Building resilience through digital treasury

In today’s volatile macroeconomic environment, treasury functions are no longer limited to transaction execution or cash administration. They have become strategic financial control centres that directly influence liquidity resilience, funding strategy, risk management, capital allocation and long-term business sustainability. For SOCAR Türkiye, this shift has been particularly important given the scale, complexity and integrated nature of its operations across the energy value chain.

As Türkiye’s largest foreign direct investor, SOCAR Türkiye operates through a broad group structure that includes more than 30 companies, including PETKİM, STAR Refinery, SOCAR Turkey Petrol Ticaret and SOCAR Turkey Depolama. Managing treasury activities across such a large and interconnected ecosystem requires not only operational discipline, but also strong visibility, reliable data, standardised controls and fast decision-making capability.

SOCAR Türkiye’s treasury transformation was initiated to address precisely these needs. Previously, treasury-related financial processes across group companies were managed through fragmented and manually intensive structures. Cash flow monitoring, transaction tracking and reporting activities were largely dependent on manual processes, which created challenges in efficiency, accuracy, visibility and forecasting. As transaction volumes increased and financial requirements became more complex, it became clear that a more centralised, automated and digitally enabled treasury infrastructure was essential.

The core objective of the transformation was to strengthen SOCAR Türkiye’s financial resilience by improving liquidity visibility, enhancing cash forecasting accuracy, reducing operational risk and enabling more effective management of funding and working capital requirements. Treasury digitalisation was therefore positioned not simply as an operational improvement initiative, but as a strategic enabler of financial sustainability and disciplined growth.

Building a transformation
The transformation was built around three main pillars: centralisation, system integration and automation. First, treasury processes were strengthened under a centralised operating model, supported by a team of treasury professionals responsible for group-wide financial oversight. This helped improve accountability, standardise workflows and create a clearer view of liquidity and risk exposure across SOCAR Türkiye companies.

Second, SOCAR Türkiye implemented and integrated key digital treasury systems, including SAP TRM and SAP BPC, together with internal dashboard structures. These systems enabled automatic daily bank balance tracking, real-time cash flow reporting, faster domestic and international payment processing, and enhanced monitoring of deposits, loans, bank limits, net cash position and risk metrics. As a result, management gained access to more timely and reliable financial information, supporting better-informed decisions in a fast-moving business environment.

Third, Robotic Process Automation was introduced to automate repetitive and high-volume treasury processes. This became one of the most important milestones of the transformation. Through AI-supported RPA and system integrations, manual transaction entries were significantly reduced, particularly in areas such as FX transactions, deposits, letters of credit and intra-company transfer requests. With Bloomberg integration, FX transactions could be automatically recorded in SAP TRM, improving both speed and accuracy.

These improvements reduced manual workload, minimised human error and enhanced transaction reliability across a total annual transaction volume of approximately $22bn. The automation initiatives also generated more than 600 workforce hours of savings, allowing treasury professionals to focus more on analytical, strategic and value-adding activities rather than repetitive operational tasks.

Governance, visibility, decision-making
Beyond efficiency gains, the transformation created broader organisational value. Near real-time financial dashboards strengthened management visibility and improved decision-making capability. Standardised digital workflows enhanced internal controls, audit traceability and governance. Data quality improved as manual intervention decreased, while risk monitoring became more transparent and consistent across group companies.

The transformation also supported a more sustainable workload structure within the Treasury team by reducing overtime pressure and enabling more efficient workforce utilisation. In addition, the integration of e-signature processes contributed to SOCAR Türkiye’s sustainability journey by reducing paper usage and supporting more environmentally responsible ways of working.

What distinguishes SOCAR Türkiye’s treasury transformation is not only the use of digital tools, but the way these tools were embedded into a scalable and group-wide financial management framework. The infrastructure now supports centralised monitoring across more than 30 consolidated companies and can be extended to newly established or acquired entities. This modular and standardised approach ensures that treasury capabilities can be replicated efficiently across the broader organisation.

Treasury as a strategic value creator
For a capital-intensive energy group, the ability to monitor liquidity, funding requirements, risk exposures and financial positions in near real time is a critical source of resilience.

SOCAR Türkiye’s digital treasury transformation has helped shift the Treasury function from a reactive operational unit into a proactive strategic partner. By combining automation, integrated systems, data visibility and strong governance, Treasury now plays a stronger role in supporting financial stability, operational excellence and long-term growth.

Ultimately, SOCAR Türkiye’s experience demonstrates that digital treasury transformation is not only about improving processes. It is about building a future-ready financial infrastructure capable of supporting strategic agility, risk resilience and sustainable value creation in an increasingly complex business environment.

Responsible investing through digital innovation

KBC is a well-established European financial group, combining banking and insurance activities and serving approximately 13 million clients across Belgium, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Bulgaria. Within the Group, KBC Asset Management (KBC AM) functions as the investment arm, developing and managing solutions for both retail and institutional investors. KBC Asset Management develops investment products primarily for intra-group distribution and supports investors through both direct and indirect channels. Its activities span the full investment lifecycle, from product design and portfolio management to sales support and after-sales services. Innovation has been a defining feature of the organisation from its earliest days. The ambition is to be a reference player in the investment domain in each of its core markets, while making investing accessible, understandable and relevant for a broad range of clients.

Digitalisation plays an important enabling role in this strategy. Over the past decade, KBC Group’s mobile banking application has evolved into an all-in-one platform that increasingly serves as the primary interface with clients. The introduction of ‘Kate,’ the Group’s virtual assistant, represents a further step in enhancing the digital client experience, supporting a more intuitive and integrated investment journey.

Supporting savers on their journey
A central pillar of KBC AM’s approach is helping savers transition into investing and supporting them as their financial needs evolve over time. This is reflected in the significant number of active investment plans, a predominantly mobile first distribution model, and a client journey designed to offer guidance at key decision points.

Dedicated solution development teams are responsible for creating investment solutions from initial concept through to market launch, while also continuously reviewing and adapting existing products to ensure ongoing alignment with client needs. In parallel, solution support teams provide training, information and after-sales services, with a strong emphasis on digital channels. As of the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, KBC Asset Management managed close to €300bn in assets under management.

This total comprises approximately €127bn in direct client assets, €23bn in group assets and pension funds, around €82bn in fund of funds structures, and roughly €67bn associated with investment advisory mandates. A significant share of direct client assets is invested in line with KBC’s responsible investing framework, supporting consistently high levels of client satisfaction.

