If knowledge is power, and power is money, we need to keep investing in more and better knowledge
Technical knowledge gives us the power to live better lives. Compare Europe today with the Roman Empire 2,000 years ago. We have industry, mass consumer goods, air transport and the tools for essentially universal education and healthcare. The Romans had ...
Is eastern growth required to instigate a full global recovery?
This is the year of the “Black Water Dragon,” an astrological cycle that indicates change, but with a measure of calm, sensibility, and prudence. The people and governments of Asia certainly hope that this proves to be the case, but uncertainties – ...
Generating credit during times of socio-political unrest proves a difficult task
More than three years after the global financial crisis, the world still has a nasty plumbing problem. Credit pipes remain clogged, and only central banks are working to clear them. But their ability to do so is waning, posing yet another set of risks for...
Downgraded forecasts look set to thicken the plot for smaller markets with high hopes
Emerging markets have performed amazingly well over the last seven years. In many cases, they have far outperformed the advanced industrialised countries in terms of economic growth, debt-to-GDP ratios, countercyclical fiscal policy, and assessments by ra...
2012 may be one of the most strenuous years for economic policy in living memory
The outlook for the global economy in 2012 is clear, but it isn’t pretty: recession in Europe, anaemic growth at best in the US, and a sharp slowdown in China and in most emerging-market economies. Asian economies are exposed to China. Latin America is ...
Economists worry that the current crisis could spell the end of globalisation
Hard economic times are correlated with protectionism, as each country blames others and protects its domestic jobs. In the 1930’s, such “beggar-thy-neighbour” policies worsened the situation. Unless political leaders resist such responses, the past...
In the long run, knowledge and technology are what matter for growth
There are four issues that matter in economics: growth, stability, sustainability and fairness. The developed world has, rightly, been engrossed with stability and sustainability of late; but we must also consider long-run growth. Growth is particularly i...
Deciphering economics is about more than just understanding the system itself
Economics is at the start of a revolution that is traceable to an unexpected source: medical schools and their research facilities. Neuroscience – the science of how the brain, that physical organ inside one’s head, really works – is beginning to ch...
France and Germany are running out of time in stalling Greece’s default
The Greek government needs to escape from an otherwise impossible situation. It has an unmanageable level of government debt (150 percent of GDP, rising this year by 10 percentage points), a collapsing economy (with GDP down by more than seven percent thi...
The US has always had its doomsayers, but its current challenges are perfectly surmountable
The United States is going through difficult times. Its post-2008 recovery has slowed, and some observers fear that Europe’s financial problems could tip the American and world economy into a second recession. American politics, moreover, remains gri...
234.1% of GDP, pariah of debt markets, but with hopes for a healthy twelve months ahead
197.5%, hard-hit by the tsunami, and reeling from the internal corruption allegations
142.8%, possibly heading for default, and considered one of many eurozone bad boys
133.8%, deceptively, has a strong banking sector, but little more in an ailing economy
126%, hopelessly indebted banks and very little light at the end of a long and gloomy tunnel
119% of GDP, in need of reform, paying over 7% for its debt thanks to technocratic leadership
106%, to many an idyllic investment destination, a great borrower, repayer, and long term option
101%, no government for most of 2011 didn’t help a weak economy in dire need of stimulus
90%, high but it’s recovering from a long and protracted revolution and aiming high
82%, stronger countries like Germany are contaminated by the weakest. It could go on…