MP Asset Management ensures growth of Iceland’s economy

The global financial crisis has seen Iceland’s banking industry take a serious hit to its reputation. The collapse of all three major commercial banks sent shockwaves around the financial markets, causing many international investors to turn their backs on the country’s financial institutions.

The banking crisis saw a range of new regulations introduced by the Central Bank of Iceland (CBI) and the Financial Supervisory Authority (FSA), so that the country could get back on a steady financial footing. Many institutions have collapsed as a result of the changes, with just a few firms managing to survive in the new environment. Those that survived needed to adopt a more prudent and analytical approach to investing to ensure that they were not tainted by the carefree ways of firms like Kaupthing, Glitnir and Landsbanki.

Recent years have seen a number of smaller, specialist firms rise up from the ashes of the banking crisis and restore some of the faith that the global investment community previously had in Iceland’s financial markets. One of these firms is MP banki, which has battled through the crisis thanks to its commitment to prudent and analytical strategies.

Recent years have seen a number of smaller, specialist firms rise up from the ashes of the banking crisis

Founded as MP Securities in 1999, MP banki became an investment bank four years later with a full range of investment banking services on offer to both institutional and individual clients. It gained a full commercial license in 2008, and has steadily grown its operations from its headquarters in Reykjavik ever since. The firm has also maintained a diverse number of shareholders, without any single investor holding more than 10 percent of total equity.

Last year proved to be a successful year for the firm, with the asset management side of the business performing especially well. It has remained highly liquid, with cash holdings well above the minimum requirements set by the FSA and CBI. The group has achieved this steady growth through its focus on providing businesses with specialised banking services that draw from its employees’ expertise and knowledge of the domestic market.

World Finance spoke to Sigurður Hannesson, Managing Director of MP Asset Management, about how the company has managed to maintain its steady growth in recent years, playing on its knowledge of and expertise within Iceland’s markets.

What role does your company’s asset management arm play in its overall banking operations?
Established as an asset management company in 1999, MP Asset Management has been the cornerstone of MP banki’s operations from the beginning. Now, MP Asset Management offers comprehensive solutions in major asset classes, such as fixed income, equities and real estate; both in the local and international markets.

Why do you consider a smaller amount of assets under management to be an advantage for your asset management arm?
A relatively small size of assets under management compared to the market is on the whole considered to be an advantage. The main reason is that we can more swiftly change our strategies without having to impact prices. That gives us a certain freedom.

What is your investment philosophy?
The main criteria in our investment philosophy are active management style, flexibility of investment policy and a strategic and tactical view of the markets. The strategies are actively managed and the goal is to achieve outperformance in comparison to our benchmarks. Investment policy for each strategy is flexible and is the main driver for outperformance. The size of our assets under management gives us more freedom to revise asset allocation.

Fundamental analysis of bond and equity markets is the basis for our strategy, and this plays an important role for our performance, in addition to our reporting on the micro and macroeconomics in the economy as a whole. Momentum, technical analysis and arbitrage are the basis for this tactical view. The role of the fund manager is to run the strategies according to the investment committee’s advice and find opportunities for tactical allocation.

How do your services differ between individual and institutional clients?MP Asset Management strives to have close connections to both individual customers and institutional clients. All clients receive a thorough service and reports on their portfolio regularly, and by request. However, there are some differences between clients’ requirements for information. Institutional clients often require custom reporting packages. In addition, service to institutional clients may include more frequent update meetings at which their portfolio and performance is reviewed. Otherwise the services provided to individuals and institutional clients are similar.

Which markets is MP Asset Management represented in and why?
Our aim is to be the first choice for individuals and institutional investors by providing quality services and consistent long-term performance. MP Asset Management offers investment services in the local market to domestic and international investors. Successful partnership with global investment banks for 10 years has given MP Asset Management the opportunity to offer Icelandic investors top class services in global markets.

Could you explain a little about your stock-picking tactics?
Our process is based on a thorough fundamental analysis of all companies listed on the Icelandic Stock Exchange, as there are only 14 companies listed currently. We do a discounted cash flow valuation with three scenarios – bear, base, bull – to capture the standalone risk, and subsequently the companies are ranked relatively. The stock portfolio consists of the highest ranked stocks with certain restraints that relate to diversification and liquidity. Returns of the Icelandic Equities fund in 2013 were about 46 percent, far above the OMX Icelandic equity index that returned about 20 percent during the same period.

Three of your strategies invest in equities. Which ones do you typically go for?
Our equity strategies invest in domestic – in particular listed – equities. The equity market is gradually gaining strength, with 14 listed companies – up from four in 2011. There have been 10 IPOs over the last couple of years, and value has been added to the portfolios by participating selectively in IPOs. On top of that, these portfolios have got exposure to private equity that is aiming at an IPO within 12 months.

What tech innovations does MP Asset Management have?
We know that transparency matters to our clients. Our clients have access to online portfolio overviews that enable them to be up-to-date on positions and trading activity. We have put effort into improving our IT systems so that we can provide our clients with even better information such as specific statistics on risk and return.

How do you approach risk in the current regulatory environment?
With an uncertain environment we are careful about political and economic risk. We believe that understanding the risk comes first. Then it is possible to decide whether or not to take the risk. This approach has given our clients an advantage in a tough market environment, and has lead to higher returns.

What can we expect from MP Asset Management in the year ahead?
Although still dealing with the aftermath of the 2008 economic collapse, the Icelandic economy is picking up, with healthy growth last year. There are challenges ahead, but they can also be seen as opportunities. The equity market is gaining strength and investors are gradually regaining confidence in the market. We are looking to exploit opportunities in equity IPOs as well as in the bond market. We expect a further increase in the number of accounts and decent returns in 2014.

‘Simplicity and standardisation’ will benefit finance industry, says ICC Banking Commission Chair

Regulators are clamping down on financial institutions across Europe, hoping to foster a more harmonised and resilient banking environment. But will their efforts be in vain? One report by the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) suggests such regulation will impede growth and free trades, stunting the continent’s economic growth. World Finance speaks to Kah Chye Tan, Chair of the ICC Banking Commission, to discuss its findings.

World Finance: Well Mr Tan, how important are the 2014 Trade Register Report findings, and how surprising?

Kah Chye Tan: When we first started, the register was really there to address regulatory capital matters. But increasingly we find that the register is being used as a tool to help alternative investors to invest in a new asset class – in this case, it’s trade finance.

World Finance: So do you think the cacophony of regulations are stunting growth in Europe?

Kah Chye Tan: The jury is still out. There is definitely room for a more reflective, and more accurate, set of regulations to govern trade finance.

The jury is still out. There is definitely room for a more reflective, and more accurate, set of regulations to govern trade finance

I will say that in the last five years we have seen many proactive changes being put in place by the regulators. But like everything else, there is always room for improvement.

World Finance: Well 60 percent of respondents felt the lack of harmonisation of compliance standards created problems. So would you say transparency hinders competition?

Kah Chye Tan: It does. It creates a very uneven form of competition. So from that perspective, yes: it does hinder growth, and actually it can go against the very objective of the regulation, which is to promote recent management.

So giving you a quick example. The regulations have improved such that there is no longer a 365 day floor for letters of credit as a product. But this has not been consistently applied across all trade finance products. And definitely not consistently applied in all countries.

World Finance: So would you say then that there’s a call for regulations to be standardised throughout world markets, to create more of a fair playing field?

Kah Chye Tan: I think the regulators’ job is very tough! On one hand we want simple regulations; on the other hand we want it to be sufficiently granular to differentiate the risk profiles.

I do believe that simplicity and standardisation will benefit the industry as a whole. I think there’s a lot of feelings in the marketplace today, that the regulations today are looking more and more like a black box: it’s difficult for people to understand.

When you have a set of regulations that’s difficult for people to understand, no matter how good the intentions of the regulations, you run the risk of the means and the ends getting mixed up. You know, the bankers chasing after the means, rather than chasing after the ends.

So simplicity is important.

World Finance: Well there’s certainly a feeling that more transparency equates to less profits. So who benefits from more transparency?

Kah Chye Tan: Actually, I think more transparency will promote a more sustainable form of banking in the medium to longer term.

In the shorter term, yes, you know, as with every change it will create some discomfort. And I guess that’s the reason why people tend to think transparency results in lower profit. But that’s a very inappropriate short-term view. In the medium to longer term, the transparency actually builds a much more robust banking environment.

Yes, maybe profit will go down for the banks, but you know what? I think there will be more players, more companies will benefit from it, and it will mean more opportunity for us to finance trade.

[T]he transparency actually builds a much more robust banking environment

World Finance: So the ICC’s report suggests that banks financing trade should be less stringently regulated than other areas of finance. Why is this?

Kah Chye Tan: I wouldn’t say it is less regulated or more regulated; I think it is a different set of regulations that is needed.

There is a general market acceptance – and the data from the trade register further reinforced – that it is a very low risk product.

The loss history can be as low as 0.03 percent. It’s a fraction of AAA corporate bonds’ default rate.

To manage trade finance as part and parcel of the broader corporate range product, we run the risk of the law of average. When you put trade finance with more or less risky products, and you draw an average – say the average AVC, as an example – some products that are higher risk are going to benefit from an average AVC. Some products that are lower risk, as in the case of trade finance, will not benefit from it. In fact, will be disadvantaged by it.

So for that reason, I don’t think it’s a case of whether we are asking for more favourable regulation, or less favourable regulations; we are asking for the right regulations.

World Finance: So trade and export finance is a significantly low risk banking finance technique you said; so where are the high risk areas, and do they give more profits?

Kah Chye Tan: All else being equal, the longer maturity transactions will have a higher risk. All else being equal, a product that is further and further away from the real economy will have a higher risk.

In the case of trade finance and export finance, these are relatively short-term products. These are products that support the real economy.

World Finance: Well I want to take a little look now at the Basel accords; what are the problems would you say, with these?

