Risk encyclopaedia

If an insurer sets a premium based on the average probability of a loss in an entire population, those at higher-than-average risk for a certain hazard will benefit most from coverage, and hence will be the most likely to purchase insurance for that hazard

Adverse selection

If an insurer sets a premium based on the average probability of a loss in an entire population, those at higher-than-average risk for a certain hazard will benefit most from coverage, and hence will be the most likely to purchase insurance for that hazard

In an extreme case, the poor risks will be the only purchasers of coverage, and the insurer can expect to lose money on each policy sold. This situation, referred to as adverse selection, occurs when the insurer cannot distinguish between members of good-...

Basic concepts of insurance

Insurance is an economic institution that allows the transfer of financial risk from an individual to a pooled group of risks by means of a …

Insurance is an economic institution that allows the transfer of financial risk from an individual to a pooled group of risks by means of a two-party contract. The insured party obtains a specified amount of coverage against an uncertain event...

Precautionary principles

Precautionary principles state that when there are threats to the environment, scientific uncertainty should not prevent prudent actions to prevent potentially large damage

In order to protect the environment the Precautionary Approach is widely applied: fundamentally, where there are potentially grave or irreversible threats, lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective...

Correlated risks

Correlated risks from natural disasters

Correlated risk refers to the simultaneous occurrence of many losses from a single event. Natural disasters such as earthquakes, floods, and hurricanes produce highly correlated losses: many homes in the affected area are damaged and destroyed...

Default risk

Default risk is the probability of default and helps potential lenders determine whether they should issue loans

The assessment of default risk is also critical in the valuation of corporate bonds and credit derivatives such as basket-default swaps. There is an important distinction between default risk under the actual probability measure and that under the risk-ne...

Scenario simulation methods

In financial risk management, two types of risk measurements are commonly used

The first type measures the sensitivities of portfolio value to some particular market variables. Usually, a portfolio’s risk profile can be described by a large number of those sensitivities. The second type is more comprehensive as it ...

Science of uncertainty

The public is increasingly alarmed over effects stemming from toxicants and industrial waste

Mismanagement of past environmental risk issues, by both scientists and policy makers have left the public distrustful. When risk controversies arise, a struggle may result between competing interests. The typical response from scientists and industry dur...

Credit value at risk

According to Jorion, banks allocate roughly 60 percent of their regulatory capital to credit risks, 15 percent to market risks, and 25 percent to operational risks

Consider a credit portfolio that consists of default-sensitive instru¬ments such as lines of credit, corporate bonds, and government bonds. The corresponding credit value-at-risk (VaR), is the minimum loss of next year if the worst 0.03 percent event ...

Alternative assets

Alternative asset categories have become popular with investors since the 2000–2001 recession

Until the 2008-2009 crash, leading University endowments and other institutional investors have achieved superior returns over the past decade by shifting a sizeable proportion of their capital to private investments. Over this period, numerous pension t...

Basel II to Solvency II

Without a sound risk allocation system, risk-related decisions are likely to be suboptimal and lead to higher volatility, following unanticipated negative events, and less investment.

  The rules for banking supervision at the Bank of International Settlement (BIS) in Basel have changed business in all OECD countries. Basel I was launched in 1988. The justification of a framework is based on the interdependence of banks and...

Securitisation/life

Securitisation is the isolation of a pool of assets and the repackaging of those assets for trading in capital markets. Securitisation began in the 1970s with US banks selling off pools of mortgage-backed loans

Securitisation is the isolation of a pool of assets and the repackaging of those assets for trading in capital markets. Securitisation began in the 1970s with US banks selling off pools of mortgage-backed loans. By 2002, some $450bn of assets had been sec...

Dynamic Financial Analysis

Dynamic financial analysis (DFA) is an application of mathematical modelling to businesses. DFA models the key elements that impact an organisation’s operations and simulates thousands of potential situations, determining the firm’s financial condition for each outcome.

Dynamic financial analysis (DFA) is an application of mathematical modelling to businesses. DFA models the key elements that impact an organisation’s operations and simulates thousands of potential situations, determining the firm’s ...

Enterprise Risk Management

Enterprise risk management (ERM) is a recent technique, practiced increasingly by large corporations in industries throughout the world.

Enterprise risk management (ERM) is a recent technique, practiced increasingly by large corporations in industries throughout the world. Sensible risk management flows from the recognition that a dollar spent on managing risk is a dollar cost to the...

Consumer products

Each year consumer products are involved in millions of injuries and thousands of fatalities. Responsibility for this rests with the manufacturers

Each year consumer products are involved in millions of injuries and thousands of fatalities. Responsibility for this rests with the manufacturers. Most developed countries have also established government agencies that provide regulatory oversight. In th...

Actuary

The word actuary derives from the Latin actuarius, who was the business manager of the Senate of Ancient Rome. It was applied to a mathematician of an insurance company in 1775 in the Equitable Life Insurance Society of London.

