Emerging markets’ shifting bottom line
Emerging markets are no longer as reliant on the fortunes of developed economies, and are more resilient in their own right. However, this change in nature will bring significant new challenges for those wishing to invest in burgeoning markets
The zero-sum economy
Automation’s displacing effect on the world’s labour force is stark. With the expectation that fewer people will be needed for long-established practical positions, the majority of work could soon be devoted to zero-sum roles
The global economy’s fundamental weakness
In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, the global economic system was meant to witness an era of moderation. However, the fact that debt remains the primary driver of growth suggests that inherent weaknesses remain
The debt shackles return
The pace of overall growth in the global economy is increasing. However, this economic expansion also brings a rise in the level of public and private debt, which could pose a serious threat to the long-term health of global markets
Defusing the US-China trade conflict
The tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump earlier this year have moved his country inextricably closer to a trade conflict with China. That being said, many believe this clash has been many decades in the making
The canary in the financial coal mine
For many, signs of financial distress in emerging countries are simply localised events; inevitable for less-developed economies. However, they could in fact be indicators for intrinsic problems in the global financial system
Managing the risks of a rising dollar
Many would view the rising value of the dollar positively. However, pronounced increases in the value of the world’s primary currency could also unbalance economic systems and further complicate fraught trade relations
Making the case for sovereign GDP-linked bonds
Many argue that GDP-linked bonds are a far stabler alternative to currency-fixed debt instruments. These bonds would be less volatile in times of crisis and would stop the economy’s performance from becoming a direct burden on the taxpayer
Working towards the next economic paradigm
Due to the complacency of policymakers, the economic model embodied in the Washington Consensus has lost its appeal. Without a new paradigm to replace it, the world economy is in a vulnerable position
China’s bold energy vision
China is leading the fight to combat climate change. Its far-reaching vision aims to transform the world’s primary energy sources from carbon-based fossil fuels to zero-carbon renewable energies
The casualties of progress
Although there are arguments regarding the scale of the problem, many are now acknowledging the correlation between technological advances and a decline in worker productivity. What can be done to arrest this trend?
The dangerous delusion of price stability
Central banks’ fixation on positive but low inflation could bring unwanted repercussions. Governments must stop obsessing over inflation targets and, instead, proactively consider measures to prevent another crisis from erupting
Has China’s economic growth finally stabilised?
The Chinese economy appears to be in fine fettle. However, weakening investment growth and other concerning trends suggest the outlook may not be as auspicious as it seems
Is another debt crisis on the way?
Despite the healthy rate of growth currently being experienced by the global economy, the total ratio of debt-to-GDP continues to climb. Does this indicate the onset of another financial crisis?
A new growth model for Europe’s neighbourhood
The developing economies of Europe previously outperformed emerging economies elsewhere, but the impact of the Recession stalled their growth. A shift towards a future-orientated growth model is required to arrest this decline
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