A commitment to sustainability
Sustainability is a core element of KBC AM’s long-term strategy and a key factor underpinning its recognition in this programme. The firm’s sustainability approach is closely linked to the local communities and economies in which it operates, with a clear objective to respond to societal needs in a balanced, transparent and relevant manner.

Environmental responsibility is a key pillar within KBC Group’s sustainable finance approach. This programme addresses issues such as climate change, biodiversity, circularity, pollution and water management, translating these themes into concrete investment policies and operational practices.

An important aspect of KBC Asset Management’s sustainability framework is its approach to exclusion policies and their periodic reassessment. In 2025, KBC Group reviewed elements of its exclusion framework for certain actively managed, non-structured Article 6 funds. As a result, and under clearly defined conditions, these funds may gain limited exposure to companies involved in nuclear weapons, provided these companies are domiciled in NATO countries or in Austria, Switzerland or Ireland.

Investments in controversial weapons, including chemical or biological weapons, cluster munitions and anti‑personnel mines, remain fully excluded in line with KBC Group’s blacklist framework. Funds that follow KBC Asset Management’s Responsible Investing methodology continue to apply their own exclusion policy and are not in scope of this update.

The decision reflects the view that credible defence capabilities, including nuclear deterrence, are considered by governments to be an essential component of collective security in the current geopolitical context. KBC Group framed the review within the applicable legal and regulatory context and communicated transparently with investors about the scope and implications. Transparency and client choice were central to the implementation: investors in the affected funds were proactively informed and offered the opportunity to exit without exit fees (excluding any applicable taxes) during clearly defined periods.

People at the core of value creation
Underlying KBC AM’s investment activities, digital innovation and sustainability strategy is a strong emphasis on human capital. Employees are viewed as key drivers of long-term value creation, and the organisation promotes a professional culture based on responsiveness, mutual respect and a results-oriented mindset. This people-centred approach supports the firm’s ambition to operate responsibly while continuously enhancing the client experience. Recognised as the ‘Most Sustainable Asset Manager 2025 – Belgium’ and awarded for excellence in client service, KBC Asset Management demonstrates how scale, responsibility and innovation can be combined within a coherent investment strategy.

By integrating digital capabilities, structured sustainability policies and a measured response to evolving societal and geopolitical realities, the firm continues to position itself as a long-term investment partner in its core European markets.

Examining the new market reality

In times of geopolitical stress, markets tend to fall back on familiar patterns. Risk assets weaken, safe havens strengthen and correlations behave in predictable ways. Yet recent developments have challenged this conventional playbook. Gold, long regarded as the ultimate store of value during uncertainty, has behaved in a manner that appears at first glance contradictory. In the lead-up to the heightened tensions in the Middle East, gold prices rallied strongly, reflecting investors’ anxiety and a growing demand for protection. However, once the conflict materialised, the metal unexpectedly declined, defying its traditional role as a safe haven.

This divergence between expectation and reality offers a revealing window into how modern markets are evolving and why long-standing relationships between assets are becoming less reliable. At the heart of this shift lies a broader transformation. Markets today are increasingly driven not just by events themselves but by expectations of positioning and liquidity conditions surrounding those events.

Anticipation over reaction
Gold’s rally prior to the escalation of geopolitical tensions was largely rooted in anticipation. Investors anticipating instability following US President Trump’s return to the White House began positioning defensively. Central banks continued to accumulate gold as part of broader diversification strategies, while persistent concerns about the trade war, inflation and global growth added further support.

However, once the geopolitical event unfolded, markets had already priced in a significant degree of Trump-related risks. This led to a classic ‘buy the rumour sell the fact’ dynamic where the absence of further escalation or simply the realisation that worst-case scenarios had not materialised triggered profit taking. This coming hot on the heels of the winding down in precious metals’ speculative frenzy exacerbated the sell-off.

At the same time, macroeconomic forces began to exert greater influence. Rising bond yields increased the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Meanwhile, a strengthening US dollar absorbed a significant portion of safe-haven demand. Together these factors outweighed the geopolitical premium that would typically support gold prices. This episode highlights a critical shift. Markets are no longer purely reactive. Instead, they are increasingly forward-looking, pricing in risks well before they materialise and adjusting rapidly as new information emerges.

US dollar dominance endures
One of the most important factors shaping gold’s recent behaviour is its relationship with the US dollar. Traditionally, gold and the dollar share an inverse correlation. When the dollar strengthens, gold tends to weaken and vice versa. This relationship is rooted in gold being priced in dollars and its role as an alternative store of value. In the current environment, this inverse relationship has reasserted itself with considerable force. Despite geopolitical uncertainty, the US dollar has remained exceptionally strong, underscored by relatively higher interest rates amid a resilient economic performance, and its enduring status as the world’s primary reserve currency.

As a result, safe-haven flows that might historically have supported gold have instead been directed towards the dollar. For global investors, particularly in times of crisis, liquidity and accessibility often take precedence over tradition. The dollar offers both, reinforcing its position as the dominant safe haven in the modern financial system. This dynamic suggests that while gold retains its long-term appeal as a hedge against systemic risk, its short-term performance is increasingly constrained by macroeconomic factors, especially monetary policy and dollar strength.

Unusual equity alignment
Perhaps more surprising than gold’s relationship with the dollar has been its recent interaction with equities. Historically, gold and equity markets tend to move in opposite directions. When appetite for risk declines and equities fall, gold rises as investors seek safety. Conversely, during risk-on environments, gold typically underperforms. However, recent market behaviour has revealed periods where both gold and equities have moved higher simultaneously. This apparent breakdown in traditional correlation reflects deeper structural changes in how markets function.

The recent behaviour of gold serves as a broader reminder that financial markets are not static

One key driver of this phenomenon is liquidity. In an environment where central banks have over the past decade injected significant liquidity into the financial system, asset prices across the board have become increasingly sensitive to capital flows rather than purely to fundamental distinctions between risk and safety. Institutional investors meanwhile are adopting more nuanced strategies. Rather than viewing gold strictly as a hedge against equity risk, they are incorporating it as part of diversified portfolios that can benefit from multiple macroeconomic scenarios.

This has led to overlapping demand where both equities and gold can attract inflows under certain conditions.

The result is a more complex market environment where traditional risk on and risk off frameworks no longer fully capture asset behaviour. Instead, markets are increasingly characterised by hybrid dynamics where assets can respond simultaneously to different and sometimes conflicting drivers.

