Master then servant

A paradigm shift is sweeping through Europe as former empires now turn to their ex-colonies for bailouts; inverting the dynamics between master and colony for the first time in history

A paradigm shift is sweeping through Europe as former empires now turn to their ex-colonies for bailouts; inverting the dynamics between master and colony for the first time in history

For centuries, Europeans were the masters of countries in Africa, Asia and the Americas. Countries including Great Britain, Spain, Portugal and France all played their part in colonialism. They split the continent at their whim and exploited copious resources for domestic needs.

After years of suppression many colonies have gained independence. When the European sovereign debt crisis hit some of the EU members were compelled to take actions previously inconceivable – namely, to seek help from their former vassals.

Portugal & Angola
Portugal’s failure to find a way out of its financial crisis has forced it to revert to drastic measures; the once highly commercial, colonial power had to swallow its pride and ask ex-vassal Angola for a bailout. Angola’s President Jose Eduardo Dos Santos told Portuguese Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho during a state visit at the end of December  that Angola is prepared to help Portugal cope with its financial crisis. But he said solutions must be advantageous for both countries and be “in a spirit of solidarity and mutual help.” Figures published by the Portuguese Institute of International Relations and Security showed that investments by Angolan authorities in Portugal rose from $2m in 2002 to $156m by 2009.

Angola’s extraordinary image makeover from a war-torn southern African nation to a burgeoning global oil authority has been remarkable. Angola has become Africa’s second largest oil producer after Nigeria. And it seems it is now prepared to invest its budding petrodollars in Portugal to help it meet privatisation obligations ordered by the IMF under its €80bn bailout. The country’s state-owned oil giant, Sonangol, which effectively serves as its sovereign wealth fund, is so powerful that shares in Lisbon’s largest private bank, Millennium, soared 37 percent in December on an unverified report that Sonangol intended to increase its stake.

Angolan companies, the majority of which are state-tied, have already invested extensively in Portugal and have bought large shares in oil company Galp, banks Millennium BCP and Banco BPI and cable operator Zon. It is estimated that Angolan investors own around 3.8 percent of the telecoms, banking and energy businesses in Portugal’s stock exchange, which makes them the country’s biggest non-European investor. In comparison, Portugal has seen unemployment levels rise to over 12 percent while its GDP dropped by 0.4 percent in the last quarter. Analysts even speculate that Portugal’s economy will contract by 2.8 percent in 2012, while resource-rich Angola’s will grow by 12 percent.

But life has not always been rosy for Angolans. The country gained independence in 1975, following 500 years of Portuguese control, and almost 15 years of armed struggle between the Angolan nationalist movement and Portuguese colonisers. Yet, since going their separate ways, the two countries have enjoyed uncommonly strong links, with around 7,000 Portuguese companies operating in Angola and over 100,000 expatriates working in key sectors such as oil, banking and construction. Trade relations between the two nations have also been healthy, with Portuguese exports to Angola totalling over €1.9bn by the end of last year. Angola is in fact Lisbon’s fifth-biggest export destination currently.

It remains to be seen how Eduardo dos Santos will help kick start the economy of his former colonialists. Speculators believe the most direct route would be for his country to partake in Portugal’s privatisation programme, which includes the off-loading of state holdings in grid operator Redes Energeticas Nacionais, utility group Energias De Portugal, airline TAP, and further shares in Galp. But one thing is certain; thanks to its former colonial masters this will provide the African nation a great chance to boost its foreign investments and prestige at a bargain price.

Spain & Chile
Spain finds itself in a similarly desperate position as its neighbour Portugal. But the fundamentals that will mark Spain’s new political and economic association with Chile are different. Its future will depend on whether Spain can demonstrate to Chile that it is still worth doing business with. This is particularly due to China’s emergence as a key commercial investor and the effect of the ongoing sovereign debt crisis in Spain. The relationship between the two countries has reached a crucial juncture following Spain’s change of government. José Zapatero’s socialist party was defeated in November by Mariano Rayoy’s more conservative People’s Party, paving the way for new diplomacy. Rayoy, who is due to visit Chile for the EU-Latin America and Caribbean Summit in the spring, will likely remind the Chileans of their bond to Spain with regards to culture, language and heritage.

