IKBZ facilitates the growth of Myanmar’s insurance sector

The insurance sector in Myanmar has been active for quite some time, perhaps surprisingly so for those not familiar with the market. Following the signing of the peace treaty of Yandabo in 1826, which ended the First Anglo-Burmese War, many English insurance companies came to Burma to buy life insurance.

The Burma National Insurance Company and the Burma (Government Security) Insurance Company, owned by local companies, entered the insurance market in 1940 before the Second World War. By nationalising a local insurance company, the state-owned Union Insurance Board was established in 1952. All life insurance businesses were state-monopolised under the Union Insurance Board in 1959, and by 1964, the socialist government abolished all private insurance companies. From late 1969 to 1976, all insurance business activities were centralised under the Insurance Division of the People’s Bank of the Union of Burma. Under the Union Bank Law (1975), the insurance business was outsourced to the newly formed Myanmar Insurance (MI). It was in 1993 when the Myanmar insurance law empowered the MI enterprise to engage in all insurance business activities. The enactment of the insurance business law took place in 1996.

Although the market will likely prove lucrative for foreign insurers, regulatory risks loom large

The Insurance Business Supervisory Board launched a license application process for private insurance companies in November 2012 to diversify the provision of insurance services and to modernise the sector. However, it was 2013 that proved a landmark year in the history of the country’s insurance sector, marking the commencement in operation of 12 domestic insurers. We take immense pride that IKBZ Insurance was the first private insurer in Myanmar to get registered as a company bearing the registration number 001 on 25 May, 2013.

The present day
Myanmar’s underpenetrated insurance market was recently opened up to domestic private players, after decades of state monopoly. With an opening to foreign investment expected to follow, the country offers plenty of opportunities to multinational insurers.

The country is on the path of economic development and notable transformations have been witnessed in all sectors. IKBZ is proud to have been a part of this metamorphosis.

The year 2014 saw some eminent multinational insurers begin establishing their representative offices so as to be ideally positioned to enter the Myanmar insurance market as soon as it is opened to foreign investment. These companies include AIA, ACE, MetLife and Prudential, to name a few to have obtained authorisation from the insurance regulator.

Currently, there are 15 foreign insurance companies that have representative offices in Myanmar, and, among those, companies who have been in Myanmar for over three years were allowed to provide insurance within Myanmar’s special economic zone (SEZ).

Through these representative offices they can provide training and consultancy services to both domestic insurers and the country’s insurance regulator. This process will allow these multinationals to gain key strategic insights and contacts in the Myanmar insurance industry, and grant them an early-mover advantage that could be worth hundreds of millions in dollars once the market opens to foreign insurers.

Although the market will likely prove lucrative for foreign insurers, regulatory risks loom large. The existing Japanese firms, which have had representative offices in the country for over two decades, are only allowed to operate inside the SEZ and can’t operate in any other region. They will have to pay an annual fee of $30,000 to the government for their licenses, and are allowed to issue marine cargo, building risk, and cash transfer insurance policies.

Initially, the private insurers were only permitted to underwrite business in six of the 48 recognised insurance categories in Myanmar, while MI retained its monopoly over the remaining 42 categories. However with changing times, after having reviewed the performance of these private companies over the last two years, the insurance regulatory board jointly with MI decided to liberalise and allow these private insurers to do business with two more products – health insurance and inland marine cargo insurance.

For the masses
Next to the KBZ bank, IKBZ is the second largest business conglomerate within the KBZ group, catering to a wider customer base. Moreover, being associated with the KBZ Bank, we have the privilege of expanding our insurance business using the bank as one of the major marketing channels for selling the fire insurance products, which are a compulsory buy for any landed property loan offered to its customers in Myanmar.

Within a short span of time, we have earned a good reputation for our excellent performance and services delivered. We, as a company, dominate the largest market share in Myanmar with the highest amount of premium income compared to those of all other private insurance companies in Myanmar (see Fig. 1). Our diverse platform and strong capitalisation provide a stable market to our business partners across all lines of business.

Through our growing network and by using wider branches of KBZ Bank to reach out to our customers, we are within the reach of the majority of the population of Myanmar. The extensive knowledge and experience of IKBZ befitted many of our customers. Hassle free onboarding, media presence, promoting awareness, public seminars and word of mouth from our existing customers, all contribute towards our high customer acquisition rate which currently stands at around 72.5 percent. Currently with no price competition existing in the insurance market in Myanmar, we as a company can only compete for the client’s acquisition and retention through the efficient and excellent services we provide.

As an underwriting company, we make sure we follow simple yet effective underwriting process to address the needs of our customers. Only after proper risk assessment, the premium is charged, followed by the final step of the issuance of the policy to our customers. Attaining minimum turn-around time to issue policies is our key deliverable at the underwriting stage. This is achievable due to the in-house robust IT infrastructure, which helps smooth the operations of real time business by connecting all 14 branches with our head office in Yangon.

Myanmar

Catering to the service industry, effective claims management is yet another significant step. Claim settlement is integral to establishing an insurer’s relationship with its policyholders. With strong commitment to our customers, IKBZ responds effectively to every claim intimation. Our surveyors undertake due diligence to avoid fraudulent claims. Policyholders are indemnified, complying with the contractual promises in the policy. IKBZ’s reputation is built upon fast and fair claims handling.

What makes us a trustworthy brand is our efficient claim settlement, proactive customer support, and regular interactions with existing policy holders. This has helped us gain the confidence in our policy holders, who are pleased to continue their businesses with us. We have achieved a near-perfect customer retention rate of 98.5 percent, abiding by the three pillars of customer retention: keeping customers happy, reducing customer’s effort and delivering excellent and proactive customer service.

In times to come, we expect the insurance regulatory body of Myanmar to liberalise the market further and allow private insurers to have bancassurance as a preferred distribution channel, which may act as a boon for us, as we are associated with the country’s largest private bank. We also hope and foresee that the Insurance Business Regulatory Body will open the market further, having monitored the phenomenal progressive performance of the private insurance companies in the last two years and therefore, eventually allow them with more premium insurance products going forward.

As the consultancy giant McKinsey & Company predicts, Myanmar’s economy could more than quadruple in size to more than $200bn by 2030. Having said so, we believe that opportunities and huge potential in the insurance industry will also accelerate for private insurers in the near future.