The word actuary derives from the Latin actuarius, who was the business manager of the Senate of Ancient Rome. It was applied to a mathematician of an insurance company in 1775 in the Equitable Life Insurance Society of London. Actuarial science This prov...

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Highest corporate tax
rates in Europe

European countries are scrambling to raise every last penny of funds through taxes. But some countries may have gone too far...

Belgium

Though all business taxes in Belgium can be paid online with little effort and preparation, the rates are still sky-high at 57.7 percent, including a staggering 50.8 percent total rate on profits only in social security contributions.

Belarus

In Belarus, a company spends up to 338 hours annually preparing for and paying ten different taxes and duties. The total tax rate has incredibly been lowered to 60.7 percent, from 117.5 percent in 2008.

France

A company in France pays seven different taxes and duties, the sum of which can amount to 65.7 percent of profits; though President François Hollande has announced a wave of business tax rate cuts coming up.

Estonia

A business in Estonia pays 67.3 percent of profits in tax, 37.2 percent exclusively in social security contributions. The country has gone against the grain in Europe by raising businesses taxes from 48.6 percent in 2008 to the current rates.

Italy

While corporate income tax (IRES) in Italy is limited to 38 percent of taxable profit, a company operating in Italy can expect to pay 14 other taxes and duties, including social security contributions, bringing their total payable tax to 68.7 percent of profits, according to the World Bank.

Norway

Norway taxes motor fuels twice, with a road use tax and a CO2 emissions tax. Combined with strikes in the energy sector that have curbed output, the price of gas at a local pump has soared to $10.12 per gallon.

Turkey

Though Turkey sits on the Suez Canal and neighbours many oil rich countries, the price of a gallon of average gas clocks in at $9.41 in Turkish pumps, because of a 60 percent share of taxes. 

Israel

Like Turkey, Israel is surrounded by oil-rich neighbours, but drills very little itself. Gas prices are controlled by the government, so about half of the $9.28 per gallon goes to taxes.

Hong Kong

There are few gas stations in Hong Kong, but the ones available charge up to 76 percent more per gallon than mainland China, where the government caps the cost of fuel. A gallon at the pumps will cost around $8.61 on the island.

Netherlands

Expensive labour costs make the Dutch petrol prices the dearest in Europe, at $8.26 per gallon; though the 57 percent tax add-ons don’t help.

The credit crisis

8 February 2007
HSBC warns of subprime mortgage losses

2 April 2007
New Century goes bus

14 September 2007
Wholesale markets have dried up

17 March 2008
Rescue of Bear Stearns

7 September 2008
Rescue of Fannie Mae

15 September 2008
Lehman Brothers file for bankruptcy

3 October 2008
US congress approves $700bn bailout

14 February 2009
$787bn stimulus approved by congress

 

The effects of the current financial crisis are global and irrefutable. With the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the domino effect of irresponsible public monetary policies, huge levels of unsustainable debt, and a deregulated financial sector, has escalated to the point where no corner of the globe has been left untouched.

1973 oil crisis

October 1973
Syria and Egypt launch an attack on Israel on Yom Kippur and set off a twenty day war;

1977
US President Carter creates Department of Energy, which develops the US strategic petroleum reserve

 

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) used their oil reserves as a weapon with the Arab Oil Embargo against those who supported Israel. By January 1974, world oil prices were four times higher than they were at the start of the crisis, especially in the US, and the shock led to a huge drop in the stock market with NYSE losing $97bn in just six weeks.  The embargo lasted five months, and the effects are still seen today.

German hyperinflation

1922-1923

Hyperinflation
1923 – 1924
Stabilisation

 

The trouble began when Germany missed a repatriation payment, worth about one third of the German deficit in this period. Inflation was already high but by 1923 it was raging. Prices doubled within hours, and by late 1923, it cost 200bn marks to buy a single loaf of bread. People burned money as it was cheaper than buying firewood. Germany eventually regained control of its economy when it introduced the Rentenmark into circulation in 1923, and then the Reichmark in 1924.

The Great Depression

1929-1933
The Great Crash
1934-1939
Recovery and Recession

 

After the decadence of the Roaring Twenties, the 1930s saw the biggest economic slump of all time. The stock market crashed on 29 October 1929, and optimism and decadent living tumbled along with the figures. The GDP fell from $103.6bn in 1929, to $66bn in 1934 and the subsequent years of recovery were the most dramatic in US history.

1907 bankers’ panic

1907
Otto Heinze and his brother Augustus Heinze bought shares of United Copper.

 

The stock market was already cautious over the tight money supply, but the US was thrown into a depression after the stock market fell nearly 50 percent from its peak in 1906. The Heinze brothers thought they could influence market shares but ended up bankrupting lenders that provided the financing to buy the stock. A chain reaction left nine institutions bankrupt. By February 1908, the panic was over and the government created the Federal Reserve system, to prevent banks from exercising too much control over the economy.