Spain’s economic status has suffered a battering from credit agencies, which continue to predict a negative outlook ahead. Because of this, Spain will now have to rely more heavily on political diplomacy to convince Chile that a business partnership is still beneficial to both. In some respects it is. Chile, a growing force in renewable energy for instance, can benefit immensely from Spain’s expertise in the field. In return, Spanish companies are encouraged to invest, which will be advantageous to both nations. The same can be observed in other sectors, including finance and transportation.

Spanish companies realised early on that Latin America represents an incredible opportunity for growth and entered the market at a phenomenal rate during the 1980s and ‘90s. In Chile this was particularly evident in the transportation, tourism, finance and telecoms sectors. The move proved a highly lucrative one as the latest financial data from Spanish multinationals reveals profits in Chile and other parts of Latin America, and losses at home and in Europe. In telecoms specifically, Telefónica de España affiliate, Telefónica Internacional, has been one of the most aggressive companies. The group invested in the national phone companies of Chile and other Latin American nations, and now derives over 90 percent of its income from those operations.

A serious role reversal can also be observed in the migration patterns of the two countries. For many decades Spain was an attractive employment hub for poorer immigrants from its former colonies. Now, the one-time empire builders are witnessing legions of their frustrated home grown talents head to old dominions in pursuit of a better life. Chile, a country that has maintained close cultural and commercial ties with Spain, has drawn people in with its liberal residency requirements, low income tax, and economic rewards.

Spanish as the common language makes Chile the perfect hub for Spain’s first time job seekers and aspiring students. Chile is not unfamiliar business territory for the Spaniards thanks to mutual partnerships and associations. Mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures, and strategic plans have long replaced the sword and the cross. But it is clear that Spain once more regards its former colony as a potential source of wealth. Rayoy will now try to win Chile over by selling the idea that economic cooperation will lead to greater prosperity for Chile. It remains to be seen, however, if he will be more convincing than the Chinese.

Britain & India
India, once considered the jewel in the British crown, has come a long way since its days as a British colony. Similar to its European counterparts, Britain has gone from coloniser to underdog in less than 65 years. India achieved independence in August 1947 and has become one of the most exciting prospects in the Commonwealth – a fact that has not escaped the British. In light of this, the British have done well to play on the strong historic links between the two nations which has helped it maintain ongoing trade relations.

Once considered an underdeveloped country, India today provides the second largest labour force on the globe, a GDP of around $4trn, and has a vast number of Britons of Indian descents residing in the UK. Conveniently for their former colonisers, India remains a vital ally on all fronts, and the scope of development between the two nations is endless. It was just over 200 years ago that the rise of the cotton trade in the mills of Manchester and the port of Liverpool spelled the end for the Indian textile industry.

But things have changed since that era. Nowadays, and to the surprise of many, Indian companies essentially own large chunks of Britain’s old industrial north-west. For instance, India’s conglomerate Essar Energy purchased the Stanlow oil refinery near Halewood in 2011 for $350m, while Tata Chemicals made the 138-year-old Brunner Mond Group its largest overseas subsidiary in 2006. But it is not restricted to trade; founder member of the English football league Blackburn Rovers is owned by VH Group, an Indian poultry company.

Another sign of India’s growing economic muscle and the power shift became obvious in 2008 when India’s Tata Motors bought the once prestigious British automaker Jaguar Land Rover for a mere third of the original price. But India does not plan to stop there. At the end of 2011, around 20 Indian corporations, mainly from the energy, infrastructure and financial sectors, announced plans to set up base in Jersey – an area which already has an increased Indian presence.

Britain welcomes these oversees ventures which seem to have become part of a larger shopping spree by emerging market corporations. According to a recent World Bank report India’s share of cross border M&A’s climbed to 17 percent in the seven years to 2010, up from just four percent in the previous seven years. But despite these figures and several bilateral interactions, Britain is no longer India’s leading trading partner. China yet again has put a spanner in the works, having raced past the US, Japan and Britain to become India’s key nation for trade. Britain has a mammoth task on its hands trying to work its way back up to the top spot and the window of opportunity may well be closing rapidly, as India realises that, at least for now, they are holding all the cards.