Kah Chye Tan: What is needed is greater differentiation by the different risk profiles of the different banking products. Credit cards are 30 days, housing loans are 30 years. Trade finance is 90 days. Project finance is 10 years. Trade finance has nothing to do with credit derivatives.

We need to put these various products in their logical buckets, and come out with a logical set of regulations to manage each bucket.

The law of averaging is a case of oversimplification.

World Finance: So finally, what’s the key to driving liquidity in international trade?

Only through an active tripartite dialogue between the regulators, the bankers, and the businesses, will we come out with the right set of regulations

Kah Chye Tan: An activate dialogue between the regulators, the bankers, and businesses – the importers and exporters – is very important.

Only through an active tripartite dialogue between the regulators, the bankers, and the businesses, will we come out with the right set of regulations. Especially in the case of liquidity.

Trade finance is as short as 90 days. The average is 90-100 days. There’s a current set of regulations that requires 50 percent of funding be long-term: to finance short-term 90-100 days trade transactions would be too onerous. And we will end up charging the clients more than what is needed. And that’s the danger that we’re trying to avoid.

World Finance: Mr Tan, thank you.

Kah Chye Tan: Thank you Jenny.

Too much regulation will hurt Europe, as well as the banks

When BNP Paribas was recently asked to pay a record $8.9bn fine for having breached US sanctions against countries like Cuba, Sudan, Iran and North Korea, it sent shockwaves through the global financial industry. For the first time ever, a bank is facing criminal charges and having to pay a fine so sizeable that it could seriously derail its finances, as well as the overall European economy.

For the US, the investigation into, and ensuing guilty plea of BNP’s processing of transactions on behalf of US-sanctioned countries, was a first major win against a European financial giant. Shortly after the verdict, media and industry commentators alike began speculating whether the magnitude and repercussions of such a punishment would set precedence for other banks. Other banks should start saving now, and prepare themselves for significant judicial implications.

Several media sources report that the regulatory mafia, which hammered down on BNP Paribas, is probing several other European banks, including Germany’s Commerzbank.

According to The New York Times the Manhattan District Attorney’s office is working with the Justice Department, New York’s banking regulator and the Federal Reserve on the Commerzbank investigation, probing whether the bank breached rules regarding Iran, Sudan, North Korea, Myanmar and Cuba. The case is said to likely cost Commerzbank a mere $500m fine, as part of a deferred prosecution agreement, which would suspend criminal charges in exchange for the financial penalty and other concessions. Commerzbank said in its 2013 annual report that it had set aside €934m ($1.2bn) in provisions for legal proceedings and recourse claims, so the fine’s size is not likely to have shattering consequences. What is far more concerning is the increased focus on European banks alone.

Some critics have questioned why US authorities have set their eyes on European banks and turned away from
domestic cases

The Commerzbank probe is said to be a precursor to much bigger things, namely a smack down on Germany’s heavy hitter, Deutsche Bank. France’s Crédit Agricole and Société Générale, as well as Italy’s UniCredit are among other lenders being investigated by US authorities. This will all in all cost European banks a further $50bn in litigation and settlement costs according to analysts from Morgan Stanley. European firms have already set aside or paid out more than $80bn since 2009.

Some critics have questioned why US authorities have set their eyes on European banks and turned away from domestic cases. The answer, authorities say, is that American banks by and large avoided processing transactions for Iran and Sudan. Still, it is worth questioning why US probes have focused on tax evasion by European banks and, lately, those who have circumvented US sanctions. To this extent, UK and EU authorities have been a lot slower to prosecute and more lenient on US banks, which largely were at fault for the 2008 financial crisis and to some extent can be blamed for the European recession. Whether this comes down to the well-known lack of resources and qualified personnel within watchdogs such as the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority, could be one explanation, but more probable is the argument that US regulators are simply more keen on prosecuting European banks and bringing in major settlements – despite the consequences this might have for the European economy.

It’s without doubt that probes into financial misconduct are necessary. The financial crisis and its widespread consequences are proof of the need for tough regulation when big banks act badly. That said, it does raise concerns that US authorities seem to be exercising a hegemonic muscle that no one else can match. With Europe’s economy only just teetering on recovery, its worrying that there seems to be no consideration for the consequences of destabilising France’s biggest bank by assets, or going after banks that are partly owned by the German state and could seriously damage diplomatic relations. In the case of BNP Paribas, French President Francois Hollande even attempted to intervene by pleading for a lesser punishment, but to no avail – US prosecutors persisted.

The debate has for some time centred on whether banks can be too big to jail. Agreed, no bank should avoid consequences for a heinous lack of respect for national laws and financial regulations. That said, it must be possible to apply some sort of balance, for if BNP Paribas was the precursor, who’s to say what size the next fine will have? And whether the bank in question will be able to pay? Certainly, banks that have indisputably broken sanctions should be punished, but it’s also worth keeping in mind that regulation can go too far, too soon.

Dunn Loren Merrifield on Nigeria’s exceptional economic growth

As the largest economy in Africa, Nigeria is a very attractive investment prospect. One company that has paved the way for economic growth in the country is investment house Dunn Loren Merrifield. World Finance speaks to Sonnie Ayere, Founder and CEO of the company, to find out about the country’s financial market, and its opportunities.

World Finance: Well Sonnie, Nigeria has seen exceptional growth over the past few years, but in terms of the financial market, how developed is that?

Sonnie Ayere: The financial market I would classify as still at the frontier to emerging market levels. The real basin of Nigeria’s economy has obviously moved Nigeria into that larger economy spot, the 26th largest in the world today. The financial market, however, does not reflect that sort of composition of what makes the GDP of Nigeria, and that’s why you have today discussions of the telecom companies should be floated on the exchange, in other words the exchange should reflect more of the economy than the banks. Today the banks are actually, well I would say they dominate the financial markets, and I think it needs to be much much broader in terms of its outlook, products and reach.

The key areas that exist medium to long term: the power sector, for obvious reasons, the agricultural sector is also another area that is becoming very,
very attractive

World Finance: Well how involved are you in the development of the Nigerian financial markets and in fact the country as a whole?

Sonnie Ayere: As a person and as a firm, we are pretty much in the thick of things, right from my first role when I left the World Bank, the IFC, in fact when I was actually working with them at the time I helped the Nigerian economy, or the Nigerian government, to develop a bond market. That was actually my first major assignment in Nigeria, and now we’re looking at the housing market. I’ve also served on several committees, from the stock exchange and from the securities and exchange commission, and we’re actually working on one right now to actually revolutionise the way the market players actually operate within the market to make it a lot broader and much deeper.

World Finance: Well you company acted as advisors to set up the Nigerian mortgage refinance company, which was launched earlier this year, why was this so important?

Sonnie Ayere: Housing in Nigeria, if you think about the population, currently 170 million people, mortgages to GDP is about 0.x whatever percent, it’s a nominal number. So the whole idea of having this company, which is as a public private partnership, is actually to now provide that catalyst to help this market grow, and just reading the papers this morning, they’re talking about a market of about 60trn, I think that’s about half a trillion pounds, in terms of even just to cure the housing deficit. So this is quite an important company, that actually becomes that sort of catalyst to bring in both the demand side and the supply side of the housing market together, and hopefully try to make housing a bigger component of the GDP of Nigeria going forward.

World Finance: Well looking at the Nigeria stock market now, and after a poor performance in the first quarter things are starting to pick up, so what opportunities are there for investors?

Sonnie Ayere: The key areas that exist medium to long term: the power sector, for obvious reasons, the agricultural sector is also another area that is becoming very, very attractive. The housing market, certainly is a big opportunity. And then the other areas which have been the normal, mundane areas that investors have normally played in: the banking sector, the telecom sector, etc. So it is a very fertile ground, but again, obviously certain issues and risks do exist, and that’s why it is still to my mind a frontier market, and investors obviously need to be cognisant of the risks that exist, but then the rewards are also compensating for those risks.

[I]nvestors obviously need to be cognisant of the risks that exist, but then the rewards are also compensating for
those risks

World Finance: Well looking to the future now, and what do you anticipate to be the future trends, and challenges in fact?

Sonnie Ayere: In terms of the trends, from an investor perspective, I think it really depends to a large extent on the security situation. Given what’s going on in Nigeria today, one can’t ignore that fact, and I think it largely depends on how that’s handled. If handled very well, I think the potential going forward is absolutely tremendous for both domestic and international investors.

World Finance: Well obviously, we’re coming up to the elections in 2015, so how safe would you say Nigeria is for investors?

Sonnie Ayere: I always like to say to investors, we need to get out of this sort of cyclical, every four years there’s an election and then everything has to stop until it’s over, and then we can start again. It has to get to a point where, there’s the elections, yes, that’s normal, and investors just continue. The one advice I would give to investors is just, generally speaking, to monitor how the security situation is being managed, and if managed well I see absolutely no disruption in terms of investor appetite for the sort of yields and returns they’re getting out of that country today. So my view would be, yes continue to invest, but of course monitor what’s going on.

World Finance: Sonnie, thank you.

Sonnie Ayere: Thank you very much.

Stock exchanges to power Africa’s economic development

Stock exchanges can be considered a motor for economic development. In Africa, the number of bourses has grown from five to 25 in just 20 years, as its economy and the need for regulated stock markets has grown. At the cusp of what could be one of the biggest economic booms yet to be seen, the continent is developing its financial infrastructure like never before, yet the overall sector is lacking, and stock exchanges in particular need to step it up.

Issues such as transparency, lack of technology and a surprisingly small amount of IPOs are all contributing to inefficient and ill-equipped stock exchanges across the region. There is an opportunity here to seriously contribute to Africa’s economic development, and industry experts are calling for governments and stakeholders to focus on stock exchanges and get them up to par.

Companies listed on stock exchanges:

1,000 approx.

Sub-Saharan Africa

1,700 approx.

India

3,500 approx.