Geopolitics and market asymmetry
While gold’s behaviour offers valuable insight, the broader impact of geopolitical tensions extends across multiple asset classes. The Middle East crisis in particular has highlighted how geopolitical risk creates asymmetrical effects, producing clear winners and losers across the global economy. Energy markets have been among the primary beneficiaries. Oil and gas prices have soared amid concerns over supply disruptions, reinforcing the strategic importance of energy security. Defence-related industries have also seen increased investor interest, reflecting expectations of sustained or increased military spending.

The US dollar, as noted, has strengthened further, benefiting its role as a global reserve currency and a preferred destination for capital during periods of uncertainty. On the other side of the equation, emerging markets have faced renewed pressure. Capital outflows stemming from currency volatility and heightened sensitivity to external shocks have made these economies particularly vulnerable. Risk-sensitive currencies have struggled while trade-dependent economies face additional challenges as global supply chains come under strain again. This divergence underscores a key feature of modern geopolitical risk. Its effects are not evenly distributed. Instead, they amplify existing strengths and weaknesses within the global economic system.

The persistence of elevated risk
If geopolitical tensions remain elevated, several broader market trends are likely to persist. Volatility, already a defining feature of recent years, is expected to remain high. Investors will continue to navigate an environment where sudden shifts in sentiment can lead to rapid price movements across asset classes. The dominance of the US dollar is also likely to endure particularly if interest rate differentials remain favourable. This could continue to place pressure on alternative assets, including gold, in the short term.

At the same time, commodities, especially energy, may remain supported by ongoing supply concerns and structural shifts in global trade patterns. Gold, despite its recent fluctuations, could still benefit over the longer term as a hedge against systemic risk, particularly if geopolitical tensions evolve into more prolonged or widespread disruptions. Central banks for their part are likely to maintain a cautious stance. Balancing inflation control with economic stability becomes increasingly complex in an environment shaped by both geopolitical uncertainty and shifting market dynamics.

The recent behaviour of gold serves as a broader reminder that financial markets are not static. Relationships that once held consistently can weaken or even reverse under new conditions. For investors, this presents both a challenge and an opportunity. Relying solely on historical correlations is becoming increasingly insufficient. Instead, a more flexible approach is required – one that recognises the interplay between macroeconomic forces for geopolitical developments and evolving market structures. Understanding the drivers behind asset behaviour is now more important than ever. Why is the dollar strengthening? How are interest rates influencing capital flows? What role does liquidity play in shaping price movements? These questions are central to navigating today’s markets.

A new market reality
The global financial landscape is entering a phase defined by complexity and transition. Geopolitical risks are becoming more frequent and more interconnected while macroeconomic conditions continue to shift in response to policy decisions and structural changes. In this environment, the concept of a safe haven is itself evolving. Gold remains an important component of the financial system, but its role is no longer as straightforward as it once was. The US dollar, supported by its unique position in global finance, continues to dominate in times of stress. Meanwhile, correlations between assets are becoming more fluid, reflecting the growing influence of liquidity and investor behaviour.

For market participants, the implications are clear. Adaptability rather than adherence to tradition is becoming the defining characteristic of successful investment strategies. The ability to interpret changing relationships and respond to new dynamics will be critical in an increasingly unpredictable world. As recent events have shown, even the most established assumptions can be challenged. In the evolving landscape of global finance, understanding these shifts is not just advantageous, it is essential.

Zenith Bank and the new African economy

When Jim Ovia, CFR, founded Zenith Bank in May 1990, the unity and prosperity of Africa were among his greatest dreams. For the renowned businessman, banker, and philanthropist who went on to paint the picture of the continent he envisioned in his book, Africa Rise and Shine, one thing was crystal clear: building a formidable financial institution was a potent catalyst for Africa’s transformation.

In three and a half decades, Zenith Bank, his brainchild and the bank in which Ovia CFR previously served as chairman, has been integral in Africa’s remarkable metamorphosis into a continent expected to anchor global growth in the coming decades. Today, the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook ranks 11 of the world’s 15 fastest-growing economies in Africa, and the continent is among the world’s most resilient regions. In 2026, the African Development Bank’s African Economic Outlook puts Africa’s growth at 4.2 percent, among the highest globally.

For Africa, the journey toward unity, with 54 nations now pursuing shared and common goals, has been fundamental. For instance, the unity of purpose brought about by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and the push to integrate payments through the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System are clear indications of a continent on the rise. The impacts of AfCFTA are nothing short of phenomenal. The agreement has created the world’s largest free trade area, a single market of over 1.4 billion people with a combined gross domestic product (GDP) of $3.4trn.

Dame Dr. Adaora Umeoji, OON, Group Managing Director/CEO of Zenith Bank

Zenith Bank has been central to Africa’s economic ascent. On this, the bank has been deliberate. From its home market in Nigeria, and through a business strategy anchored in people, technology, and service, Zenith Bank has evolved over the years into a top financial institution in Africa with a solid financial foundation. Today, the bank is not only Nigeria’s largest financial institution by Tier-1 capital but also one of Africa’s leading banks, a far cry from its modest beginnings when it commenced operations in July 1990.

While building the requisite financial scale has been critical, ensuring it meets market needs has been another masterstroke. In this regard, Zenith Bank offers a wide array of financial products and services for individual and corporate clients. The solutions span corporate and retail banking, commercial and consumer banking, personal and private banking, and investment banking. These include trade services and foreign exchange, treasury and cash management services, and other non-bank financial services mainly offered through its subsidiaries.

These solutions, supported by massive investments in technology and a deeply entrenched culture of innovation, have driven exponential growth across all metrics. Cumulatively serving 36 million customers, the bank operates an extensive branch and ATM network at home and also has a presence in the UK, France, Sierra Leone, the Gambia, the United Arab Emirates, as well as a representative office in China. In recent months, the bank has also embarked on a Pan-African expansion strategy, entering Côte d’Ivoire and Kenya.

Profitability anchored on execution
For Zenith Bank, one of its outstanding trends has been sustaining a strong culture of profitability through every economic cycle. In 2025, the bank once again lived up to this mantra, posting ₦1.04trn ($727m) in profit after tax. The performance was reinforced by robust capital and liquidity positions, both well above the regulatory minimum, alongside a prudent risk management culture that kept non-performing loans well in check.

Zenith Bank has been central to Africa’s economic ascent

One key metric in which the bank was an exceptional performer was cleaning its bad-loan book. In a policy directive, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) required banks to clean up legacy exposures previously held under regulatory forbearance by June 30, 2025. Zenith Bank used the transition to clean its books, implementing measures such as write-offs and loan recoveries. Owing to decisive actions, the bank managed to reduce its non-performing loan (NPL) ratio substantially from 4.7 percent in 2024 to 3.8 percent in 2025, well clear of industry norms.