France & Algeria
Over the past few months, there has been much talk regarding French plans to invest in Algeria. Investments are likely to include ventures from world-renowned companies including Lafarge, Renault and Total. France is hoping to build a cement plant in eastern Algeria with a capacity of two million tonnes per year and a total investment of €360m. Only in December a delegation of French business leaders consisting of around 60 CEOs visited Algeria to try tapping further into the market. It seems business leaders are tired of waiting for their politicians to resolve the country’s differences.

These projects will take place in spite of ongoing political divergences between the two nations. Their dealings have shown time and again that of all the historic relations with former vassals, the Franco-Algerian connection is one of the most politically and emotionally charged. Most blame this on Algeria’s invasion by the French in 1830, a long-lasting battle that led to violence among the indigenous population. The authorities of both countries have not been able to see beyond the shadows of history, which began with 130 years of French rule and came full circle with the war of liberation and Algeria’s independence in 1962.

Notwithstanding, France remains Algeria’s leading supplie, but its market share reached only 15.7 percent at the end of last year, compared to around 30 percent some 20 years ago. The French will thus have to try to strengthen and diversify cooperation through political diplomacy and dialogue; something they may well find tricky. There have been numerous attempts to change relations. Algeria’s President Abdelaziz Bouteflika once famously declared: “Algeria seeks to have extraordinary, non trivial, but exemplary and exceptional relations with France.” On the French side, former French President Jacques Chirac attempted to get affairs back on track in 2005 with a common historic treaty of friendship, but they failed to complete at the last hurdle.

In spite of several endeavours and a persistent readiness to connect, associations have remained somewhat strained. It will be interesting to see if France’s business leaders will now bring the harmony needed to rekindle trade relations with its former colony.

Britain & Hong Kong
Hong Kong, once the home to farmers and local fisherman, is today a buzzing and commercially aware metropolis where western influences meet old Chinese traditions.

The ex-British outpost, which became a special administrative region of China when Britain’s 99-year lease of the New Territories expired in 1997, has become a key banking and corporate centre and a conduit for China’s burgeoning exports.

What’s more, Hong Kong’s distinctive role as the only offshore centre for trading in the Renminbi, mainland China’s currency, will only boost its importance as a financial partner for its former colonial masters. This is an opportunity that has already been recognised by foreign companies including Russian bank VTB, which raised money in China by issuing RMB bonds in Hong Kong, and US corporations McDonalds and Caterpillar; competition that will force the British to work harder on their relationship with its former colony.

Hong Kong has turned into a gold mine in less than 15 years – all the more a reason for the British to keep alive their long-standing historical links with their former vassal. Given the enormous opportunities brought about by the global financial shift from West to East; Hong Kong is now truly competing with the big boys. Not only has it evolved to become a premier international financial centre since its reunification with China, it has also moved away from manufacturing. Gone are the grandeur days of “Made in Hong Kong.”

As well as being a major market in its own right, Hong Kong is also a phenomenal trading gateway to mainland China. Its business friendly environment, straightforward, low tax structure, and its linguistic links to both Britain and China are all advantages to UK corporations. Henceforth, UK companies will also profit from the free trade agreement Hong Kong has in place with China. The Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA) allows products of Hong Kong origin to receive tariff-free treatment in mainland China, while Hong Kong service suppliers can enter into the mainland market in a range of service areas.

The beauty of CEPA is that it is nationality-blind, which means, by setting up an operation in Hong Kong, a British enterprise can utilise the city as its platform to enter the infinite Chinese market. Hong Kong with its strong entrepreneurial ethos and a thorough comprehension of both Eastern and Western business cultures may well be the answer to David Cameron’s pledge to double bilateral trade with China by 2015.

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The May – June 2013 Issue

Highest corporate tax
rates in Europe

European countries are scrambling to raise every last penny of funds through taxes. But some countries may have gone too far...

Belgium

Though all business taxes in Belgium can be paid online with little effort and preparation, the rates are still sky-high at 57.7 percent, including a staggering 50.8 percent total rate on profits only in social security contributions.

Belarus

In Belarus, a company spends up to 338 hours annually preparing for and paying ten different taxes and duties. The total tax rate has incredibly been lowered to 60.7 percent, from 117.5 percent in 2008.