China

Emphasis on African stock exchanges is even more pertinent now as the region is seeing a growing demand for new issues. Over the last three years, valuations achieved through private equity exits in Africa via a stock market listing, yielded a higher return than could have been achieved in any private transaction, proving that investments in African listed firms are paying off like never before. What’s more, the amount of investors looking to invest in African small-, medium- or large-cap funds is growing as this market continues to develop. Yet the number of listings is lower than comparable regions, with just over 1,000 listings in Sub-Saharan Africa, but 3,500 and 1,700 firms listed in India and China respectively.

Exchanges must step up
This provides challenges to tapping into Africa’s impressive growth. The region’s GDP grew by 57 percent on a purchasing power parity basis between 2005 and 2012 (see Fig. 1), slightly ahead of Brazil and Russia, and markedly ahead of developed economies like the US and Japan, which only grew around 20 percent. However, Africa’s growth lags behind that of China and India, which doubled the size of their economies over this period. According to experts, this comes down to the lack of access to listed equity in Africa.

“Ideally, investors in listed equity look for markets with high liquidity, many listed companies and high standards of governance. In many African markets, not all of these criteria can be met,” explains Rory Ord, the Head of RisCura Fundamentals, an African valuation service-provider.

One key issue is that African stock markets are often dominated by a handful of large corporations. For example, the Dangote Group makes up about 30 percent of the Nigerian Stock Exchange, the Rwandan stock market has only three listed companies and trading in shares is less frequent and limited to a few firms. This stands in stark contrast to Nigeria being Africa’s largest and fastest-growing economy. What’s more, many bourses do not have access to reliable and up-to-date information technology; in some, trading is done manually and in many cases, the general public does not have confidence in the integrity of stock exchanges.

“There are issues that certainly require attention – primarily, the enforcement of reporting quality, timing and frequency. Secondly, some exchanges are slow to adopt modern technology, which hampers the transparent price discovery mechanism, as some exchanges are still using open outcry. Lastly, restrictive trading times prevent investors from fully taking advantage of changing market information,” said Alain Nkontchou, Managing Partner at the Johannesburg-listed asset manager, Enko Capital.

More IPOs needed
The lack of African listings is largely thanks to the high financial costs associated with going public, such as initial and annual listing fees, as well as the direct and indirect costs that come with meeting exchange reporting deadlines and disclosures. What’s more, a lack of information on the advantages of listing and concerns about losing control have made many entrepreneurs wary of disclosing business details and ceding control.

“A limited number of listings in various African markets means that fund managers have a small number of promising shares to invest in. This leads to a lack of diversification of portfolios, and regional and sector concentration of assets. In addition, we have seen price distortions on liquid securities given the dearth of investable stocks,” says Nkontchou.

Because of this imbalance in the supply and demand of new issues, IPOs present a good opportunity for African entrepreneurs and for the growth of the stock exchanges on the continent. Statistically, most new listings in Africa perform well and are heavily over-subscribed, as investors continue to flock to the few listings made. Thus, it may prove crucial to change practices in African stock exchanges to attract foreign investors.

“In practice, investors use a combination of listed and private equity investments to fill their African equity allocations. This is expected to continue for the foreseeable future as an effective way to gain exposure to Africa’s growth potential,” explains Ord.

The bourse boost
Criticisms aside, there is strong evidence that a stock market can be an essential part of a developing economy. Studies by the IMF concluded that, supported by the right policies and reforms, stock markets can help African companies expand operations, contributing to economic growth.

Regulators therefore need to ensure that there is an organised, efficient market where the governance standard and permission requirements are on par with international standards. In this respect, experts suggest that fostering better grounds for listing in the African market will boost capital inflows into the region’s economies.

For instance, raising equity finance via the capital market is often considered more profitable than capital raising in private market groups. As such, African entrepreneurs could be motivated to list their businesses if they were made aware of the access to capital – this again would boost the economy.

“Companies are the backbone of economic growth as they drive output and create jobs. Hence, the ability of companies to access growth capital is paramount for increasing employment, domestic spending and investment, resulting in increased GDP,” says Nkontchou.

What’s more, listings enhance transparency and promote good governance, as IPOs subject companies to scrutiny and exposure – another criterion desperately sought after by investors.

Gross-domestic-product-growth-by-regionLarge-scale solutions
Luckily, environments favourable to the growth and improvement of bourses are beginning to take root in Africa. Political stability is increasing inside many countries, including Liberia, Sierra Leone and Côte d’Ivoire, while sound economic policies and accountable institutions are slowly but surely being implemented in key economies such as Nigeria and Kenya. According to the World Bank’s 2013 Global Economic Prospects report, this political stability, as well as higher commodity prices and improved macroeconomic stability, has prompted increased investment flows to Africa. Rwanda, for instance, is now one of Africa’s fastest-growing economies, thanks to its pro-business policies and a positive investment climate.

In comparison, countries with high levels of risk, which may have weak investment laws or lack appropriate financial institutions, are not gaining the same favour with international investors. Uncertainty over the direction of its economic policies has seen the previously booming Zimbabwe Stock Exchange shrink in both size and value. As such, local governments need to weigh the cost and benefits of policies in order to relax principles such as fees, which will allow more international investor participation, while holding on to and enforcing those rules, which are necessary to ensure transparency and economic growth.

“There are certain exchanges that we prefer on the basis of liquidity and market depth, political and economic stability within the countries, and information availability, reporting quality and reporting requirements. In addition, currency stability plays an important role in how an investor views a certain exchange. For example, the trading currency for the BVRM regional exchange is the CFA franc, which is pegged to the euro, and hence more stable than several other local currencies,” explains Nkontchou.

And the creation of regional stock exchanges might be just the thing. With the small size of African stock markets and the absence of liquidity often cited by foreign investors as a major impediment to investing in the region, merging smaller exchanges into regional ones could improve liquidity and make stocks available to a wider range of investors.

Africa currently has two regional bourses serving West and Central African countries, which hold more listings than comparable economies like Libya and Cameroon. With the region poised to see explosive growth, some countries have enforced regulatory frameworks, specialised human capital, and advanced technology such as Nigeria’s X-Gen – the fastest trading platform within the African continent. Others still lag behind. With the potential to tap into an unprecedented economic surge, now is surely the time to introduce regional exchanges that give access to the more developed infrastructure of neighbouring countries.

Government policing has ‘little effectiveness’ controlling banks, says MSCI analyst

As governments and advisory bodies around the world crank up their regulatory efforts, multinational corporations are increasingly facing major fines – some even in the millions. World Finance speaks to Matt Moscardi, Senior Analyst, ESG Research at MSCI, to discuss whether government policing is enough to regulate the banking industry.

World Finance: Now you have the advantage of having a global perspective on some of these global trends. Do you think that Europe versus the US – is one perhaps doing a more effective job at regulating financial institutions?

Matt Moscardi: I think that they’re going about it in two different ways, and they’re having probably the same level of effectiveness. Which is maybe, little effectiveness.

I think in the US they’re trying to just extract as much money as possible from every bank that they’re regulating for egregious behaviour. And I think in the EU – in the UK they’re trying a very similar with the US approach – but in the EU they just don’t do that at all, and they try a very policy, and kind of, best intentions, approach.

I think in the US they’re trying to just extract as much money as possible from every bank that they’re regulating

Even with the bonus caps, it’s more about best intentions.

I think the banks themselves know they’ve been labelled by the financial stability board as ‘too big to fail.’ They know they have government banking, essentially, because of that. They’re being held to higher capital thresholds, sure. But from a regulatory and policing standpoint, the US and the EU have basically said ‘We cannot necessarily police you in the interests of market stability. We can’t put you at real risk, in the interest of market stability.’

And that means that it doesn’t matter necessarily the approach that regulators take to handing out some sort of enforcement. They’re in a bind. As long as these banks are as large and important to these economies as they are, they’re in a little bit of a bind as to what they can do to begin with.

World Finance: Okay, very interesting! Now can you give me some examples of some of those outliers?

Matt Moscardi: Well, we’re already seeing the effects of this for Credit Suisse, who pleads criminally guilty – or criminal negligence, or, they basically copped criminally as part of their settlement agreement with the US for tax evasion… actually, abetting tax evasion.

And the effect has been roughly zero on the company. And the CEO has said as much.

World Finance: Now Matt, at what point do governments play a role in policing some of those big banks?

Matt Moscardi: That’s a good question! I mean, I’m not sure that there is a point. Until they’re willing to disallow market access, rather than meting out fines which are increasingly substantial, but still not deterring behaviour, necessarily.

I also think that the banks themselves have proven they can find loopholes even when there’s government oversight

World Finance: Okay, now Matt, if Libor was calculated by a government agency, do you think we could have avoided this scandal that hit the US as well as the UK a few years ago?

Matt Moscardi: Partially yes. I think that the addition of a government agency in oversight would at least minimise probably the impacts, or the ability of the banks to collude and change the rates. But I also think that the banks themselves have proven they can find loopholes even when there’s government oversight.

The thing that comes to mind is the municipal market in the US, where there are a number of banks who are actually manipulating the bids, and have paid fines for it. So I’m not necessarily sure that it’s a foolproof way to oversee Libor – or Sibor, or Yen Libor, or any of the other global interbank rates. But I do think the oversight of a government agency, or the direct control of a government agency, would most likely limit the impact. Particularly in non-large bank jurisdictions, where it’s smaller banks with better participation.

World Finance: But still, do you ever worry that as you said, you know, they might be able to reduce the possibility that collusion is taking place, but at the same time, an overzealous regulatory body would just add costs to investors by delaying the process? If they are indeed the ones who are producing these indices.

Matt Moscardi: There are many people making the argument that banks themselves – especially at that size – either need to be regulated as utilities, or they need to be broken into smaller pieces.