The Nigerian banking industry is highly competitive, and Zenith Bank’s impressive results reflect disciplined, focused execution of its strategy. Specifically, the bank has been astute in strengthening its asset quality, optimising its balance sheet and investing in capabilities to propel growth. A key differentiator during the year was the bank’s strong position in international trade and foreign exchange flows.

In recent years, Nigeria has been on a mission to reduce its dependence on the oil sector, which is a major source of forex and government revenues. Data from the Nigerian Export Promotion Council indicate that in 2025, the country’s non-oil exports reached a historical high of $6.1bn, an 11.5 percent increase from $5.4bn in 2024. As a key facilitator of international trade, Zenith Bank played a central role in repatriating over 40 percent of Nigeria’s non-oil export proceeds. Owing to its role, the bank was able to deepen relationships with large corporates and supported transaction-led income. The franchise remains critical for the bank, as trade finance generates recurring business, strengthens customer relationships, and supports foreign currency liquidity.

Apart from the trade sector, Zenith Bank also maintained a disciplined lending approach, which led to gross loans rising to about ₦11trn ($7.9bn). The major focus was on viable sectors such as manufacturing, agriculture, and telecommunications, as well as key value chains that offered more predictable cash flows. Non-interest income from fees, commissions and digital channels also contributed to the impressive performance, supported by a steady push in digital transformation that improved customer experience, increased transaction volumes and lowered operating costs. Also impactful was the high-interest-rate environment, which supported returns from the loan book and from investments in government securities.

For Zenith Bank, the high-interest-rate environment delivered strong returns across lending and investment activity. Through 2025, the Monetary Policy Committee held the policy rate at 27.50 percent at its February, May and July meetings before easing it 50 basis points to 27.00 percent in September. Inflation also moderated through the year, with the National Bureau of Statistics putting the annual 2025 average at 23.01 percent. Average private-sector credit stood at ₦75.6trn ($54.8bn) for the year, up from ₦75.3trn ($54.6bn) in 2024, with well-capitalised banks like Zenith positioned to grow lending as the easing cycle takes hold.

Reform momentum
Nigeria’s broader economy has undergone a transformative period of reform. The removal of fuel subsidies, the unification of exchange rates, and sustained monetary tightening have significantly helped correct long-standing distortions. The reforms have improved price discovery in the foreign exchange market, strengthened fiscal revenues, and restored investor confidence. A key pointer is capital inflows. Government data show that last year, inflows surged by 90 percent, driven by foreign portfolio investment as investors returned to Nigeria. During the year, net capital investments stood at $23.2bn, up from $12.3bn in 2024.

For the Nigerian economy, the reforms’ impacts have been encouraging. Growth has remained resilient, supported by services, higher oil production, stronger non-oil activity and a gradual recovery in external balances. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, real GDP growth in 2025 was 3.87 percent, up from 3.38 percent in 2024. This year, growth is projected to accelerate further to 4.4 percent. The rate of economic expansion is inspiring, and the next step is to ensure it translates into investment, jobs, food security, and stronger household purchasing power.

Nigeria’s economy has undergone a transformative period of reform

This is necessary, given that Nigeria, Africa’s third-largest economy with a rebased 2025 GDP of ₦441.5trn (about $320bn) per the NBS, is well positioned to build on its momentum. Hard work and tough decisions have been instrumental in stabilising the economy. Going forward, the next natural course of action is to ensure that the positive economic momentum translates into better living standards for Nigerians.

The government continues to advance its socio-economic agenda with strong intent. Building on the reform momentum, priority areas include productivity, employment, agricultural security, market access and logistics, all of which are reinforced by sustained delivery of the broader reform programme.

Over the medium term, the focus is shifting to inclusive growth. Agriculture, SMEs, manufacturing, digital enterprise and labour-intensive services are positioned to benefit from financing, infrastructure and policy support that creates jobs. Macroeconomic stability, paired with policies that strengthen household purchasing power, sets the stage for growth to translate into real prosperity.

In your best interest
The government has framed the reforms as the foundation for long-term gains. For the banking sector, the reforms have already brought a retinue of benefits. Among the benefits is the liberalisation of the exchange rate. For banks with strong foreign currency positions, this has led to an increase in foreign exchange trading income and revaluation gains. Besides, the high interest rates have supported net interest margins as asset yields repriced faster than funding costs in the early phase of tightening. Also, higher yields in the fixed-income market have provided attractive risk-adjusted returns on sovereign instruments.

Another benefit has been the recapitalisation of banks, which has built stronger capital buffers to support larger transactions, deeper credit intermediation, and greater financial system resilience. For Zenith Bank, the exercise has been more than a regulatory compliance to meet the raised minimum capital requirement for commercial banks with international authorisation to ₦500bn ($362.6m). Completed ahead of the CBN’s March 2026 deadline, the bank raised over ₦350bn, lifting its capital base to ₦614bn ($445m), comfortably above the threshold. The bank sees its enlarged capital base as a strategic foundation for growth, resilience and deeper real-sector financing. Specifically, the bank now has the balance-sheet strength to finance large and long-tenor projects not only in infrastructure but also across sectors that require patient capital and larger balance sheets.

For two of Zenith Bank’s key market segments, namely retail and SME banking, the importance of the new base is elevated to higher realms. First, it adequately equips the bank to support the two segments at scale. Second, it positions the bank to lead in an industry where consolidation is reshaping the competitive landscape, with well-capitalised institutions like Zenith Bank best placed to capture the opportunity.

Zenith Bank views retail as the engine of its long-term scalability, and the numbers back that up. In 2025, the bank’s total customer deposits stood at about ₦24trn ($17.4bn). Of this, retail deposits accounted for about ₦4.9trn ($3.5bn). Though corporate and commercial credit account for the bulk of the loan book, the bank disbursed nearly 3,000 retail loans valued at about ₦89.5bn ($65m), supporting household and individual financial needs. The segment’s significant contribution makes it central to the bank’s growth, particularly in providing a stable deposit base and deepening financial inclusion.

To grow its retail business, Zenith Bank has been proactive in expanding its digital offerings. For instance, migrating to a new core banking platform has improved speed, usability, and service quality. Also, enhancements to the internet banking solution now offer customers access to a redesigned interface with broader functionalities. These include cross-border intra-African transfers, treasury bill investments and payment of government levies. The bank is also expanding its physical channels, including agency banking aimed at underserved communities. Through this channel, the bank has reached over four million customers.

