel
119% of GDP, in need of reform, paying over 7% for its debt thanks to technocratic leadership
106%, to many an idyllic investment destination, a great borrower, repayer, and long term option
101%, no government for most of 2011 didn’t help a weak economy in dire need of stimulus
90%, high but it’s recovering from a long and protracted revolution and aiming high
82%, stronger countries like Germany are contaminated by the weakest. It could go on…