Now I’m relatively agnostic, whether or not any of that happens. From a pure research perspective, I’m not sure that the cost argument… I mean I know the costs of compliance are increasing, they’re all adding to their compliance officers. But it’s hard to say how much of that is in response to actual new regulation, and how much of that is in response to scandal, and partially marketing and PR.

I personally am very sceptical of any move that any bank does as purely motivated out of, sort of, compliance or risk management.

In terms of the cost argument – whether or not the increased regulation, or overzealous regulators – would actually add to the costs? I’m not sure that argument makes sense, especially when you offset it with the impact to the banks. And when you’re talking impact, the impacts are incredibly broad and systemic when something goes wrong.

I personally am very sceptical of any move that any bank does as purely motivated out of, sort of, compliance or risk management

World Finance: Okay, but you know there’s a certain narrative that runs through any policing effort, and that’s the assumption that fund managers are out to make themselves money at the expense of the rest of us; do you believe that fund managers are really the ones to blame, or has the regulatory world just been too slow to keep pace with change?

Matt Moscardi: The answer’s probably both; fund managers, the banks, and even the regulators, they act on the incentives they have to act. So if a fund manager is paid to find the loophole and obfuscate and move quickly, then that’s what they’ll do at the expense of anything else. And if the regulators are largely either alums of major banks, or they have ties to major banks, or even if they don’t have ties to major banks – I mean, in the US in particular, most of the regulators immediately after leaving go on to consulting gigs with the major banks – if there’s some incentive to slow the pace of regulation, then that’s what they’ll do!

So I think it’s really a question of incentives. And in the EU, where they’re trying to kind of, cap the incentives… even trying to cap the incentives on bonuses, I think that almost misses the point too. I mean, it’s how you’re paying – the mechanism for pay is much more important than the implementation of pay, and capping the pay.

World Finance: Thank you for the insight; Matt Moscardi with MSCI.

Berlin’s real estate is hot property, says Optimum

Investors are struggling more than ever to find investments with optimal or even adequate risk/return profiles in the current post financial crisis era. Due to a low interest rate environment (caused by central banks’ quantitative easing), a particularly depressed performance of emerging markets equities, the recent crisis of gold and stagnant price of other commodities, is today a true challenge when aiming to achieve appropriate diversification with consistent positive returns over the medium and long term.

In this context, real estate is quickly recovering its central role in investor portfolios due to the main benefits of it being hedged against inflation, stable and positive yields, a low correlation to other asset classes and real asset status. In particular, among the most attractive investments in European real estate are Berlin’s commercial and residential property markets.

It was the end of 2006 when I happened to be in Berlin and I discovered its unconventional real estate market with exceptional returns and an attractive outlook, and the opportunities it offered. In almost 20 years of investment origination, I had never found an investment opportunity offering similar yields, strong upside potential and limited downside risk. I decided to create Optimum Asset Management as I saw the great opportunity international investors could benefit from with a company that could deliver an excellent level of service, comparable to the one offered by well-established asset managers and banks, but with the benefit of flexibility and the customised solutions of a small and client oriented firm.

[A]mong the most attractive investments in European real estate are Berlin’s commercial and residential property markets

Since then, Berlin’s real estate market prices increased by 60 percent and Optimum was able to successfully invest more than €500m spread over two funds. We are now in the process of launching our third fund. The reasons leading to the current exceptional situation in the Berlin real estate market are both historical and structural.

Unification brings change
From 1990 to 2005, Berlin faced the problematic issue of reunification – in the context of a stagnating economy – with a 20 percent unemployment rate and GDP growth close to zero. Public deficits combined with an enormous stock of property inherited from the German Democratic Republic of East Berlin resulted in a constant inflow of properties into the market through the government and public housing corporation auctions.

By that time, oversupply matched by weak demand – as a result of the poor economy – put enormous pressure on property prices, bringing them down to a level without comparison in the whole of Europe and other developed countries. Furthermore, before 1990 Berlin was managed by a vast amount of state subsidies that included the residential rental market, creating a legacy of low rental costs. This encouraged people to rent as opposed to buy, and led to one of the lowest homeownership rates in the whole EU area.

But Berlin is the capital of Germany, the largest economy in Europe and the fifth in the world by GDP, and important reforms conducted by the German government led to the development of fast-growing sectors such as tourism, life sciences, mobility and services with information and communication technologies. Indeed, since 2005, the situation has been significantly improving, and Berlin’s economic data has been constantly positive.

The city’s economy has grown continuously above the German average in the period from 2005 to 2013 and in the last year, its unemployment rate fell to 11.2 percent with a GDP growth rate of 3.8 percent, more than 0.4 percent in Germany and 0.1 percent in the EU28 countries. Moreover, Berlin is benefiting more than other German cities from the economic recovery because of the low cost of living, an excellent educational system, as well as its strategic position in the country and its technological prowess – it is the leading German city in terms of network infrastructure.

Structurally, the extremely low prices of Berlin properties have created a one of a kind situation in its real estate market. The prices for existing properties are, in fact, still below the cost of new construction and, therefore, poor new residential building activity has taken place over the past 10 years. This situation, coupled with a continuously growing population (currently, around 3.4 million people live in the city and in 2013 only, the population increased by roughly 50,000 inhabitants) led to over-demand for real estate.

As a consequence, the vacancy rate sharply decreased, standing now below two percent for residential properties. With a significant difference between institutional (whole buildings) and retail (single units) property prices – and due to constantly rising rents – yields for institutional investors are pretty stable at an average of 6.5 percent, with peaks reaching eight percent.

Berlin’s purchasing power
Even after growing for almost a decade, Berlin’s prices are still substantially cheaper than other comparable German cities, including Munich and Frankfurt, and other major metropolises in Europe, including London, Rome, Paris, Madrid, and even Athens. Moreover, new key developments are changing the city’s property market. Experts expect the homeownership rate to increase (currently around 15.6 percent against a German average of 45.7 percent), also thanks to a misbalance in the purchasing power of Berlin residents who, compared with other German residents, have a salary-to-property price ratio significantly higher (see Fig. 1) and can benefit from the positive incentive of low rate mortgages coupled with increasing property value.

Source: Optimum Research. Notes: Figures are from 2012
Source: Optimum Research. Notes: Figures are from 2012

This is leading to the establishment and strengthening of a high-potential retail market, providing an exceptional exit strategy to institutional investors like Optimum who can buy entire buildings and then split them to be sold on a single unit basis at the much higher retail prices.

The profitable situation of the Berlin real estate market is already clear to both national and international investors. According to the latest data released by Jones Lang LaSalle, in 2013 the city’s market registered the highest liquidity within Germany, showing a continuously growing trend, and the number of traded properties was four times higher than 2012. In a growing, competitive and unique environment like the Berlin market, investment in real estate can follow two opposite approaches.

There are large traded portfolios, usually made by more than 3,000 units, built over many years and cyclically transferred among significant institutional investors. These portfolios can be bought at significant discount by different ways (for instance, through direct acquisition or takeover of the owning entity), and their significant size can provide relevant diversification and large-scale benefit in day-to-day management. However, I believe this approach might be considered as the equivalent of index investments in equity markets – their return is often mostly linked to the overall relevant market sentiment.

The opposite approach is to build a portfolio from the very beginning, which Optimum does, through a careful selection of properties deemed to be undervalued and, therefore, with a significant upside. I believe this approach represents the best way to exploit the potential of a still growing and non-homogenous market like Berlin, where specific and notable opportunities can be found.

On the other hand, it requires a specific structure and expertise to reduce due diligence and execution time to the lowest possible, because the best properties often stay on the market for as little as one or two weeks. Furthermore, besides a deep knowledge of the market and acquisition expertise, an active approach during the optimisation phase is needed when, through property management and careful investments in renovation of the properties, the upside of the portfolio can be fully realised.

Either way, for the next few years Berlin’s real estate market will continue to attract a growing number of investors, both retail and institutional, looking to benefit from its dynamic and unparalleled opportunities. As of today, the market still has a lot of potential, but the catching up process with its German and European counterparts has begun.

An industry transformed

Forced to contend with regulatory changes and an increasingly competitive environment, the wealth management industry has had to take notice and emerge more cost-effective and responsible. Having been dealt the difficult task of streamlining a traditional operating model – while at the same time improving client engagement and personal service – wealth management has been subject to innumerable changes. It is this delicate balancing act that has seen technology take centre stage and firms satisfy changing client behaviour.

Even the onward march of the digital age and the unerring spotlight of regulatory scrutiny has failed to topple an industry that has been caught in a financial storm. Last year wealth management in the retail sector posted its sixth consecutive annual increase in assets under management and productivity, with assets up 11 percent and revenues up six percent on the year last, according to PriceMetrix’s State of Retail Wealth Management report. Dating back to 2009, the upward trend is proof of the industry’s ability to negotiate sometimes-challenging market conditions, marking the beginning of a new era for global wealth management.

Less had been more
Previously the industry has been buoyed by fundamentals, the most notable being strong economic growth in emerging markets, booming equity markets and, crucially, a rise in HNWI ahead of GDP. It would appear, however, that as a result of increased regulatory and pricing pressures, firms are more selective about who they bring on board, choosing to serve fewer and, on average, more valuable clients.

Previously the number of clients per advisor in 2012 came to 159 – falling in 2013 to 156. Nonetheless, average household assets throughout the same period increased to $562,000 from $490,000, mirroring the same pattern in household revenue, which was up to $3,670 from $3,300. The number of HNWI with $2m or more in investable assets also increased by 19 percent in 2013 to 7.7 percent, an increase of 6.5 percent on the year previously and 5.7 percent in 2012. The findings illustrate where the focus lies for managers today, as they look to HNWI to compensate for heavy losses inflicted by way of regulation, increased IT spending and sky-high client expectations.

Whereas assets under management are back to their pre-crisis highs, and, in the case of most emerging markets, far and above what they were previously, the pressures on revenue and profits are far greater. Revenue growth and profitability – when put alongside equity market returns – is seriously short, and highlights the importance of transforming operating models if firms are to remain competitive.