Another critical market that Zenith Bank is strategically determined to grow is the SME market. CBN data points to a ₦130trn ($94.4bn) MSME financing opportunity in Nigeria, reflecting the segment’s central role in job creation and broader economic activity. The bank is meeting the segment with innovative lending products tailored to its collateral, record-keeping, and credit history. Owing to their importance, Zenith Bank’s determination to support SMEs is anchored in its development priority and as a major commercial opportunity. Part of the bank’s lending solutions include cashflow-based finance, asset and equipment finance, the Z-Woman loan for women-led enterprises, and cooperative lending, among others. The bank has also been keen on building partnerships with multilateral financiers and export credit agencies that provide medium to long-term lines of credit for on-lending. This has been instrumental in reducing risk and widening access to credit for SMEs.

Aerial image of the shores of Victoria Island, Lagos, Nigeria

The Pan-African gear
That Zenith Bank has reached several significant milestones, cutting across capital fortification, products and services, and digital innovation, is indisputable. Having reached the pinnacle of becoming a Nigerian banking powerhouse, the bank is now transforming into a pan-African financial institution. Unlike its peers, the bank’s expansion strategy is not just about adding flags to a map. Rather, the ambition is driven by client demands, trade flows and regional economic connectivity, with the ultimate goal of supporting cross-border trade and capital flows for its wide range of multinational customers. Effectively, the bank is deploying a strategy that combines both greenfield and brownfield approaches to enter new markets. The strategy aligns with Founder Jim Ovia’s unequivocal desire to build a truly global brand with a strong presence across Africa and key international markets.

The bank now has the balance-sheet strength to finance large and long-tenor projects

On expansion, Francophone West Africa and Anglophone East Africa are a no-brainer for Zenith Bank. While the former offers access to a large integrated market, particularly through the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) bloc, the latter provides a dynamic corridor with strong private-sector activity, capital market depth and advanced digital banking adoption. Notably, Zenith Bank is not going into new markets blindly. The bank is taking time to identify opportunities that it seeks to exploit and capture. These cut across corporate banking, trade finance, remittances, payments and structured transactions. More critically, the bank intends to prioritise countries with strong fundamentals, trade relevance and clear links to its existing client base. In essence, its expansion is a corridor strategy spanning the WAEMU, CEMAC and EAC blocs, not a race for geographic spread.

In April, Zenith Bank launched operations in Côte d’Ivoire and entered Kenya through the acquisition of a 100 percent shareholding of Paramount Bank. In line with the bank’s vision, the two markets are strategic gateways. In November 2024, the bank entered France, which is commercially linked to several Francophone African countries. The fact that Abidjan has grown into a major regional business hub means that Côte d’Ivoire was a natural first-step choice. Using the market as a springboard, the bank intends to support trade finance, payments and corporate banking across the WAEMU bloc, where a shared currency and integrated regulation reduce fragmentation.

Kenya, on its part, is expected to provide an anchor in East Africa. As the region’s top economy with $136bn in GDP, the country is a financial nerve centre with deep capital markets, a sophisticated private sector and booming digital banking innovations. By acquiring Paramount Bank, Zenith Bank has gained immediate market presence through seven branches, an established customer base, experienced local teams, and regulatory standing.

Zenith Bank is building for sustained relevance in its new markets, drawing on its Nigerian playbook while tailoring to each market’s local dynamics. To gain traction, the bank is taking a deliberate and structured approach, riding on local partnerships, talent, strong governance, careful attention to market realities and digital capability. Patience will be cardinal, with growth deliberate, risk-managed and aligned with client needs.

Even as it aspires to become a pan-African financial institution, some core principles will remain embedded in Zenith Bank’s DNA. Top is the bank’s strong corporate governance culture. Across the spectrum of its operations, governance is anchored on an enterprise risk management framework aligned with COSO and ISO 31000, a Three Lines of Defence control model, and independent board committees overseeing risk, audit and compliance.

The bank’s expansion strategy is not just about adding flags to a map

Another deeply entrenched principle is sustainability. On this, the approach is premised on the fact that environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues are financially material, with reporting aligned to the ISSB IFRS S1 and S2 standards. In essence, it means that ESG has a direct effect on credit quality, operational resilience, regulatory readiness, investor confidence and long-term value creation.

Overall, Zenith Bank remains committed to integrating sustainability into risk management, credit processes, and strategic planning. A case in point is in project finance transactions. In 2025, some 94 percent of new and existing transactions were assessed for environmental and social risks. The bank also actively monitored 95 percent of financed projects. For the bank, sustainability is closely intertwined with corporate social responsibility (CSR). On CSR, the bank is conscious of the fact that its success is inextricably linked to the well-being of the communities it serves. For this reason, Zenith Bank has been giving back to society in areas such as security, sports, health, and education.

Three and a half decades after Zenith Bank’s founding, Jim Ovia’s vision of a continent on the rise, as captured in Africa Rise and Shine, has become the daily work of the institution he built. With a deep capital base, an expanding African footprint, and a strategy that reads as patient as it is bold, Zenith Bank is positioned to write the next chapter of the African economy from within.

World Finance Pension Fund Awards 2026

The pension funds sector has continued to navigate a year defined by economic uncertainty, demographic change, and evolving member expectations. In 2026, fund managers and trustees have faced the ongoing challenge of delivering stable long-term returns while responding to inflationary pressures, market volatility, and increasing regulatory demands. At the same time, the sector has accelerated its focus on responsible investing, digital engagement, and retirement solutions tailored to a changing workforce. The winners of this year’s Pension Fund Awards have distinguished themselves through prudent stewardship, innovation, and an unwavering commitment to protecting members’ financial futures.