Emerging risk
Growing business gives rise to an increase in risk appetite, exposing the insurers to a sharp rise in losses. With the evolving risk environment, insurers must be prepared to merge proactive measures of risk management with the traditional standard protocols and approaches, to counter the losses. Risk education, co-insurance, re-insurance and a well-informed task force – the pillars of insurance – will help the insurers to develop innovative, customer-centric and market-penetrating customised insurance solutions.

With the advent of technology, insurers can now interact more closely with its customers, and are able to understand their needs. Insurance companies should shift the focus from risk, ratings and products to understanding customer data analytics, and offer risk advice and prevention services to customer, and customised solution to the customer.

New talents must be introduced into the business periodically to build a diverse workforce, promoting fresh ideas and innovation. These are the key to performance enhancement of the business and providing a better customer satisfaction.

Success doesn’t make us rest on our laurels. As a key contributor to the Myanmar insurance industry we must scale greater heights by providing products and services that exceed customer expectations. Quality has always been our watchword and will remain so forever.

Standing out from the crowd

The past few years have seen markets fluctuating. Often, when stock markets are discussed as being turbulent, we mean deterioration; but over the last few quarters that hasn’t strictly been the case. Insurers and their investment strategists have returned to more comfortable domains in which returns are guaranteed.

For those buying into insurance policies, both private and institutional insurances have encountered a higher standard of performance, deliverables, and customer service. Following the downturn, many insurers struggled, but those who managed to weather the storm have realised a new way of fulfilling client needs. A great lesson has been learnt in customer retention – not standing still but ensuring ongoing, better relations.

Regulation control
Across financial services, firms have had to deal with tightening regulations while offering better returns to investors. While new capital buffers make sense from a worst-case scenario point of view, those funds could be used to sustain and create more business. And as regulations continue to evolve in national boundaries, organisations – especially multinational organisations – have struggled to keep business on track while complying with the shifting hordes of legislation.

Research into markets has proven this to be the case. In its recent report in tandem with PwC, the Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation (CSFI) argues that regulation has provided a continued and disruptive influence on the market: “Regulation is once again a prominent banana skin across all segments of the industry. The latest wave of regulatory change is not only creating huge operational disruption, but also calling into question longstanding strategic certainties. Costs, prices and returns could soon become unsustainable if the changes aren’t managed effectively.”

With the sheer volume of regulations impacting every aspect of business, organisations have had to reassess the way they conduct themselves in the market. And while a number of the enforced regulations are long-term in nature, as the CSFI report suggests, there are many changes that have been enforced with immediate effect that have led to substantial operational rearrangement.

The report goes on to highlight the cumbersome nature of many of the regulations, and the impact this is having on sentiment: “Concern is driven by the quantity of regulatory reform at all levels, in particular the EU’s Solvency II Directive. The fear is that these initiatives are loading the industry with costs, and distracting management from the task of running profitable businesses, as well as heightening compliance risk.”

It is in this face wave of regulation and legislation that firms must perform to the best of their abilities, while aiming to recover and rebuild following the slowdown in financial markets – a tough task for even the most able firm.

Strong in-house sentiments
And yet, many organisations are seeing the possibilities before the market. In its annual insurance outlook for the year, Swiss Re has identified challenges with accompanying opportunities. The firm’s analysis suggests that globally, the market will show signs of improvement, albeit different regions are showing mixed signs. Despite interest rates rising in many regions, long-term investments may struggle to pay out decent yields. Non-life premiums will rise by around 1.45 percent in advanced economies, while emerging markets will see a growth of eight percent in the sector. Across the board, life premiums will rise by four percent for the year, while property catastrophe reinsurance will remain under pressure. So, while clawing back into investment opportunities is proving difficult, it seems that going back to the core business of purely serving clients while improving within that market is a on the horizon and a distinct focus area for insurance providers.

Searching for yields in financial markets has been difficult over the last few years. With bond markets showing some signs of recovery in certain geographies there may be options ahead, but the stagnation that has stifled markets in the last few years generally riffles on.

A lifetime promise
Each segment of the insurance markets has been presented with a unique challenge to overcome between now and the next round of regulations. In the life insurance sector, central bankers’ persistent reliance on low interest rates has hurt saving product potential and investment returns. Other concerns are associated with the structure of the industry and political interference in the form of pension and healthcare reform. For non-life insurers, the growth of cyber risk has raised concerns for many practitioners, as underwriting online unknowns becomes more and more difficult to quantify. The segment has also become more and more aware of climate change over the last few years, as it has with catastrophe risk – the two of course being entwined. Reinsurers have become concerned with new types of capital and excessive capacity from sources such as hedge funds and other equity providers. On top of that, issues have been raised from a number of quarters about a lack of ability in risk management across financial services in general.

Concerns raised by brokers and intermediaries have been illuminating insofar as they have highlighted the need to recognise the changes hitting the industry. Recent reports have suggested that change management and a tighter focus on distribution channels are of utmost importance for brokers aiming to evolve with their clients’ requirements. A sign of the times perhaps that preparedness is one area considered lacking in many firms – understandable given the issues confronting managers in an ever-changing regulatory environment. In some cases, clients and reinsurers have identified a tendency in insurers to react to change a little slowly, causing knock-on ramifications for others in the industry, and a perception of a lack of determination and resources. One reinsurance provider however, recently pinned that on the influence of legislators, in that ‘over-regulation stifles creativity’. As organisations and their managers come to grips with the changing industry, surely regulators will produce a forward-looking and diverse marketplace?

At the same time, uncertainty within geopolitics has pushed up premiums and kept companies on their toes. The nuclear deal with Iran has suggested a dialogue may take place soon, but with indecision surrounding the future of the region, few multinationals are yet to take the next step in moving into the market. China’s ambivalence over the yuan has raised question marks over much of Asia, as Greece continues to influence much of the narrative in Brussels while Brazilian growth stifles, forcing economies across South America to look hesitant.

With the many challenges facing the industry forcing changes, insurance players have re-evaluated the way they do business. Many have disappeared in that process. Here, we celebrate those firms that have successfully navigated the year’s trials in the World Finance Global Insurance Awards, 2015. We’ve scoured the globe to once again uncover the top national performers in each sector, with the judging panel putting together a list of those firms who stand out from the crowd.