France

A company in France pays seven different taxes and duties, the sum of which can amount to 65.7 percent of profits; though President François Hollande has announced a wave of business tax rate cuts coming up.

Estonia

A business in Estonia pays 67.3 percent of profits in tax, 37.2 percent exclusively in social security contributions. The country has gone against the grain in Europe by raising businesses taxes from 48.6 percent in 2008 to the current rates.

Italy

While corporate income tax (IRES) in Italy is limited to 38 percent of taxable profit, a company operating in Italy can expect to pay 14 other taxes and duties, including social security contributions, bringing their total payable tax to 68.7 percent of profits, according to the World Bank.

Norway

Norway taxes motor fuels twice, with a road use tax and a CO2 emissions tax. Combined with strikes in the energy sector that have curbed output, the price of gas at a local pump has soared to $10.12 per gallon.

Turkey

Though Turkey sits on the Suez Canal and neighbours many oil rich countries, the price of a gallon of average gas clocks in at $9.41 in Turkish pumps, because of a 60 percent share of taxes. 

Israel

Like Turkey, Israel is surrounded by oil-rich neighbours, but drills very little itself. Gas prices are controlled by the government, so about half of the $9.28 per gallon goes to taxes.

Hong Kong

There are few gas stations in Hong Kong, but the ones available charge up to 76 percent more per gallon than mainland China, where the government caps the cost of fuel. A gallon at the pumps will cost around $8.61 on the island.

Netherlands

Expensive labour costs make the Dutch petrol prices the dearest in Europe, at $8.26 per gallon; though the 57 percent tax add-ons don’t help.

The credit crisis

8 February 2007
HSBC warns of subprime mortgage losses

2 April 2007
New Century goes bus

14 September 2007
Wholesale markets have dried up

17 March 2008
Rescue of Bear Stearns

7 September 2008
Rescue of Fannie Mae

15 September 2008
Lehman Brothers file for bankruptcy

3 October 2008
US congress approves $700bn bailout

14 February 2009
$787bn stimulus approved by congress

 

The effects of the current financial crisis are global and irrefutable. With the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the domino effect of irresponsible public monetary policies, huge levels of unsustainable debt, and a deregulated financial sector, has escalated to the point where no corner of the globe has been left untouched.

1973 oil crisis

October 1973
Syria and Egypt launch an attack on Israel on Yom Kippur and set off a twenty day war;

1977
US President Carter creates Department of Energy, which develops the US strategic petroleum reserve

 

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) used their oil reserves as a weapon with the Arab Oil Embargo against those who supported Israel. By January 1974, world oil prices were four times higher than they were at the start of the crisis, especially in the US, and the shock led to a huge drop in the stock market with NYSE losing $97bn in just six weeks.  The embargo lasted five months, and the effects are still seen today.

German hyperinflation

1922-1923

Hyperinflation
1923 – 1924
Stabilisation

 

The trouble began when Germany missed a repatriation payment, worth about one third of the German deficit in this period. Inflation was already high but by 1923 it was raging. Prices doubled within hours, and by late 1923, it cost 200bn marks to buy a single loaf of bread. People burned money as it was cheaper than buying firewood. Germany eventually regained control of its economy when it introduced the Rentenmark into circulation in 1923, and then the Reichmark in 1924.

The Great Depression

1929-1933
The Great Crash
1934-1939
Recovery and Recession

 

After the decadence of the Roaring Twenties, the 1930s saw the biggest economic slump of all time. The stock market crashed on 29 October 1929, and optimism and decadent living tumbled along with the figures. The GDP fell from $103.6bn in 1929, to $66bn in 1934 and the subsequent years of recovery were the most dramatic in US history.

1907 bankers’ panic

1907
Otto Heinze and his brother Augustus Heinze bought shares of United Copper.

 

The stock market was already cautious over the tight money supply, but the US was thrown into a depression after the stock market fell nearly 50 percent from its peak in 1906. The Heinze brothers thought they could influence market shares but ended up bankrupting lenders that provided the financing to buy the stock. A chain reaction left nine institutions bankrupt. By February 1908, the panic was over and the government created the Federal Reserve system, to prevent banks from exercising too much control over the economy.