 

Best Pension Funds

Australia Colonial First State
Austria VBV Grupee
Azerbaijan State Social Protection Fund of Azerbaijan
Belgium Amonis
Bolivia La Boliviana Ciacruz Seguros Personales
Brazil Bradesco Seguros
Canada BMO
Caribbean Scotia Investments Jamaica
Chile AFP Capital
Colombia Grupo Sura
Croatia Allianz ZB
Czech Republic NN Penzijní Společnost
Denmark PFA Pension
Estonia SEB Varahaldus
Finland Mandatum
France Amundi
Germany Generali Deutschland
Ghana Pensions Alliance Trust
Greece Piraeus Asset Management
Iceland Gildi lífeyrissjóður
Indonesia DPLK AXA Mandiri
Italy Anima SGR (Arti e Mestieri)
Jamaica Scotia Investments Jamaica
Macedonia Triglav Penzisko Društvo
Malaysia Gibraltar BSN
Mexico Afore XXI Banorte
Netherlands Meesman indexbeleggen
Nigeria Fidelity Pension Managers
Norway Storebrand Livsforsikring
Peru AFP Habitat
Poland PZU
Portugal Caixa Geral de Depósitos
Serbia DDOR Garant
South Africa Sanlam
Spain Banco Santander
Sweden AMF
Switzerland PostFinance
Thailand SCB Asset Management
Türkiye Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik
US Fidelity Investments

World Finance Corporate Governance Awards 2026

Strong corporate governance has never been more critical than it is today. In 2026, organisations across the financial sector continue to operate under increasing scrutiny from regulators, investors, and stakeholders demanding greater accountability, transparency, and ethical leadership. From board diversity and executive oversight to ESG integration and risk management, governance frameworks are being tested in an increasingly complex and fast-moving environment. The Institute of Chartered Accountants and Administrators observed that effective governance is built upon “accountability, transparency, fairness, independence, responsibility and ethics,” principles that remain central to long-term corporate resilience. The organisations recognised in this year’s Corporate Governance Awards have demonstrated an exceptional ability to foster trust, uphold integrity, and embed responsible decision-making at every level of their operations.

 

Best Corporate Governance

Albania Kastrati Group
Algeria Sonelgaz
Angola Etu Energias
Azerbaijan State Social Protection Fund
Brazil CPFL
Colombia Bancolombia
Dominican Republic Banreservas
Egypt Fawry
Georgia TBC Bank
Ghana OmniBSIC Bank
Greece Public Power Corporation
India ICICI Bank
Japan Japan Securities Finance
Kenya Safaricom
Mexico Banorte
Morocco Bank of Africa Group
Nigeria Zenith Bank
Romania Sphera Franchise Group
Spain Iberdrola
Sri Lanka Sampath Bank
Thailand Siam Cement Group
Türkiye Sisecam
UAE Emirates NBD
Vietnam Vinamilk

World Finance Corporate Treasury Awards 2026

Corporate treasury has faced another year of significant transformation, as finance leaders navigate persistent economic uncertainty, evolving interest rate expectations, and increasingly complex global liquidity demands. In 2026, treasury teams have been challenged to balance resilience with agility – managing cash, mitigating risk, and ensuring operational efficiency in an environment shaped by geopolitical volatility, regulatory change, and rapid technological advancement. At the same time, the continued adoption of real-time payments, automation, and AI-driven forecasting tools is reshaping the function, enabling treasurers to move beyond traditional cash management toward more strategic, data-led decision-making. As the Association for Financial Professionals recently observed, “treasury is evolving from a control function into a strategic business partner,” reflecting the growing influence of treasury professionals in driving enterprise-wide value. This year’s Corporate Treasury Awards recognise the organisations and leaders who have embraced that evolution with distinction. Their achievements demonstrate excellence in liquidity management, innovation, and strategic foresight, setting new benchmarks for performance across the profession. We are proud to recognise those setting the pace for the next generation of treasury leadership and celebrating the vision that continues to redefine corporate finance.

Best Corporate Treasury Teams

Brazil Petrobras
Germany Siemens
India Reliance Industries
Japan Toyota Motor Corporation
Norway Equinor
Saudi Arabia Saudi Aramco
South Africa Standard Bank Group
South Korea Samsung Electronics
Thailand PTT Public Company Limited
Türkiye SOCAR Türkiye
UAE First Abu Dhabi Bank
UK HSBC
US Apple

World Finance Forex Awards 2026

The forex landscape has faced another year of complex challenges, from fluctuating interest rate environments and evolving regulatory demands to heightened market volatility and changing client expectations. Against this backdrop, this year’s winners have distinguished themselves through innovation, execution excellence, technological advancement and a steadfast commitment to clients. We congratulate all of the Forex Awards 2026 winners and highly commended firms for their outstanding achievements and contributions to the continued evolution of the global FX industry.

World Finance Forex Awards 2026

FX Broker of the Year XMTrading
Best Mobile Trading App CFI Financial
Best CFD Broker EBC Financial Group
Best Execution Broker Trading.com
Best Partnership Program PrimeXBT
Best Multi Asset Broker Interstellar Group
Most Reliable FX Broker BtcDana
Best FX Customer Service XMTrading
Most Transparent Broker CFI Financial
Most Trusted Broker EBC Financial Group
Best Trading Platform My Maa Markets
Most Innovative CFD Broker BtcDana
Most Reliable CFD Broker My Maa Markets
Best FX Broker in Asia XMTrading
Best FX Broker in the United States Trading.com
Most Reliable CFD Broker in Africa KCM Trade

World Finance Banking Awards 2026

The banking sector has entered 2026 facing a landscape shaped by economic recalibration, technological acceleration, and evolving customer expectations. Against a backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty and shifting interest rate environments, banks have been challenged to balance resilience with growth while continuing to invest heavily in digital transformation. From advances in AI-driven customer services to enhanced cybersecurity and embedded finance, the industry continues to redefine how modern banking is delivered. As SAS UK noted earlier this year, “trust will morph from a promise to a performance metric” as AI becomes increasingly embedded within financial services. That sentiment captures the defining challenge facing the sector today: combining innovation with accountability. This year’s Banking Awards recognise the institutions that have risen to these challenges with distinction – demonstrating innovation, operational strength, and an unwavering commitment to customer trust. We congratulate all of our winners for setting new standards of excellence and helping shape the future of global banking.