Global Insurance Awards 2015

Argentina

General
Caja de Seguros

Life
BNP Paribas Cardif

Australia

Life
BT Financial Group

Austria

General
UNIQA Insurance Group

Life
Sparkassen Versicherung

Bahrain

General
Bahrain Kuwait Insurance

Life
Life Insurance Corp International

Bangladesh

General
Green Delta Insurance Company

Life
MetLife

Belgium

General
Ethias

Life
Argenta

Brazil

General
Allianz Brazil

Life
Brasilprev

Bulgaria

General
Armeec Insurance

Life
Sivzk (Tumico)

Canada

General
Intact

Life
Manulife

Caribbean

General
General Accident

Life
Scotia life

Chile

General
ACE Group

Life
Sura

Colombia

General
Liberty Seguros

Life
Bolivar

Costa Rica

General
Assa

Life
Adisa

Cyprus

General
Royal Crown Insurance

Life
CNP Cyprialife

Denmark

General
Topdanmark

Life
Sampension

Ecuador

General
Seguros Sucre

Life
ACE Group

Egypt

General
Misr Insurance

Life
Suez Canal Insurance

Finland

General
OP Pohjola

Life
Nordea Life Assurance Finland

France

General
Covea

Life
AXA Assurance

Germany

General
HDI-Gerling

Life
Zurich

Greece

General
Interamerican P&C

Life
NN Hellas

Hong Kong

General
AXA General Insurance

Life
HSBC Insurance (Asia-Pacific)

Hungary

General
Allianz Hungary

Life
Magyar Posta Életbiztosító

India

General
ICICI Lombard

Life
Max Life Insurance

Jordan

General
Middle East Insurance Company

Life
Jordan Insurance Company

Italy

General
Unipol Assicurazioni

Life
Poste Vita

Kazakhstan

General
Nomad Insurance

Life
JSC Kazkommerts Life

Kenya

General
CIC General Insurance

Life
British American Insurance Company

Kuwait

General
Kuwait Insurance Company

Life
Gulf Insurance & Reinsurance Company

Liechtenstein

General
Vienna Insurance Group

Life
Baloise Life

Luxembourg

General
AXA Assurance

Life
Swiss Life

Malaysia

General
MSIG Insurance (Malaysia)

Life
AIA

Malta

General
Gasanmamo

Life
HSBC Life

Mexico

General
GNP

Life
Seguros Monterrey New York Life

Myanmar

General
IKBZ Insurance

Life
IKBZ Insurance

Netherlands

General
Achmea

Life
Srlev NV

New Zealand

General
TOWER

Life
Asteron Life

Nigeria

General
Custodian and Allied Insurance

Life
AXA Mansard Insurance

Norway

General
SparBank 1

Life
Nordea Liv

Oman

General
Oman United Insurance

Life
National Life

Pakistan

General
Adamjee Insurance

Life
EFU Life

Panama

General
Assa

Life
Pan America Life

Peru

General
Rimac Seguros

Life
Pacifico Seguros

Philippines

General
Charter Ping An Insurance Corporation

Life
Pru Life

Poland

General
UNIQA

Life
MetLife TUnZiR

Portugal

General
Allianz Portugal

Life
Ocidental Companhia Portuguesa de Seguros de Vida

Russia

General
AlfaStrakhovanie

Life
Renaissance Zhizn Insurance Company

Saudi Arabia

General
Bupa

Life
Medgulf

Serbia

General
Generali Osiguranje Srbija

Life
Generali Osiguranje Srbija

South Korea

General
Samsung

Life
Hanwha Life

Sri Lanka

General
Janashakthi

Life
Ceylinco Life Insurance

Sweden

General
Trygg-Hansa

Life
Alecta

Switzerland

General
Swiss Mobiliar

Life
Swiss Life

Taiwan

General
Chung Kuo

Life
Fubon Life Insurance

Thailand

General
The Viriyah Insurance

Life
SCB Life Assurance

Turkey

General
Zurich Sigorta

Life
Garanti Emeklilik ve Hayat

UK

General
Allianz UK

Life
Legal & General

US

General
Progressive Corporation

Life
Lincoln Financial Group

Vietnam

General
Bao Viet

Life
Bao Viet Life

Green Delta Insurance Company works to provide for all of Bangladesh

Opportunities in the Bangladesh insurance industry are as vast and undertapped as they were a half century ago, that’s according to Farzana Chowdhury, Managing Director and CEO of Green Delta Insurance Company (GDIC). Irrespective of the country’s political and economic challenges, the industry boasts much in the way of potential, and it shows no signs of slowing up in the years ahead. We spoke to Chowdhury about the country’s changing insurance industry and GDIC’s place within it.

How has the insurance industry developed in Bangladesh?
Despite being among the most populous countries in the world, with a population density (individuals per sq km) of about 1,200, insurance penetration is a mere one percent or so. However what gives us the confidence that the scenario is changing much faster today than in the past is that structural long-term drivers are firmly in place, including the demographic dividend, sustained economic performance, rising household incomes and an easing of monetary policy. The Bangladeshi insurance sector continues to evolve as it adapts to the ongoing regulatory, socio-economic and political changes.

Most of the population, especially at the grassroots level, do not even know there is something
called insurance

Why is there a general lack of awareness regarding insurance in the country?
The insurance industry is at a very nascent stage. Most of the population, especially at the grassroots level, do not even know there is something called insurance. Concurrent with this challenge are the facts that formal social security is almost non-existent, quality healthcare costs are extremely high and typically out of reach of the masses, and, in the case of corporate contingencies, especially in the small- to medium-sized segments, they tend to lose almost everything without any hope of getting back on their feet.

The reason lies in the mindset of the population. Most consider this product as something that’s good to have rather than a necessity. In Bangladesh, the number of insurance companies is more than the necessity, meaning that companies indulge in unethical business practices, which has triggered a negative perception in consumers’ minds.

How do you intend to address this issue?
Having been in this market for the past three decades, we understand the value of insurance and realise its immense contribution towards providing financial, as well as social security. So when we say that our intent is to provide insurance for all, what we’re really saying is that we are focused on safeguarding not just the interests of the citizens of our country but ringfencing the interests of the nation too.