The circumstances have seen technology emerge as the go-to solution for many of the prevailing issues, and without it, many firms would likely struggle to keep pace with new and established market players – not to mention rising client expectations and regulatory pressures. As a result, firms are upping IT spending and integrating data, channels, people and processes as they do so. One joint report co-authored by Wealth Briefing, Weatherill and Advent Software entitled Technology and Operations Trends in the Wealth Management Industry shows the extent by which firms are beginning to see technology as a pillar of effective wealth management. The report shows that 60 percent of respondents have or will invest up to $5m on technology a year over 2012, 2013 and 2014, around 10 percent will then be investing between 10 and $20m annually, and another 10 percent will invest over $10m.

Those asked in the survey also said that the biggest technology-related challenge they faced was compliance with present and future regulatory requirements, with transparency at a distant second. Meeting regulatory challenges, therefore, accounts for the biggest share of spending, above even cost cutting and security. “Client expectations with regards to technology are fundamentally changing – not only driven by how digitised the banking industry is, but also their experiences in other industries,” says Sid Azad, Partner and Financial Services expert at Strategy&’s London office.

Adapting to the unknown
One area in which technology has emerged as an important differentiator is in reporting. Customisation and autonomy in particular are key areas of focus, as clients increasingly demand that they have anytime anywhere access to their assets. Here digital channels are crucial in building integrated wealth management platforms, capable of withstanding the changes – regulatory or otherwise – that come the industry’s way.

The focus on digital strategy and the development of new wealth analytics tools has also given rise to new market entrants, whose understanding of the digital space sets them apart from established competitors. “The new players are significantly more configured for the digital age than the traditional players are,” says Azad. By automating various back-end processes, these technologically savvy newcomers can eliminate hefty back office costs and still deliver a comprehensive and always connected service to their clients.

“The new players are also better at putting clients in control of their portfolios and helping clients co-create their propositions rather than being offered the standard two or three propositions. These new players are often able to offer better price points due to a more nimble and technology enabled operating model,” he adds. As such, a digital strategy for those in wealth management is no longer a choice but a necessity if they are to satisfy clients, streamline operations, cut costs and increase compliance across the board.

Much like the rest of the financial services sector, wealth management has come up against a host of regulatory hurdles of late. One Strategy& report, entitled Global Wealth Management Outlook 2014-2015: New Strategies For A Changing Industry, shows that in Europe, regulations have driven up costs by five to 10 percent for wealth management firms, becoming the single most expensive operational consideration on the books. Although the new regulations have been introduced to protect against corruption and mismanagement, no other factor has troubled firms to such an extent.

“Greater transparency on fee and performance is resulting in a fairly fundamental shift in client expectations, and therefore their wealth managers,” says Daniel Diemers, Partner at Strategy&’s Financial Services practice in Europe and the Middle East. “Historically, clients have often not been fully informed and appreciative of the various charges built into their underlying investments, and therefore how they could influence management fees by changing their portfolios.”

Firms must now make public their tax arrangements, forcing many into rethinking their offshore strategies, and making improvements to client disclosure in order to protect against mis-selling. What’s more, new pricing laws should serve to significantly lower costs for clients in the near future, narrowing already slim profit margins further still. “Regulatory changes and lack of clarity on future regulatory pressures is one of the biggest concerns of wealth managers,” says Diemers. “We believe that regulatory compliance has already added at least 10-15bps onto on-going costs-to-do-business due to a significant need for remediation and the constant flow of work to adhere to new regulations.”

Clients, whose appetite for transparency has increased most notably since the financial crisis took hold, have also fuelled the regulatory changes. As opposed to previous years, clients are demanding full disclosure across the board and the option to make informed executive decisions on how their assets are managed. “While regulations are contributing to a more transparent and competitive private wealth management landscape to a certain extent, an even bigger driver of transparency is the emergence of nimble, fully transparent wealth and asset management technology platforms,” says Azad. “These platforms are setting new standards for transparency which traditional players are being forced to match. We expect this trend will continue and traditional players will need to fundamentally change their operating models to achieve a significantly lower cost structure so that they can compete in a more transparent environment.”

Regardless of consistent annual growth in assets under management, traditional wealth management firms are only now beginning to adjust to a transformed industry. By putting client- centricity ahead of profitability and focusing on solutions ahead of mere services, industry leaders are redefining the foundations and bringing an increasingly sustainable and responsible shape to wealth management.

To mark this transformation, World Finance recognises those leading the way and making clear changes in the wealth management space.

Divisive Modi could revolutionise India

When newly appointed Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi tweeted “India has won, good days are here again,” you would think that his message was a reflection of universal jubilation across the country. However, while his landslide victory was more convincing than any in the country’s recent history, the joy felt by his supporters was met with equally vociferous dismay from his many opponents.

Upon his election in May, Modi was hailed as the saviour of India’s economy and the man who would kickstart the country into taking a dominant role in global affairs. Despite the welcoming tone from those fed up with the corruption and dynastic feel to Indian politics for much of the last few decades, there were also many that were dismayed by Modi’s victory. In particular, the country’s minority – yet considerable – Muslim community will have greeted his election with grave concerns that the government would not be acting with their interests at heart.

This sentiment stems from his role in the terrible riots seen in 2002 in his home state of Gujarat. During those riots, hundreds of Muslims were murdered by Hindu mobs, and Modi – a Hindu nationalist – failed to condemn them. It has meant that many of India’s Muslim community have immense ill feeling towards him, presenting a considerable hurdle for him to overcome.

During those riots, hundreds of Muslims were murdered by Hindu mobs, and Modi – a Hindu nationalist – failed to condemn them

Missed opportunity
The manner in which Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) swept to power surprised many observers, especially after the Congress Party dominated for so many years. However, the result shows that Indians had become fed up with Manmohan Singh’s government, and much of this resentment stems from the perception that India has wasted a decade when it should have been powering ahead economically.

The Congress Party had governed India for a staggering 55 out of the 67 years since independence. The defeat to the BJP was the worst performance in history, with just 44 seats secured in the lower parliamentary house – the Lok Sabha. This means Congress is not even the main opposition party anymore.

Upon his inauguration as Prime Minister in 2004, Singh was expected to oversee a period of rapid transformation. Singh had enjoyed acclaim for his economic acumen and previous experience running the country’s finances, as well as not being linked to the corruption scandals that had beset many within the Congress party. Many expected Singh to harness the country’s vast potential by shredding much of the country’s labyrinthine bureaucracy, therefore helping to create a more democratic economic powerhouse in Asia rival to China.

However, in the run-up to May’s election, many of the same calls for reform that were made 10 years ago were being heard once again. The lacklustre pace at which India’s economy has grown has led to Singh being dubbed a disappointing leader that has struggled to implement any meaningful change. Another crucial reason why Congress suffered such a heavy defeat was the long list of corruption scandals to hit the government over the last decade.

India's-economy-to-population-ratio
Notes: Post-2013 figures are IMF estimates. Source: International Monetary Fund

Corruption has become endemic throughout all levels of Indian society, but Congress suffered a multitude of scandals during its time in office. These include the 122 telecommunications licences awarded since 2008 under former minister Andimuthu Raja, which then had to be cancelled in 2012 after accusations of mis-selling. It’s thought that the licences cost India around $40bn and the scandal has been described as the country’s biggest to date. There was also a bribery scandal which hit the army in 2012, with a defence industry lobbyist offering an army chief $2.7m for ‘sub-standard’ vehicles. And there were a series of ‘cash-for-votes’ allegations to emerge from Wikileaks in 2011. These wrongdoings have done great damage to the reputation of the establishment in India, and it is Modi’s positioning of himself as a corruption-free outsider that has appealed to the majority.

Modi’s new dawn
Many observers want to know whether Modi will be able to return the country to the promising signs of growth shown a decade ago. Deepak Lalwani, Director for India at London-based consultancy firm Lalcap – which specialises in Indian investments – told World Finance that he had high hopes for Modi’s government, stating the appointment will hopefully bring, “a revival of the economy and a return to the higher economic growth trajectory seen in the last decade.”

In order to stimulate growth, Lalwani believes Modi needs to look at a number of areas that are holding back the economy. He says Modi must reduce the country’s spiralling inflation, while also accelerating the economic reforms that have long been promised by his party and their predecessors. He also calls for the government to “contain fiscal and current account deficits”, two important aspects that have got out of control in recent years. Immediately after the election result, however, Modi was provided with some good news on this front, with the current account deficit dropping to its lowest point in four years during the first quarter of 2014 (see Fig. 1). This represented a shortfall of just $1.2bn, compared to $4.2bn the previous quarter, and is thought to be as a result of higher tariffs that had slowed gold imports.

According to Lalwani, Modi’s vision of India is of a country with a strong economy and robust defence, carrying significant influence on the world stage. He believes that the government should be stripped back, with his mantra being “less government, more governance”. Modi’s performance as Chief Minister of Gujarat since 2001 – where he raised economic growth rates, improved infrastructure, eradicated corruption and cut down regulations – has led to the country’s millions hoping he can do the same on a national scale.

Lalwani added in a note, shortly after the election, that getting the economy started would not be easy, and that there was no ‘magic wand’ that could speed up growth. However, he said that such a large parliamentary majority for Modi would allow him to be a ‘decisive doer’; giving the country its best chance of passing some serious and meaningful reforms. Modi won’t get it all his own way, however. While he has secured a massive majority in the Lower House of India’s parliament, he doesn’t enjoy similar sway in the Upper House. “A key challenge for Modi will be to push legislation through the Upper House where BJP lacks strength. And successfully navigate through India’s complex federal structure, where state Chief Ministers play regional politics,” says Lalwani.