 

World Finance Banking Awards 2026

Best Investment Banks

Brazil Itau Unibanco
Dominican Republic Banreservas
France Société Générale
Germany BNP Paribas
Hong Kong Morgan Stanley
Jordan Arab Bank
Kazakhstan Halyk Finance
Kuwait KFH Capital
Mexico BBVA Mexico
Netherlands ING
Oman Sohar International
Pakistan HBL
Portugal Banco Invest
Taiwan CTBC Financial Holding
Thailand Siam Commercial Bank
Türkiye Garanti BBVA Secutities
US JPMorgan Chase

Best Banking Groups

Angola Banco Angolano de Investimentos
Austria BAWAG Group
Brazil Itau Unibanco
Brunei Baiduri Bank
Chile Banco Internacional
Colombia Davivienda
Denmark Nordea
Dominican Republic Banreservas
Egypt Commercial International Bank
Finland Nordea
France Crédit Mutuel
Germany Commerzbank
Hong Kong HSBC
Jordan Jordan Islamic Bank
Kenya KCB Group
Kosovo BKT
Macao ICBC (Macau)
Malaysia Maybank
Morocco Attijariwafa Bank
Pakistan Habib Bank
Saudi Arabia Saudi National Bank
Singapore DBS Bank
Thailand Kasikornbank
Tunisia BIAT
Türkiye Garanti BBVA
UAE Emirates NBD
Vietnam Vietcombank

Best Private Banks

Andorra Andbank
Armenia Ardshinbank
Austria Erste Bank Group
Belgium BNP Paribas Fortis
Bulgaria Postbank
Canada RBC Wealth Management
Cyprus Bank of Cyprus
Czech Republic KB Private Banking
Denmark Jyske Bank
Dominican Republic Banco Popular Dominicano
France BNP Paribas Banque Privée
Georgia Bank of Georgia
Germany Deutsche Bank
Greece Eurobank
Hungary OTP Bank
India Kotak Mahindra Bank
Italy Intesa Sanpaolo
Kazakhstan Halyk Private Banking
Liechtenstein Kaiser Partner
Luxembourg Indosuez Wealth Management
Monaco CMB Monaco
Netherlands Rabobank Private Banking
Nigeria First Bank
Norway Nordea Private Banking
Pakistan HBL Wealth Management
Poland ING Bank Sląski
Portugal Millennium Private Banking
Slovakia Tatra banka
Spain Sabadell Urquijo
Sweden Carnegie Private Banking
Switzerland BNP Paribas Wealth Management
Türkiye TEB Private Banking
UAE ADCB
UK HSBC Global Private Bank and Wealth
Uruguay Puente
US BMO

Best Retail Banks

Armenia Ameriabank
Austria Erste Bank Group
Azerbaijan Pasha Bank
Belarus Belarusbank
Belgium Belfius
Bulgaria Postbank
Canada BMO
Chile Banco de Chile
Colombia Davivienda
Costa Rica Banco Nacional de Costa Rica
Denmark Spar Nord Bank
Finland Nordea
France BNP Paribas
Georgia Bank of Georgia
Germany Commerzbank
Greece Optima Bank
Hungary OTP Bank
Italy Monte Dei Paschi Di Siena
Kuwait National Bank of Kuwait
Mexico Banorte
Netherlands ING
Nigeria Access Bank
Norway SpareBank 1
Pakistan Habib Bank
Peru BBVA Peru
Portugal Millennium BCP
Saudi Arabia Saudi National Bank
South Africa First National Bank
Spain Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria
Sri Lanka Sampath Bank
Sweden Handelsbanken
Türkiye Isbank
UAE Emirates NBD
UK NatWest
US Bank of America

Best Commercial Banks

Armenia Ardshinbank
Austria Raiffeisen Bank International
Belgium Belfius Bank
Canada BMO
Colombia Davivienda
Czech Republic CSOB
Denmark Nordea
Dominican Republic Banreservas
Ethiopia Commercial Bank of Ethiopia
France BNP Paribas
Germany Commerzbank
Hungary OTP Bank
India State Bank of India
Kazakhstan ForteBank
Macao BOC Macau
Malaysia CIMB Group
Mozambique Banco Comercial e de Investimentos
Netherlands ING
Nigeria Zenith Bank
Norway Nordea
Portugal Banco Finantia
Saudi Arabia Saudi National Bank
Singapore DBS Bank
Sri Lanka Sampath Bank
Sweden SEB
Switzerland Zurcher Kantonalbank
Thailand Bangkok Bank
Türkiye Akbank
US BMO
Vietnam Vietcombank

Most Sustainable Banks

Brazil Itau Unibanco
Chile Banco de Chile
China ICBC
Colombia Davivienda
Costa Rica Banco Nacional de Costa Rica
Dominican Republic Banco Popular Dominicano
Germany Umwelt Bank
India YES Bank
Malaysia CIMB Group
Morocco Saham Bank
Singapore DBS Bank
Sri Lanka Hatton National Bank
Sweden Ekobanken
Thailand Kasikornbank
Tunisia Amen Bank
Türkiye Garanti BBVA
Uganda dfcu Bank

World Finance Sustainability Awards 2026

Sustainability has moved from ambition to imperative across the financial industry, and 2026 has seen organisations intensify their efforts to align growth with environmental and social responsibility. As regulatory expectations evolve and stakeholders demand measurable progress, firms are increasingly embedding sustainability into core business strategy rather than treating it as a standalone initiative. From green finance and climate risk management to social impact programmes and responsible investment practices, the pace of innovation and accountability across the sector continues to accelerate. In its recent outlook for the year ahead, HSBC Sustainability Research described 2026 in one word: “pragmatism”, reflecting the shift from broad commitments toward practical, measurable implementation. This year’s Sustainability Awards recognise the institutions and leaders that have demonstrated genuine commitment, measurable impact, and forward-thinking leadership in driving positive change. We congratulate all of our winners for helping shape a stronger, more sustainable future for global finance.

 

Most sustainable companies (by industry)

EUROPE
Agriculture & Food Security Nestlé
Airport Aeroporti di Roma
Aluminium Norsk Hydro
Asset Management KBC Asset Management
Brewing Carlsberg Group
Chemicals AkzoNobel
Climate Finance Blume Equity
Commercial Real Estate Unibail‑Rodamco‑Westfield
Concrete & Aggregates Products Cementir Holding
Footwear CCC
Glass BA Glass
Green Hydrogen & Energy Transition RWE
Hospitality & Leisure Meliá Hotels International
Industrial Materials Recycling Umicore
Logistics & Supply Chain GLS Group
Low-Cost Airline Wizzair
Major Airline Air France
Power Iberdrola
Railway Transportation Go-Ahead Group
Reusable & Circular Packaging Coveris
Steel ArcelorMittal
Wine Products Corticeira Amorim

AFRICA
Agriculture & Food Security Farm Africa
Aluminium South32–Mozal Aluminium
Asset Management Sustainable Capital
Brewing East African Breweries
Chemicals Nalco Water
Climate Finance Africa Finance Corporation
Concrete & Aggregates Products Bamburi Cement
Green Hydrogen & Energy Transition CWP Global
Hospitality & Leisure Hotel Verde Cape Town Airport
Logistics & Supply Chain CHEP South Africa
Low-Cost Airline Jambojet
Major Airline Kenya Airways
Power Kenya Electricity Generating Co.
Railway Transportation Lobito Atlantic Railway
Real Estate Grit Real Estate Income Group
Responsible Resource Extraction Anglo American
Steel HyIron Oshivela
Stock Exchange Platform Johannesburg Stock Exchange