Over the past decade or so, we were in the institution-building mode and focused on growing awareness on the potential benefits of insurance for our countrymen. In doing so, our topline grew substantially from BDT 515.30m in 2004 to BDT 2681.37m in 2014, positioning us as the largest and most trusted non-life insurance enterprise in Bangladesh.

In the next phase of our evolution, which began sometime in early 2013, we’re focusing on controlled growth with a concurrent focus on profitability. I am happy to state that this overarching objective is already bearing results. Hence, 2014 can be summarised as the year during which we focused on the quality of our portfolio and, coupled with a tight control on our operating costs, we recorded a 4.46 percent growth in our net profit after tax to BDT 239.25m.

Could you tell us how Green Delta has developed and grown over the years?
GDIC is one of the leading private non-life insurance companies in Bangladesh. Incorporated in 1985 as a public limited company, under the Companies’ Act 1913, business started in 1986, with a paid up capital of BDT 30m. Now, GDIC has amassed about BDT 807m with a credit rating of AAA and ST1. GDIC holds the proud distinction of being the first ever company to raise its paid up capital to such a level.

Under the charismatic leadership of Nasir A Choudhury and myself, GDIC has been leading the winds of change in the insurance industry of the country in terms of service standard, innovative products and legislative restructuring. After a glorious journey of three decades in the insurance sector, GDIC has now become a big family of visionary board members, 600 plus committed staff, numerous valued clients and thousands of esteemed shareholders. By now, Green Delta has been able to uphold the brand image as a prompt claim settler, superior service provider, and diversified product supplier – almost like a one-stop solution provider in the non-life insurance sector in the country.

You aim to provide insurance for everyone. How do you deliver on this promise?
To offer one example, women constitute around 52 percent of our population and to cater to this large and growing segment, the time was just right to launch a product exclusively for them. Nibedita is the first such product in the non-life insurance industry of Bangladesh focused on providing comprehensive coverage exclusively to women (with trauma allowance). Hence, bundled with the product, we also provide counselling and therapy sessions for their holistic well-being. Nibedita is also not just a standalone comprehensive insurance product but an assurance that women can cope with the crisis at hand and are able to restore their confidence.

To give another, Shudin is a health insurance programme exclusively covering workers in the ready-made garments (RMG) sector. This product is clearly in response to the Rana Plaza tragedy of 2013 where over 1,100 workers were killed and several others injured when the building, largely comprising RMG factories, collapsed. We are also actively working with the Bangladesh Garments Manufacturers Association and the International Labour Organisation to co-develop a policy that is truly effective for the target segment and help them realise the underlying value of insurance.

Thus we address national issues and come up with new and innovative products to cater to the Insurance need of people from all walks of life.

Bangladesh GDP growth

What does the future hold for Green Delta?
Despite a politically and economically challenging environment, the Bangladeshi economy has consistently reported an average of six percent growth over the past few years, making it among the fastest growing economies in the world (see Fig. 1). Given the high growth and increasing income levels, the household income flowing into insurance is expected to continue to increase in the future. One demographic advantage in Bangladesh is that the working population is expected to rise in the coming years, translating into an increasing customer base for the industry.

For the coming financial year, growth is now projected at 6.4 percent, slightly higher than earlier forecast, as a revival in worker remittances is expected to bolster private consumption, while private sector investment will pick up on greater political stability. Moreover, the government will continue its efforts to step up project implementation. Currently we are seeing a consistent 13-15 percent growth every year in the insurance industry. The consistency of the growth gives us hope regarding a brighter future of the industry. However, if the growth in the sector reaches 20 percent every year, that will be remarkable. We are determined to play a vital role in helping this industry reach the desired growth. The market penetration of insurance is currently less than one percent. With our flagship project ‘insurance for everyone’ and the government’s recent praiseworthy initiatives related to safety net insurance to give coverage to the bottom of the pyramid group, we are hopeful regarding the possibilities of a five percent market penetration within five to 10 years’ timeframe.

GDCI holds 13-14 percent of the market share of the insurance industry and is the leader of the non-life insurance sector in the country. In the decade ahead, if our projections work out properly, we will be more aggressive in the market and aim to capture the 22-25 percent of the market share. But we don’t want to grow alone; we want the whole industry and the other insurance companies to grow with us. That will eventually help us realise the concept ‘insurance for everyone’.

Russia’s Irkutsk Oil becomes one of the biggest producers of oil and gas

Irrespective of the challenges facing fossil fuels in Russia today, Irkutsk Oil has strengthened its position as one of the leading independent upstream producers, not just in East Siberia but also in the whole of Irkutsk region. Within the last four years, it has boosted per day production by 630 percent, and last year produced 4.1 million tons of oil and condensate.

According to an industry expert, Irkutsk Oil has become “the largest company among the small players” and led the charge to boost output in East Siberia. “I want to put East Siberia on the map as an oil producing region”, said Nikolay Buynov, Chairman of the Board of Directors. “We are confident that our joint efforts will not only contribute to the growth of our business, but also to the socio-economic development of the areas where the company operates.”

On June 5 2015 Irkutsk Oil produced its 15-millionth ton of hydrocarbons since it began operations in November 2000 – achieved propitiously in the lead-up to the company’s 15th year in business – demonstrating the solid growth that Irkutsk enjoys to this day.

In the first half of 2014 crude oil prices were over $100 per barrel, only to later lose more than half of that value throughout the second half of the year

In 2015, it plans to produce up to six million tons of crude oil, increasing production by about 50 percent. In order to meet production growth, the company has launched plans to increase the capacity of the Markovsky uploading facility from 3.4 million to seven million tons. The expanded and modernised facility will feature three storages, measuring 20,000 cubic meters each, along with sieves, pumps, a power supply system, and other facilities.

Even in a challenging climate, the company continues to expand its resource base. In 2014, licenses for the geological study, exploration, and production of hydrocarbons at the Verkhnetirsky and the Verkhnenepsky blocks were bought at the state-run auctions. Both of the new licence blocks are located in the Irkutsk region and border licenced blocks already owned by the company, bringing the total number of licence blocks and fields in Irkutsk Oil’s portfolio to 22.

The company’s impressive development has not gone without recognition, and the company was included in the list of Russia’s top-30 fastest-growing companies, receiving the honorary second place. Organised by the most prominent Russian business news agency RosBusinessConsulting (RBC), the journalists who conducted this research added that it was very positive young fast-growing companies such as Irkutsk Oil that are capable of influencing industries and sectors, as well as creating new markets in the current economic environment.