According to recent estimates by the World Bank, India’s economy will grow at around 5.5 percent during this year, a downward revision from January’s 6.2 percent forecast. While this is an improvement on recent years, it is not the soaring rate that many had hoped India would be achieving. However, the World Bank does expect growth to accelerate to 6.3 percent next year, and to 6.6 percent the year after. In order for Modi’s government to achieve yet further growth, there will need to be a solution to its soaring inflation, as well as a winding down of its famously prohibitive bureaucracy. While Singh made some decent steps towards deregulation by agreeing to the Indian Financial Code, thereby simplifying financial law, much greater strides need to be taken by Modi to ensure that businesses find it easier to operate, without having to tick a never-ending list of bureaucratic boxes.

Infrastructure and manufacturing
Perhaps the main criticism is that India should have invested in is its woefully inadequate infrastructure. For a country that has population of over 1.2 billion, there should be a vast network of infrastructure in place. Instead, the country’s road network is underdeveloped, its energy provision is severely unreliable, and its telecoms service is infrequent. While the rail network is certainly extensive, it still doesn’t serve many of the country’s poorer communities.

India's-FDI-and-Import-Figures
Notes: Figures from June 2013 to May 2014. Source: Trading Economics

For years there has been talk of building grand infrastructure schemes that would bring the country up to speed with the rest of the world and transform the lives of India’s many poverty-stricken citizens. However, for all the talk, little has actually been built. A total of 36 major infrastructure projects had stalled last year, and so Modi has a number of large schemes that need to be revitalised to help spur growth. Projects that need to be started or completed include many small airports, the Diamond Quadrilateral of high-speed trains, and the ‘Sagar Mala’ project that will better connect India’s ports.

Another thing that needs to happen is a boost to the manufacturing industry, and the subsequent job creation that will come from it. With millions of unemployed young people and a population growing at an alarming rate, India is seriously in need of stimulating its manufacturing base so that there are enough jobs to go around.

Many of India’s industries have been closed off to foreign investment for many decades, with protectionist policies being favoured over encouraging globalised competition. Regulations that limit the amount of overseas investment have led to a number of industries becoming stagnant. Modi is thought to be ready to loosen these rules, with arms manufacturing and defence industries seeing the limits on FDI removed (see Fig. 2), a drastic change to the current 26 percent restriction.

While Singh had long talked about reforming India’s FDI rules, getting anything implemented proved far more difficult, especially as he had to govern as part of a coalition. Modi has not got the same problem, and Lalwani thinks he will kickstart many of these relaxations to regulations. “Stalled reforms are expected to be revived quickly. Foreign investors will be welcomed and sectors opened to them if it is in India’s interests – for job and assets creation, for improved infrastructure and specialist technology.”

Building bridges
Inviting newly elected Pakistani President Nawaz Sharif to his inauguration was seen as a hugely symbolic step towards building bridges with India’s neighbour. However, it was also widely condemned by Indians that still blame the country for its supposed role in a wave of terrorist attacks in 2008 and 2009. A subsequent exchange of letters showed that Modi and Sharif were planning to “chart a new course in bilateral relations.” However, Modi is still yet to make reference to the massacres of Muslims in Gujarat under his watch. Until he addresses this issue, a large and influential part of Indian society will continue to distrust him.

Even though Modi is despised by a considerable number of Indians, a line needs to be drawn under the past. While he certainly should make some sort of gesture towards the Muslim community – an apology or a show of contrition – the fact is that Modi is going to be in charge of the country for the next five years. Lalwani feels that his divisiveness will be ignored if he is able to get India’s unemployment figures down. “The country needs economic growth, development and jobs. If he delivers on these in reasonable time he will win even more support.”

Getting stalled infrastructure projects off the ground should form the centrepiece of Modi’s economic policy. This can be done through a number of measures, including removing red tape and welcoming investment from overseas. But it will also require the government to be bold and underwrite the projects to get them off the ground. The announcement in June of an initial investment of around $5bn into an infrastructure fund is certainly a good start, but this must be kept up in the future. The news that Japanese and South Korean investors are interested is also a good sign that the country is adjusting itself to welcome more overseas cash to help spur economic growth.

While 5.5 percent GDP growth is certainly not a small amount compared with the expectations many have for India’s economy, it is somewhat lacklustre. The years squandered by Manmohan Singh’s Congress-led government mean that India has lost serious ground to China in its quest to become Asia’s economic powerhouse. Overcoming the many obstacles that India’s economy faces should be Modi’s primary concern, and getting the country to realise the vast potential it actually has will take a great deal of work.

However, achieving this must be done with the full support of parliament and the country’s business community, so that instead of India forever being talked of as merely a sleeping economic giant, it will actually rise up and challenge China for dominance of the Asian economy.

Investment Management Awards 2014

Best Investment Management Company, Angola
Angola Capital Partners

Best Investment Management Company, Argentina
HSBC Global Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Australia
Pinnacle Investment Management

Best Investment Management Company, Austria
Spaengler IQAM Invest

Best Investment Management Company, Bahrain
Apex Fund Services

Best Investment Management Company, Bangladesh
LR Global Bangladesh

Best Investment Management Company, Belgium
Capfi Delen

Best Investment Management Company, Brazil
BRAM – Bradesco

Best Investment Management Company, Bulgaria
ELANA Fund Management

Best Investment Management Company, Canada (fixed income)
TD Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Canada (equity strategies)
Mawer Investment Management

Best Investment Management Company, Caribbean
NCB Capital Markets

Best Investment Management Company, Channel Islands
Stenham Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Chile
Bci Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, China
BOCI Investment Management

Best Investment Management Company, Colombia
BBVA

Best Investment Management Company, Croatia
Quaestus

Best Investment Management Company, Cyprus
Byron Capital Partners 

Best Investment Management Company, Czech Republic
Investiční společnost České spořitelny

Best Investment Management Company, Denmark
ATP Private Equity Partners

Best Investment Management Company, France
Amundi Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Finland
Pohjola Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Germany
Helaba Invest

Best Investment Management Company, Ghana
Lifeline Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Greece
Triton Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Hong Kong
Legg Mason Asset Management Hong Kong

Best Investment Management Company, Iceland
MP banki

Best Investment Management Company, India
SBI Funds Management

Best Investment Management Company, Indonesia
BNP Paribas Partners

Best Investment Management Company, Italy
Generali Investments

Best Investment Management Company, Ireland
Mediolanum Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Jordan
AWRAQ

Best Investment Management Company, Kazakhstan
Kazyna Capital Management

Best Investment Management Company, Kenya
Genesis Kenya Investment Management

Best Investment Management Company, Kuwait
Kuwait Investment Company

Best Investment Management Company, Luxembourg
Commerzbank

Best Investment Management Company, Malaysia
AmInvest

Best Investment Management Company, Malta
Futura Investment Management

Best Investment Management Company, Mauritius
Capital Management International

Best Investment Management Company, Mexico
SURA Investment Management   

Best Investment Management Company, Namibia
EMH Prescient Investment Management

Best Investment Management Company, Netherlands
Robeco

Best Investment Management Company, New Zealand
Harbour Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Nigeria
UBA Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Norway
DNB Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Oman
Bank Muscat

Best Investment Management Company, Pakistan
BMA Funds

Best Investment Management Company, Peru
Credicorp Capital

Best Investment Management Company, Philippines
FAMI

Best Investment Management Company, Poland
Ipopema Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Portugal
Banif Gestão de Activos

Best Investment Management Company, Qatar
QNB

Best Investment Management Company, Romania
Carpatica Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Russia
Uralsib

Best Investment Management Company, Saudi Arabia
HSBC Saudi Arabia

Best Investment Management Company, Serbia
Novaston Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Singapore
Western Asset Management Singapore

Best Investment Management Company, Slovakia
IAD Investments

Best Investment Management Company, South Africa
Argon Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, South Korea
KDB Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Spain
Bestinver Gestion

Best Investment Management Company, Sri Lanka
NDB Wealth Management

Best Investment Management Company, Sweden
Swedbank Robur

Best Investment Management Company, Switzerland (fixed income)
1741 Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Switzerland (equity strategies)
RAM Active Investments

Best Investment Management Company, Taiwan
Shin Kong Financial Holding

Best Investment Management Company, Tanzania
Tanzania Securities

Best Investment Management Company, Thailand
BBL Asset Management Co

Best Investment Management Company, Turkey
Yapi Kredi Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, UAE
Emirates NBD

Best Investment Management Company, Uganda
deVere & Partners

Best Investment Management Company, Ukraine
Investment Capital Ukraine

Best Investment Management Company, UK (fixed income)
M&G Investments

Best Investment Management Company, UK (equity strategies)
Majedie Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, US (fixed income)
Loomis, Sayles & Company

Best Investment Management Company, US (equity strategies)
T. Rowe Price

Best Investment Management Company, Vietnam
SSI Asset Management

Best Investment Management Company, Zimbabwe
Alpha Asset Management Zimbabwe

GCC Investment & Development Awards 2014

Companies

Best Asset Management Company
KAMCO

Best Fund Management Company
Osool and Bakheet Investment Company

Best Personal Finance Programme
Saudi Hollandi Bank

Best Investor Relations
Burgan Bank

Best Custodian Company
Gulf Custody Company

Best Direct Investment Company
Mohammed Alsubeaei & Sons Investment Company

Best Family Owned Investment Company
Mohammed Alsubeaei & Sons Investment Company

Best Structured Finance Company
Saudi Med Investment Company

Best Securities Dealing Services
United Securities

Best Remittance Company
BFC Group Holdings

Best Financial Research Firm
KFH Research

Best Investment Advisory Company
Al Bashayer Investment Company

Best SME Finance Provider
Saudi Credit and Saving Bank

Best Bond Issuer
Dubai Electricity and Water Authority

Best Financial Centre
Dubai International Financial Centre 

Best Real Estate Development Company
Aldar Properties

Best Industrial Development Company
Industries Qatar

Best Employee Development
Emirates Group

Best Industrial Hub
Saudi Industrial Property Authority

Best Project Finance Programme
National Bank of Oman

Projects

Best CSR Project
The Higher Institute for Water and Power Technologies, ACWA Power

Best Cultural, Sports and Recreational Infrastructure Project
Sharjah Investment and Development Authority 

Best Energy Infrastructure Development Project
Dubai Business Bay – Executive Towers (BBET)

Best Transport Infrastructure Development Project
UAE Etihad Railway Network Project Etihad Rail Company

Best Economic Infrastructure Development Project
The Special Economic Zone at Duqm

Individual award

Business Leadership and Outstanding Contribution to the GCC Economy
Sheikh Mohammed Al Jarrah Al Sabah, Chairman, Kuwait International Bank

France to help fund Indian infrastructure

As newly anointed Prime Minister Narendra Modi sets about the business of building a modern, thriving Indian economy, he is seeking the help of foreign investors in funding the massive overhaul of infrastructure that the country needs.