Using advanced technology
The good news comes as a result of the company’s growing number of producing wells, with exploration and production drilling spanning nine fields and licence blocks in the Irkutsk region and the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), about 70 percent of which is located at the Yaraktinsky field. The amount of drilling has increased in comparison with 2013, up from 177,000 to 300,000 in metres. Moreover, the company applies modern stimulation techniques and enhanced oil recovery methods in problematic wells.

In 2014, Irkutsk Oil began to carry out pilot testing of a new sulphur removal unit at the Yaraktinsky field. The new facility enables the company to remove some sulphur impurities contained in crude oil of certain wells at this location. The first stage aims to reach the apex of the total processing capacity of sour oil, achieving up to 600,000 tons per year. In the second stage of production in 2016 Irkutsk Oil plans to extend its capacity up to 1.3 million tons per year. The company is also considering an extension of neighbouring facilities, assuming further production will increase. The new facilities will enable the building of additional wells that were previously unattainable, due to abnormal sulphur content in the collective operation.

Last year was not only a year of record highs, but it also proved to be one filled with challenges. In the first half of 2014, crude oil prices were over $100 per barrel, only to later lose more than half of that value throughout the second half of the year. The company had to quickly adjust and react to the sharp decline in oil prices and the volatility associated with the roller-coaster ride of exchange rates, coupled with the deteriorating lending capacity of financial institutions constrained by sanctions. The group’s low financial leverage, growing production, and smart allocation of resources helped it to navigate in the stormy waters of the economic turbulence in Russia.

“We step in the difficult way, and that is not only because of the oil crash”, said Buynov. “In 2017, the production at the Yaraktinsky field may reach the maximum level and then it could start to steadily decrease. To lift output we plan to apply the advanced technologies, enhancing oil recovery such as water-alternating-gas injection.” Moreover, Irkutsk Oil is getting ready to pay more taxes for mineral extraction – the tax incentives for Yaraktinsky field expire at the end of 2017. “But there’s no time to stop. We just have to get on with our work. We become stronger, sturdier and more independent with each coming year”, said Buynov.

The company is facing many challenges, mostly in connection with production growth, that require it to quickly adopt to new and advanced technologies. Motivated professionals are indispensable in facing and overcoming these challenges. In a bid to improve HR management quality, Irkutsk Oil began to strengthen its management team and employ highly skilled specialists. “This improvement claims attention because new employees should be involved in business processes as quickly as possible”, noted Tatyana Lukachich, the Deputy Director General for HR.

She added that Irkutsk Oil implements measures directed at the improvement of the HR management quality, the creation of a transparent staff recruitment process, the efficient evaluation of the capabilities and performance of the company’s personnel, as well as the implementation of health and social safety programmes. The company’s HR policies create a favourable environment for employees’ self-improvement, new skill development, and career advancement.

A worker monitors gas pressure at Irkutsk’s main oil and gas condensate development, Irkutsk, East Siberia
A worker monitors gas pressure at Irkutsk’s main oil and gas condensate development, Irkutsk, East Siberia

Keeping operations fresh
The company is also focused on advancing staff training. In 2014, a corporate training centre was created to provide educational classes, as well as occupational and fire safety training. It also cooperates with many higher educational institutions and organisations in Irkutsk, Moscow, and other cities that provide training, re-training and qualification development to personnel. Professional training courses are screened and selected to maximise their effectiveness and to provide employees with the required knowledge and expertise.

Therefore, by the end of the 2015, the company plans to create a list of appropriate training courses for every employee. “We are going to improve the system of staff training and development, making it transparent and constant”, said Lukachich. “It allows us to attract and retain motivated, skilled personnel”. The company is well known as a desirable employer: in 2014, Europe’s leading staffing agency SuperJob placed the company repeatedly among the top in a list of more than 850,000 top employers.

Despite a great and growing number of socio-economic challenges, Irkutsk Oil continues to implement large-scale environmental projects in areas where the company operates. It uses its best efforts to preserve favourable conditions for the environment and promote the rational use of natural resources at all of its fields and licence blocks.

In particular, the company applies maximum effort to industrial and household waste effective management. It has installed systems for the thermal destruction of oil sludge and household waste. Furthermore, Irkutsk Oil has built and operates a solid waste landfill, which is used free of charge by the local village Verkhnemarkovo. In 2015, it began preparations for building a solid waste landfill at the Yaraktinsky field. Moreover, the landfill will receive drill cuttings, and Irkutsk Oil plans to construct a wastewater treatment facility at this same location. The company strives to protect both surface and subsurface water resources and minimise its impact on water resources at all stages of exploration and production.

Irkutsk Oil’s environmental projects and its rational use of natural resources have been acknowledged by the World Wildlife Fund and the Creon Group, which included the company in Russia’s top five environmentally responsible oil companies in 2014. The company landed fifth in the ranking among 19 leading Russian oil and gas companies by the World Wildlife Fund. The companies were compared using 28 measures in categories such as environmental management, environmental impact, information disclosure, and transparency.

Both the World Wildlife Fund and Creon Group recognised Irkutsk as the third best company for environmental impact. According to the organisers of the project, the purpose of this rating is to promote effective use of hydrocarbon resources, environmental protection, and the socially responsible management of business in Russia, all of which Irkutsk Oil does to great effect.

Owning the market

What happens when governments own markets? When prices are backed by the state for political reasons? Where the state does everything it can to encourage people to make highly leveraged bets on the market – and steps in to intervene whenever something goes wrong? Where as a result investors, most of whom are complete amateurs, are convinced that prices can only go up? And where a decline in the market will affect not just asset prices, but the entire economy – because so many people are involved in the game?

Of course, all this goes against the spirit of free-market capitalism. You might think that it could only happen in a state-run economy, like China, with its persistent attempts to prop up the stock market. But it also applies in non-Communist countries – including Canada.

As shown by the Chinese stock market, the state can back up prices to a degree, but at some point
reality sets in

Some two years ago, I wrote in this column that Canadian house prices were completely out of whack with standard metrics. According to The Economist, prices at the time were overvalued by 78 percent in relation to rents (the highest in their survey of 18 countries), and 34 percent relative to income. Institutions such as the OECD and IMF were yelling warnings from (and to) the rooftops. I concluded that: “Canadian housing is in a bubble, caused in large part by the existence of extremely low interest rates… Instead of a crash, expect a gentle sag. At least until interest rates go up, as they eventually will.”

So far, according to the Teranet index, that prediction has proved accurate in three of the top-five housing markets, with Montreal, Ottawa, and Calgary peaking in mid-2014, even though the benchmark interest rate has actually halved to 0.5 percent. However, Toronto and Vancouver have continued to bloat. Earlier this year, the average price of a detached house surpassed a million dollars in Toronto, and twice that in Vancouver. This despite the fact that Canada’s economy was in a funk after the collapse in its main export, oil.

There are clearly a number of factors involved. For example, foreign ownership in these cities has probably helped drive up prices, though no one knows for sure because data on said foreign ownership is not available. But perhaps the main reason has less to do with the invisible hand of supply and demand, than with the visible, if heavily-camouflaged, hand of the state.

Troubled assets
For many decades house prices in the US and Canada tracked quite closely, but they diverged significantly in the aftermath of the 2007 financial crisis – instead of crashing like over the border, Canadian prices dipped only slightly before resuming their glorious upwards march. This success was attributed to a robust banking system, coupled with a mythical cultural aversion to excessive debt. However there was more to the story than that.

As investment advisor Hilliard Macbeth notes in his timely book When the Bubble Bursts: Surviving the Canadian Real Estate Crash, the Canadian Government is heavily involved in the housing market because they provide subsidised mortgage insurance for banks. This is rather like allowing stock market investors to borrow from banks, and guaranteeing that if things go pear-shaped the state will step in. During the crisis, the government launched an Insured Mortgage Purchase Programme, which dramatically extended this insurance. At $69bn, its scale was in relative terms the same as the famous TARP in the US, but it received far less attention or debate. They also temporarily lengthened maximum mortgage periods to 40 years (though that has since been scaled back to 25) and changed the rules so that homebuyers could raid their tax-free pension accounts to make a down payment.

As in many other countries, interest rates were set to emergency levels. When the Bank of Canada cut its rate even further in 2015, this crashed the Canadian dollar, but allowed the house-buying spree to continue unabated, which was convenient for a fall election. Residential investment has ramped up so that it now accounts directly for about seven percent of GDP, more than the 6.3 percent reached at its peak in the US (which has now collapsed to about half that level). Cities such as Toronto and Montreal are awash in freshly completed condominiums looking for buyers. Construction is so important that any slowdown will hurt the economy, which will reduce housing demand, which in turn will reduce construction in a negative feedback loop.

Handle with care
So how long can the last remnants of this real estate boom continue? According to Hyman Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis, a marker for the final stages of a credit cycle is the appearance of buyers who – like the NINJA borrowers with ‘no income, no job and no assets’ of the US sub-prime crisis – can’t service interest payments but rely on the borrowed asset increasing in value. In Canada, you can buy a home with only five percent down, but in 2015 more than a quarter of down payments from first-time buyers were themselves borrowed (not sure where they got the down payment for those loans). If buyers can’t afford the down payment, maybe they can’t afford the house.

An even stronger indicator, though, is total faith in the market. As Minsky put it, “Success breeds a disregard of the possibility of failure.” Or as one of Macbeth’s investment clients told him, “Real estate always goes up in value.” Risk seems lowest when everyone is in perfect agreement, which of course is when risk is highest.

As shown by the Chinese stock market, the state can back up prices to a degree, but at some point reality sets in. And with near-zero interest rates, and rates expected to rise in the US, there is little more that the government can do, short of actually buying all those condominiums themselves – it’s hard to arrest ‘malicious’ short-sellers, though they could crack down on renters.

This leaves them in a bit of a quandary. When speaking about Iraq, Colin Powell used to cite the Pottery Barn rule: “You break it, you own it.” The converse is that, if you own it, it’s your problem if you drop it. As the result of a long series of policy measures designed to keep homeowners happy, the state now owns the Canadian housing market. When the central bank eventually tries to raise interest rates, it will be hoping that it doesn’t shatter

China’s middle class becomes world’s biggest

Global Wealth 2015: The Year in Review, a new report published by the Credit Suisse Group, reveals that the US is no longer home to the largest middle class on the planet. Overtaking its place for the first time is emerging economy China with 109 million adults now comprising its middle class – a clear margin ahead of the US’s 92 million. Home to one fifth of the world population, China now accounts for almost 10 percent of global wealth.

[T]he study also found that the inequality gap has widened this year

The shift indicates that the trend of a global expansion of the middle class is on-going, particularly in emerging countries and in Asia. “As a result, we will see changing consumption patterns as well as societal changes as, historically, the middle class has acted as an agent of stability and prosperity,” said Tidjane Thiam, CEO for Credit Suisse.

That being said, the study also found that the inequality gap has widened this year, with greater wealth for some of the richest people and countries. Thiam however stressed that despite this imbalance, the economic significance of the world’s growing middle class must not be underestimated, particularly given their impact on consumer markets.

Credit Suisse predicts that global wealth is set to continue increasing at around 6.5 percent each year, growing by 38 percent to $345trn by 2020. Given China’s rapid economic expansion since 2000, the country’s growth is set to continue, albeit at a slower pace. The number of China’s millionaires is also expected to increase significantly by 74 percent to 2.3 million over the next five years.

Dell agrees to record breaking deal with EMC

Dell has agreed to the terms of a $67bn deal to join up with the Massachusetts’s-based data storage company EMC in what could prove the biggest tech merger in history.

According to sources at Dell, the partnership “brings together the industry’s leading innovators in digital transformation, software-defined data centre, hybrid cloud, converged infrastructure, mobile and security.” However, not all are convinced of the deal’s capacity to reinvigorate either company.

Both have enjoyed long periods of explosive growth in years past, but also suffered the adverse effects of an evolving technology market

Both have enjoyed long periods of explosive growth in years past, but also suffered the adverse effects of an evolving technology market – as cloud computing and a shrinking storage market eat away at their margins. Nonetheless, the two will create the world’s largest, privately owned, integrated technology company – in a time where there is life yet in the IT market for an old dog still learning new tricks.