This week, France announced it would be one of the first foreign governments to step forward and help fund India’s various new infrastructure projects. On a visit to India, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius revealed that over the next three years, the country would be investing as much as €1bn into infrastructure schemes.

“I believe Prime Minister Modi’s spectacular win will be seen as a ‘game changer’ for India”

Modi has said it is seeking as much as $1trn to spend on transforming its road, rail, and cities, by 2017, so that the country is able to cater for its vast population and harness it’s huge economic potential. He has been looking towards foreign investment to help with the funding of these many projects, something that many previous Indian governments have been reticent to do before.

Since Modi was elected in May, governments have lined up to praise his pro-business stance and focus on the economy. While the French are the first to send a senior minister to the country, it is expected that they will be followed by a number of other governments offering investments and strategic partnerships over the coming years.

Announcing the deal, Fabius said that the investment would help the two countries develop new technologies and ideas. “If you don’t have the share of technology and the share of finance, you can develop brilliant ideas, maybe brilliant, but [you will have] nothing concrete.”

Until recently, India’s biggest foreign investment partner has been Japan, which has invested considerable amounts into the colossal Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor that will dramatically expand the regions transport, energy and manufacturing infrastructure.

Deepak Lalwani, Director-India at Lalcap, a London-based consultancy specialising in India investments, told World Finance that Modi’s election victory had heartened foreign investors. “I believe Prime Minister Modi’s spectacular win will be seen as a ‘game changer’ for India. Great expectations of foreign investors have been raised now of a reversal of policies by Prime Minister Modi. Slow approvals, excessive bureaucracy, sectors not being opened enough and contradictory policies caused “investor fatigue” in India in the last few years.”

He added that many other countries will certainly look to invest in India in the future, but it depended on concrete policy changes rather than rhetoric. “Other countries will follow France, no doubt. But a lot more money will flow in once foreign investors’ need for “show me, don’t just tell me” occurs in the hoped for positive change in policies. Time will tell.”

Gross income inequality puts corporate salaries under fire

Fast food workers earlier this year tore themselves away from their tills and chip pans, choosing instead to take to the streets and protest against the gross margins of inequality that exist between them and their employers in the $200bn industry.

In among the ranks of disillusioned workers and union activists stood a low-ranking KFC employee, whose ambition it was to have her hourly pay raised to $15. The worker’s demands, however, were promptly dismissed, despite the fact that her superior, Yum Brands Chief Executive David Novak, enjoyed an annual compensation, according to Forbes, of $37.42m in the previous year.

Worst of all is that the ratio of executive-to-worker pay is not exclusive to the fast food industry, where it stands at over 1,000-to-one, and inequality is seen as a natural consequence of the capitalist system.

CEO pay increase:

875% (approx.)

1978-2012

Average worker pay increase:

5.4% (approx.)

1978-2012

Relative to the remaining 99.9 percent of earners, executive compensation has risen by an extraordinary rate in the past three decades, near enough doubling the income share of the top 0.1 percent of households through 1979 to 2007, according to the Economic Policy Institute (EPI). What’s more, research undertaken by the left-leaning think tank shows that CEO compensation through 1978 to 2012 increased 875 percent – double that of the stock market’s growth and far beyond the 5.4 percent equivalent rate for typical workers over the same period.

Granted, the chasm between executive and worker pay has existed for decades, but it is only in the previous 30 years or so that the distance between the two has reached such extremes. Whereas 50 years ago CEOs, on average, earned close to 20 times more than their typical employees, the reality today is pushing on 270.

Competition for executives has stiffened, purse strings have loosened, and as a result companies are attempting to lure executive candidates with increasingly excessive pay packages; some argue to the detriment of the economy.

Worst of all is that the increase in some instances has continued on its upward curve irrespective of productivity and profitability fluctuations, resulting in an increasingly disconnected labour market and a catalogue of consequences for those at the bottom of the ladder.

“Much of the increase in CEO pay has come from performance pay i.e. bonuses and share plans,” says Deborah Hargreaves, Director of the High Pay Centre. “However, there has been little link with company performance. These elements are increasingly taken for granted as part of overall pay instead of being a reward for exceptional performance.”

Discontent and disclosure
Fortunately, a surge in shareholder activism and a crackdown on corporate governance is today going some way to keeping a lid on executive pay. On September 18 last year, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) voted 3-2 in favour of a new rule requiring all publicly listed companies to disclose their ratio of CEO-to-worker compensation – though stopped short of enforcing a specific methodology. “This proposal would provide companies significant flexibility in complying with the disclosure requirement while still fulfilling the statutory mandate,” said the SEC Chair Mary Jo White.

The SEC ruling, however, is far from the only regulatory obstacle on the way to astronomical executive pay, and governments across the globe, in particular in the past decade, have instigated various say-on-pay initiatives to grant shareholders greater powers when deciding upon the issue of executive remuneration.

Across the pond in Europe, EU Internal Market and Services Commissioner Michel Barnier has unveiled fresh measures to cut short the widening margins of pay inequality that exist between workers and executives. Under the new EC measures, European companies must first seek shareholder approval for the gap before they’re allowed to push forward with their remuneration policy. And while there is no binding cap for the amount, companies must disclose clear, comparable and comprehensive information on the reasons why they have arrived upon their pay and employment terms.

“The last years have shown time and time again how short-termism damages European companies and the economy,” said Barnier when the proposal was first announced. “Sound corporate governance can help to change that. Today’s proposals will encourage shareholders to engage more with the companies they invest in, and to take a longer-term perspective of their investment.”

The central idea is that making pay disparity public should disincentivise companies from awarding bloated pay packages to executives, and transparency should reverse the upward spiral of executive pay, bringing oversized offerings to a standstill. And while it’s true that increased disclosure is an effective means of centring the spotlight on pay disparity, some suspect that the approach could actually have the opposite effect in terms of reducing executive compensation.

Peer benchmarking is a method utilised by many boards to arrive at an appropriate pay package for their executives, but releasing the executive-to-worker-pay ratio to the public could be seen by some as a green light for awarding similarly obscene salaries and bonuses.

Shareholder activism
It’s important that increased disclosure is coupled with appropriate action. Major shareholders were quick to oppose Martin Sorrell’s pay this April, after WPP announced that the CEO’s pay had risen by more than two-thirds in 2013 to reach £29.8m. Critics claimed that the raise did not in any way align with the interests of shareholders, and that such a sizeable package would raise costs and lower dividends as a consequence. Similarly, AstraZeneca’s most recent remuneration report prompted outrage among investors, many of whom were opposed to the measures. In total, 40 percent of shareholders attending the company’s annual general meeting refused to back the report, which would have increased Chief Executive Pascal Soriot’s base pay by three percent for the year and awarded him a further £4.35m in bonuses.

These instances illustrate that it isn’t just financial industry executives in the firing line, as has been the case historically, but also those in other sectors that have until very recently been considered relatively free of activism.

50 years ago CEOs, on average, earned close to 20 times more than their typical employees, the reality today is pushing
on 270

The most significant revolts began with the so-called ‘shareholder spring’ of 2012, which saw those at various companies – in particular those in financial services – rebel against overly excessive pay packets, and even depose certain individuals from the position of CEO. And although popular shareholder opposition failed to turn a positive result in every instance, the period served as an indication of how remuneration policies from thereon would be subject to sharpened shareholder scrutiny.

The wave of shareholder scrutiny that came crashing down on the likes of Aviva and Trinity Mirror left them with little option but to get rid of their executives. The circumstances at firms such as Citigroup, UBS and Barclays have resulted in an air of tension between boards and shareholders that to this day has not quite died down. Gone are the days when annual meetings were seen as little more than routine hearings, and in place has come an opportunity for disillusioned shareholders to have their concerns heard.

It’s clear, considering the rate at which equality-related policies are gathering support, along with the success of texts such as Piketty’s Capital in the Twenty-First Century, that there is a mounting interest in matters of inequality. And while executive compensation constitutes an ever-so-slight part of the wider issue, this is not to say that finding a resolution to spiralling CEO compensation is any less crucial.

Finding the right path
Executive pay looks to be entering into a new era in which pay, detached from performance, will be held to account. As shareholders gain more say on the specifics of executive pay, appeasing shareholders first time around at annual meetings will be seen as essential for boards looking to win their approval.

In decades gone by, shareholders have watched executive compensation reach stratospheric levels, regardless of the fact that margins have shrunk and productivity has fallen short of what it was. What’s clear now is that, increasingly, shareholders are opposed to oversized pay packets for executives, although are still unconvinced as to the best course of action to take.

“Some shareholders have become more vocal about excessive pay and they now have a binding vote on pay policy over the next three years,” says Hargreaves. “But many of them are short-term or not engaged enough, so it is hard to muster a majority vote against. That’s why we have always said they can’t hold companies to account on their own. We need more say for the workforce on pay with employees voted on to remuneration committees or boards.”

Despite greater powers for shareholders, executive pay continued on its upward curve in 2013. Analysis conducted by USA Today, using Standard & Poor’s 500 companies as a sample, showed that median CEO pay last year rose 13 percent to reach $10.5m, far above the three percent rise for the typical American worker.

Installing the mechanisms to vote down excessive executive pay and actually doing so are two very separate parts of a much larger issue.

Absolute return fixed-income investing way to go, says Byron

Since the global financial crisis in 2008-09, the sustained suppression of interest rates by global central banks has contributed to broad-based inflation in asset prices, rewarding investors that have participated indiscriminately in the prevailing yield chase in global bond markets.

Short-term interest rates continue to yield close to 0 percent, resulting in investors suffering negative real rates of return after adjusting for inflation for short maturity holdings. With the Bloomberg European High Yield Index offering investors a yield-to-worst figure of merely 3.4 percent at the time of writing, high yield no longer represents high yield, and investors are being forced to stretch for yield at the expense of duration, credit quality and liquidity.

With 2013 representing a true annus horribilis for bonds – with investment grade bonds suffering their worst year since 1994, registering their first annual loss since 1999 (only the third time in 34 years the asset class finished the year in the red) and long duration bonds suffering heavy losses in 2013, with the Barclays US Treasury Index 20+ Years maturities returning negative -13.88 percent – investors are being forced to reassess risk exposures in fixed income portfolios as the 30-year-plus bull market in bonds seemingly draws to a close.

From May 2 to June 25, 2013, the yield on 10-year US Treasuries went from 1.63 percent to 2.59 percent, causing sharp losses in fixed income portfolios, as investors priced in stronger US economic growth and the withdrawal of Fed stimulus. With consensus forecasts suggesting that the yield on the US 10-year Treasuries will rise to 3.5 percent by the end of 2014, more challenges lie on the horizon for bond investors, as they remain overexposed to interest rate risk. It is against this backdrop that Byron Capital Partners is aiming to provide innovative solutions in the area of absolute return fixed income and relative value credit, with a focus on producing strong risk-adjusted returns while offering investors a liquid alternative to traditional long-only fixed income investing.

Byron Fixed Income Alpha Fund return

3.47%

2013

The search for yield
Greece, after announcing the world’s largest sovereign debt restructuring in history in 2012, returned to the markets in April 2014 issuing €3bn of a euro-denominated five-year bond. An order book of €20bn drove yields down to a remarkable 4.95 percent, despite Greece’s credit rating (Caa3 from Moody’s and B- from S&P). Spain, rated Baa2 by Moody’s and with net foreign liabilities of 114 percent of GDP, in April 2014 issued a 10-year USD-denominated bond at a record low (since 2004) yield of 3.059 percent.

Not only have peripheral European countries profited from investors’ search for yield, but Pakistan is rated Caa1 by Moody’s and issued its first USD bonds since 2007 in April this year at a yield of 7.25 percent for the five-year maturity and at a yield of 8.25 percent for the 10-year bonds. Weaker creditors continue to come to the market to take advantage of low yields and strong buying from investors, who are desperate for yield. This demand has led to continual over-subscription of new debt issues, resulting in reductions in coupons and protections and less transparency provided to investors (issuers have even refused access to historical financials in some cases). Going further down the credit spectrum in search of return remains challenging, as even distressed names are in short supply. Taking the definition of a ‘distressed credit’ as a name trading in excess of 1,000 basis points over US Treasuries, only four percent of the US High Yield Index trades with spreads in excess of 1,000 basis points over US Treasuries.

Faced with corporate credit yields continuing to touch new lows and credit supply offering inadequate compensation for fundamental credit risks, traditional bond investors have been forced to turn to equities, but their volatility can be problematic. For example, since 1972 the S&P 500 has fallen more than seven percent on 27 occasions. Furthermore, incoming legislation such as Solvency II, which will regulate the €7trn European insurance industry, focuses on ‘asset risk’, forcing insurers to evaluate the assets they invest in from a cost and risk budgeting perspective. Under Solvency II, a capital charge of 39 percent will apply for global equities but debt-related instruments are scheduled to be cheaper at 15 percent, forcing insurers to look to debt assets. However, with yields low and investors being forced to take more duration and credit risk, investors are now being forced to look at absolute return fixed income and relative value credit as alternatives to traditional long-only fixed income investing.

Byron Capital Partners launched the Byron Fixed Income Alpha Fund in November 2010, which focuses on absolute return fixed income and relative value credit. Furthermore, the fund operates in a UCITS-compliant (undertakings for collective investment in transferable securities derivatives) structure, domiciled in Ireland. The strategy works well in a UCITS structure, although leverage in UCITS is limited to 10 percent of net asset value so the quality of the asset management is truly tested. In addition, exposure to loans that tend to outperform in a rising interest rate environment are not permissible in UCITS funds.

During and following the 2008 financial crisis, the comparative advantages of UCITS funds manifested themselves and the structure addresses prominent investor concerns such as liquidity, regulation, custody of assets, transparency and risk management. UCITS IV provided the flexibility for absolute return strategies to be run effectively in a UCITS structure with the scope to offer hedge fund-like risk-return profiles in a regulated, liquid and transparent product offering. Both in and outside of Europe, the UCITS directive has evolved into one of the most widely recognised regulatory frameworks of investment funds, allowing investors to access absolute return strategies through UCITS-compliant onshore structures while obtaining increased transparency and liquidity. One of the most effective measures taken by the UCITS directive to provide investor protection is the requirement for UCITS funds to hire independent service providers such as trustees, auditors, administrators and custodians. In addition, UCITS funds explicitly lie outside of the AIFMD scope and already possess a European passport allowing distribution across Europe.

Low risk, low volatility
Now approaching its four-year anniversary in November, the Byron Fixed Income Alpha Fund has won performance awards for 2012 and 2013 from leading industry publications in very different market conditions for fixed income investing. The fund returned 7.43 percent in 2012 and 3.47 percent in 2013 and has run an average credit rating of BBB since inception, thereby not taking excessive credit risk. For the year-to-date through May 15, the fund has returned 2.69 percent.

Duration risk continues to be tightly managed, with the fund running duration at 1.95 at the time of writing. Furthermore, volatility is low at approximately 2.3 percent since inception and a premium is placed on risk management, with monthly value-at-risk at a 99 percent level of confidence currently totalling 1.39 percent. Hit ratios of individual trades (i.e. each trade is monitored for profitability) are monitored and stored for analysis and correspondence with the risk team. A strong emphasis is placed on matching the liquid profile of the investments with investor capital, in line with the UCITS directive. On account of offering investors weekly liquidity, the fund maintains a liquid portfolio of investments in order to ensure there are no mismatches between investor capital and the underlying asset base of the fund.

Importantly for investors looking to mitigate interest risk and diversify their fixed income portfolios, the fund maintains a low correlation against traditional bond indices, with a correlation of less than 20 percent versus the Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index. The selection of securities held is bottom-up driven, with the goal of identifying fundamentally mispriced idiosyncratic risk. Generation and implementation of short side exposure is more top down, macro-driven with the focus on identifying asset class, sub-asset class, sector or sub-sector shorts either to hedge out exposures in the long side of the book or express a negative view on a particular segment of the market. Themes on the short side that worked well in 2013 included but were not limited to shorts in US Treasuries that helped mitigate interest risk. The fund has historically been run with a net long exposure but has the ability to take a net short exposure that should serve it well in a secularly negative environment for fixed income and credit. In terms of current opportunity sets, the investment management team is focusing on selective areas of emerging markets following the re-pricing of emerging market risk in 2013.

With short-term interest rates in the developed world likely to remain low for the foreseeable future, a premium will be put on the ability to generate positive real returns without exposing investors to excessive duration and credit risk, as well as illiquidity. With the 30-year-plus bull market in bonds reaching a denouement and investors under increasing pressure to produce positive real returns from fixed income investments, the prospects for absolute return fixed income, particularly in a regulated structure, look favourable and offer a compelling alternative to a rotation into equities that arguably remain expensive on both a cyclically-adjusted and historical basis.

ING raises €1.54bn in Europe’s biggest float

The biggest financial services firm in the Netherlands, ING Group, has raised €1.54bn from the sale of shares in its insurer NN Group NV. The IPO is the largest European listing in over three years, with ING selling 77 million shares at a starting price of €21 above the estimated sales price. The move has raised significant capital for ING which is looking to regain its footing following a bailout in 2008.

The move has raised significant capital for ING which is looking to regain its footing following a bailout in 2008

Including a conversion of €450m in mandatory exchangeable notes under an agreement with three Asian investors, gross proceeds from the listing amounted to about €2bn.

The sale of a 28.6 percent stake in NN Group brings ING closer to the end of a restructuring programme imposed by EU regulators and the proceeds will be used to pay debt and further unwind the firm into more of a stable bank.

“We remember how we built this company and it’s a mixed emotion,” ING Group Chief Executive Ralph Hamers said at the Amsterdam stock exchange. “We had to end one era to start a new one. The listing today is the final step in turning ING from a bancassurer into a bank”.

Having raised a significant amount of money but still keeping a majority ownership in NN, ING shares rose 0.4 percent, giving the company a market value of €40.5bn.

ING had initially said that it would only offer 70m shares, but chose to increase the offering shortly before the IPO in order to meet ‘significant investor demand,’ a statement said. The company must sell at least 50 percent of NN by 2015 and be rid of the arm entirely by 2016, as part of the demands from the Dutch government, which gave ING a €10bn capital injection after it saw serious losses to assets backed by US mortgages during the financial crisis.

NN is currently considered the biggest life insurer in the Netherlands, based on gross written premiums, and is also the largest provider of mandatory pensions in Poland and Romania. With the offer price, the insurer is now valued at more than €7bn and its sale could finally bring ING’s finances back to solid ground.

ING, which will continue as a Europe-focused bank after the restructuring, also said that it had recently sold a remaining 10 percent stake in Brazil’s Sul America SA through a block trade for about €170m.