“The combination of Dell and EMC creates an enterprise solutions powerhouse bringing our customers industry leading innovation across their entire technology environment,” according to the company’s founder Michael Dell. “Our investments in R&D and innovation along with our privately-controlled structure will give us unmatched scale, strength and flexibility, deepening our relationships with customers of all sizes.”

Accommodating capital markets and cheap financing make the present time an ideal one for the transaction, and the sentiment is shared by technology giants HP and IBM also, who are undergoing transformations of their own. The consolidation of IT services is crucial in a period where larger clients are looking to buy from fewer clients, and the HP/EMC tie-up is arguably the most notable response to this development yet seen.

Bill Gross sues Pimco for $200m

Bill Gross, known often as the ‘Bond King’, has sued Pimco – the company he helped found in 1971 – for its part in driving him out the firm last September. The suit, filed on October 8 in Orange County, alleges that younger executives at the firm ousted him in order to cash in on his 20 percent stake in a $1.3bn bonus pool.

Since his departure, investors have pulled billions of dollars out of Pimco funds

According to the lawsuit, Pimco “wrongly and illegally” withheld hundreds of millions of dollars in compensation owed to Gross. “Driven by a lust for power, greed, and a desire to improve their own financial position and reputation at the expense of investors and decency,” the document goes on, “a cabal” of “managing directors plotted to drive founder Bill Gross out of Pimco,” according to documents seen by The Wall Street Journal.

Since his departure, investors have pulled billions of dollars out of Pimco funds – although the scale of the outflows has diminished in recent months. Assets held by the firm’s flagship fund have slumped to $100bn, down from a 2013 high of $300bn.

Gross’ case marks an attempt on his part to restore his damaged reputation. In the time since his departure, the former executive has been portrayed as a disruptive influence on the firm he helped create, although the lawsuit, if successful, could clear some of the marks against his name.

Gross’ version of events are that Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive at the time of his departure, and he were at odds over the direction of the firm – with Gross opposed to El-Erian’s intentions to pursue riskier investments, away from its core bonds business. The suit also claims Gross was set to receive $250m in bonus payments last year, adding that the firm denied him an $80m bonus for the third quarter, despite him leaving a matter of days before the quarter’s end.

Iran seeks international oil partners

The softening of relations between Iran and western governments over the last six months could allow some of the world’s leading oil companies access to the country’s vast and untapped reserves, according to a senior Iranian official.

Mehdi Hosseini, the head of the Oil Ministry’s Oil Contracts Revision Committee, told a conference in London this week that government-linked Iranian oil companies could partner with international firms to fully develop the country’s reserves; something that has been banned since the 1979 revolution by the Revolutionary Guard.

Companies looking to enter the Iranian market in the coming months include Royal Dutch Shell, Total, and BP

The Revolutionary Guard – the military wing of the Iranian regime – has influenced many of the country’s industries for many years. It has been vehemently opposed to relations with the west, but that stance seems to be relaxing now that a deal has been struck over Iran’s nuclear capabilities.

Hosseini told reporters that the Revolutionary Guards had considerable experience in Iran’s engineering markets, and so it made sense for international oil companies to seek partnerships with them. “It depends on the quality and selection of the IOCs [international oil companies]. If the IOCs want to work with them, we have no problem. We are not going to interfere in the private negotiations between private companies and the IOCs on what kind of arrangement they have,” he told the FT.

Companies looking to enter the Iranian market in the coming months include Royal Dutch Shell, Total, and BP. With the country having huge resources of oil and gas, but comparatively outdated equipment to extract them, the time seems right for a partnership between western petroleum giants and Iran’s domestic players.

It also comes at a time when the global oil price has sunk to insustainably low levels, alongside difficult geopolitical troubles in traditional markets. The low price has led to Shell scrapping its drilling efforts in the Arctic as it was seen as not financial viable. However, Iran’s resources appear to be far easier to access, and once sanctions are lifted, Hosseini believes that production could increase by 500,000 barrels a day.

India’s Rajan calls for IMF and World Bank reform

Policymakers from the Group of 20 are meeting in Lima as part of the IMF and World Bank’s annual spring meeting. On the eve of the event, the governor of India’s Central Bank, Raghuram Rajan, has called upon the two Bretton Woods institutions to commit themselves to a number of reforms.

There is often a perception among the developing world that the IMF and World Bank are biased

Rajan, himself a former chief economist at the IMF, has repeated his previous calls for a “global safety net,” to assist economies deal with liquidity dry ups and sudden outflows of capital, backed by the IMF. In September, the IMF, in its Financial Stability report, did warn of a growing threat to liquidity levels in the global economy, while the Institute of International Finance estimates that emerging market economies will see an outflow of $540bn worth of capital in 2015, which would be the first net outflow since the late 1980s.

The recent call by the president of the World Bank, Jim Yong Kim, for the capital base of the bank to be increased was also endorsed by Rajan. It is argued that the bank’s chief arm, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development should see its $253bn capital base increased, partially as a response to slowdown in emerging markets.

There is often a perception among the developing world that the IMF and World Bank are biased towards the advanced economies of North America and Europe, which has resulted in growing emerging market support for the Chinese-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. To counter this bias in both perception and practice, the governor called for further reforms to both institutions.

“There is no substitute to reforming the global multilateral institutions and making them work more broadly for the membership,” said Rajan, reports The Financial Times.

Emerging markets on for a five-year slump, says IMF

The IMF has, in its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update, set out reduced expectations for global growth, with the organisation warning the economy this year will expand at its slowest pace since the financial crisis struck. The report points to a continued slump in emerging markets and weaker prospects all-round for oil-exporting countries.

The hysteria surrounding the Greek debt negotiations and a spike in volatility this August have bred uncertainty among investors

“Global growth remains moderate – and once again more so than predicted a few months earlier,” according to the report. “In an environment of declining commodity prices, reduced capital flows to emerging markets and pressure on their currencies, and increasing financial market volatility, downside risks to the outlook have risen, particularly for emerging market and developing economies.”

The hysteria surrounding the Greek debt negotiations and a spike in volatility this August have bred uncertainty among investors. “Emerging market and developing economies face a difficult trade-off between supporting demand amid slowing growth – actual and potential – and reducing vulnerabilities in a more difficult external environment.”

This year, should the IMF findings prove accurate, could mark a fifth consecutive year of declining growth for emerging economies. Falling commodity prices, depreciating emerging market currencies and on-going financial volatility have each hampered growth in this area and will continue to do so late into the year. Brazil, Nigeria and Russia are among the worst affected, and the Chinese slowdown has done much to dampen spirits among major exporters.

According to the IMF, global growth for this year is projected at 3.1 percent, 0.3 percent shy of 2014 and 0.2 percentage points less than predicted in July. The outlook is not all doom and gloom, however, and, relative to last year at least, the recovery in advanced economies is expected to gather steam, and global activity is forecast to pick up in the coming year.

Japan dangerously close to recession

After recently seeing its predicted GDP growth figures revised downwards by the Asian Development Bank in its latest report, Japan’s economy faces further woes, as new figures show a continued decline in the East Asian nation’s industrial output. Industrial production unexpectedly slid by 0.5 percent in August, following a decline by 0.6 percent in July.

The fear now is that this fall in production will tilt Japan to negative growth

The fear now is that this fall in production will tilt Japan to negative growth. With industrial output forming a large component of GDP, the recent disappointing figures may result in a contraction of growth for Japan’s third quarter, which, following the country’s negative growth in its second quarter, would amount to Japan entering a recession. As The Wall Street Journal notes, there is a “possibility that the world’s third-largest economy will fall into a recession for the second time in as many years and adding to fears about global growth.”

The poor showing is the result of both weak domestic and external demand, although exporting industries led the decline – with the slowdown in China playing a large role. “Japan’s recovery has ground to a halt,” said economist at Capital Economics Marcel Thieliant, reports Market Watch. As a result of the shrinking, “additional easing by the Bank of Japan next month looks all but inevitable,” he added.

Further, Japan’s quarterly business attitudes survey shows many firms are pessimistic about the short term economic prospects of the country. Large firms in particular were most pessimistic, lower their profit forecasts. As Charles Nishikawa, a management consultant in London and lecturer at Mejiro University, tells World Finance, “recent result shows some concern in manufacturing industry particularly with companies exporting to international markets (mainly large corporates). It is surely due to the slowdown of China economy.” The picture, however, is not all gloom. As Nishikawa continues, “businesses mainly serving domestic markets (i.e. service and Small-medium size manufacturers) are still optimistic and they believe in the solid fundamentals of the Japanese economy and future recovery.”

IMF warns of liquidity declines and corporate debt

The IMF has released its latest Financial Stability Report, in which it warns of the potential for falls in market liquidity, as well as rising corporate debt – as well as the implication that the inevitable rise in central bank interest rates – particularly that of the US Federal Reserve – would have.

“Market participants in advanced and emerging market economies,” the report warns, “have become worried that both the level of market liquidity and its resilience may be declining, especially for bonds, and that as a result the risks associated with a liquidity shock may be rising.” Liquidity in markets is vital to financial stability in order to make the market less susceptible to large fluctuations in price.

The growth of corporate debt has largely been the result of an accommodating monetary policy from advanced economies for the
past decade

Whether or not declines in market liquidity are the result of new post-2008 financial crisis regulation, the IMF states, is unclear. On the one hand, restrictions on derivatives trading, with the example of the European Union in 2012 given, have weakened liquidity in underlying assets. On the other hand, “regulations to increase transparency have improved market liquidity by facilitating the matching of buyers and sellers and reducing uncertainty about asset values.”

However, with the regime of loose monetary policy soon coming to an end, there are worries over the impact of this on liquidity. As the report puts it, there are “concerns about the resilience of market liquidity to larger shocks, such as a “bumpy” normalization of monetary policy in advanced economies.”

The IMF also outlines its fears for the impact of the expected tightening of US monetary policy on corporate debt in emerging markets. As the report outlines, “The corporate debt of nonfinancial firms across major emerging market economies increased from about $4 trillion in 2004 to well over $18 trillion in 2014. The average emerging market corporate debt-to-GDP ratio has also grown by 26 percentage points in the same period.”

This rise in corporate debt can be beneficial, through allowing for productive investment, spurring on growth. However, there are concerns that the level of corporate leverage could lead to unwanted consequences, particularly because, as the IMF economists note, “many emerging market financial crises have been preceded by rapid leverage growth.”

The growth of corporate debt has largely been the result of an accommodating monetary policy from advanced economies for the past decade. Low interest rates in the West have resulted in emerging market corporate debt build up through emerging economy banks setting their own rates lower to match that of the advanced economies – easing up credit in emerging markets, and greater capital flows into emerging markets from advanced economies in search of higher yields.

This steady build up on corporate debt under the auspices of low interest rates will result in trouble for firms that have binged on corporate debt, once the various central banks of the world start to raise interest rates, as is soon to be expected. Emerging markets should be “prepared for the eventuality of corporate failures,” once rates rise. “Where needed,” the report argues “insolvency regimes should be reformed to enable rapid resolution of both failed and salvageable firms”.

India surprises analysts by cutting rates again

The Reserve Bank of India took analysts by surprise with the announcement that it had cut interest rates for the fourth time this year.

Inflation this August clocked in at a record low 3.6 percent

Of a 52-strong sample of economists polled by Bloomberg, only one correctly predicted the move – whereas 42 expected a quarter of a percentage point cut and the remaining nine forecast no change. The 50 bps reduction follows reductions in January, February and June of this year and means that the bank’s repo rate stands at 6.75 percent currently, its lowest in four and half years.

“Since the third bi-monthly statement of August 2015, global growth has moderated, especially in emerging market economies (EMEs), global trade has deteriorated further and downside risks to growth have increased,” according to the bank’s latest assessment. “In India, a tentative economic recovery is underway, but is still far from robust.”

Global growth is less than it was this this time last year and falling commodity prices mean that India must look to domestic growth and investment if it is to keep inflation close to its expectations. Inflation this August clocked in at a record low 3.6 percent, and sources at the bank are hoping that the cuts will boost investment and domestic spending both.

The emphasis on the repo rate suggests that the Reserve Bank of India feels commercial banks will be of vital importance in kick-starting the country’s economic performance. Looking at the period through April to June, India’s annual rate of economic growth slowed to seven percent, significantly less than the 7.5 percent rate posted in the quarter previous.