NORTH AMERICA
Agriculture & Food Security Cargill
Aluminium Novelis
Blockchain Technology Algorand
Brewing Sierra Nevada Brewing
Chemicals Ecolab
Concrete & Aggregates Products Amrize
Data Centre Quality Technology Services
Digital Asset Mining IREN
Green Hydrogen & Energy Transition Plug Power
Life Science Real Estate Kilroy Realty Corporation
Logistics & Supply Chain FedEx
Low-Cost Airline JetBlue Airways
Major Airline United Airlines
Railway Transportation CPKC
Renewable Power Utility ENGIE North America
Responsible Resource Extraction Freeport‑McMoRan
Steel Steel Dynamics

LATIN AMERICA
Agriculture & Food Security Marfrig
Agro-Industrial Ingenio San Antonio
Asset Management Bradesco Asset Management
Brewing Ambev
Chemicals Alpek
Climate Finance EcoEnterprises Fund
Compostable Packaging Companhia Melhoramentos
Concrete & Aggregates Products Cementos Progreso
Finance by a Cooperative Sicredi
Financial Inclusion Banco W
Forestry and Bio-Based Materials Eucatex
Green Hydrogen & Energy Transition Enel Green Power
Hospitality & Leisure Hotel Las Torres Patagonia
Logistics & Supply Chain Emergent Cold LatAm
Low‑Cost Airlines Azul Linhas Aéreas
Major Airlines Avianca
Power Enel Green Power Latin America
Railway Transportation Rumo Logística
Residential Real Estate Constructora Bolívar
Responsible Resource Extraction BHP
Steel Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
Stock Exchange Platform B3-Brasil Bolsa Balcao
Wine Producer VSPT Wine Group

MENA
Agriculture & Food Security OCP Group
Airport Hamad International Airport
Asset Management Mubadala Investment Company
Aviation Communication Technology Saudi Air Navigation Services
Chemicals SABIC
Climate Finance AMEA Power
Concrete & Aggregates Products Ducon Green
Downstream Energy & Mobility ADNOC Distribution
Financial Services RAKBANK
Green Hydrogen & Energy Transition NEOM Green Hydrogen
Hospitality & Leisure Minor Hotels MENA
Logistics & Supply Chain ARAMEX
Low‑Carbon Aluminium & Recycling Emirates Global Aluminium
Low-Cost Airline Air Arabia
Mining & Resources OCP Group
Power ACWA Power
Railway Transportation Etihad Rail
Real Estate ZāZEN Properties
Renewable Energy Scatec
Steel EMSTEEL
Stock Exchange Platform Saudi Tadawul Group
Telecommunications stc Group
Waste Management Beeah Group

ASIA
Agriculture & Food Security Asian Agri
Brewing Lion
Chemicals LG Chem
Climate Finance Impact Investment Exchange
Compostable Food Packaging Vandapac Bio
Concrete & Aggregates Products Asia Cement Corporation
eCommerce Retail DFI Retail Group
Financial & Investment-Aligned ESG Strategy Azerbaijan Airlines
Flag Carrier Airline Turkish Airlines
Green Hydrogen & Energy Transition Hyrasia One
Hospitality & Leisure ParkRoyal Collection Marina Bay, Singapore
Logistics & Supply Chain KLN Logistics Group
Low‑Carbon Aluminium & Recycling Emirates Global Aluminium
Low-Cost Airline AirAsia
Major Airline All Nippon Airways
Mining & Resources Hindustan Zinc
Power Company Contact Energy
Pulp, Paper & Fibre‑Based Materials Nippon Paper Industries
Railway Transportation Central Japan Railway
Real Estate Swire Properties

AI’s real frontier: understanding us

As the list of companies citing AI efficiencies as the rationale for staff restructuring grows, many have rushed to speculate about the future of work and to surmise that the next logical step for AI is towards replacing humans in the workforce. But, from where I sit, at the intersection of translation and AI sectors, the more compelling transformation is not simply what AI replaces, but how AI is learning, or failing, to understand the human dimension – eventually the human touch – behind every action or task.

As a true believer that language is the most important factor for human evolution, I founded Translated in 1999 to help people translate their words, and indeed cultures, all over the world, by allowing everyone to understand and be understood in their own language. Since AI is powering the possibility for increased connection, I believe that our industry is the perfect vantage point from which to consider the wider world.

Firstly, because it was with the combination of language and AI that saw the first mass adoption of use: in large language models that answer our questions in full sentences and tailor their responses based on our preferences. Decades of research on machine translation – and indeed language – have enabled this. AI is in turn enabling the translation of language. However, despite its increasing speed and accuracy, one thing remains abundantly clear to experts: it does not replace the need for human sensitivity. Instead, it can perform the repetitive and monotonous tasks that occupy the time of skilled experts and allow them to focus on more complex elements of their roles, most notably those parts of translations that are most steeped in emotion and in ‘human-ness.’

Human-centred intelligence
For many businesses, the discussion around AI still revolves around productivity gains and potential labour displacement: ‘Which jobs will go?’ and ‘How many will remain?’ These questions we see posed over and over and are, of course, important to provide answers to, not only for those fearing replacement but for future generations questioning what the world of work will look like for them. Perhaps though, the more important questions are ‘What do humans do best?’ and ‘How can AI enable us to do more of this?’

The question is no longer which tasks AI can perform, but how it can elevate human potential

Undoubtedly, for AI to work in partnership with a human workforce, the next phase of progress will be towards better understanding us. In this respect, Translated is leading a pioneering project: DVPS (Diversibus Viis Plurima Solvo), backed by a €29m European seed investment across 20 partners in nine countries, precisely to tackle this challenge. DVPS is about moving beyond language models that digest text and images collected in the past, and into models that sense vision, audio, and sensor input, models that engage in real time with the physical world and have a greater contextual awareness.

Equally, this progress must be assessed and managed appropriately, and global conversations are necessary to achieve this. I was recently invited to participate in the World Meeting on Human Fraternity in Rome. The discussion saw top AI scientists, including Nobel Laureate Geoffrey Hinton, the most cited AI scientist Yoshua Bengio, and professor and leading author Stuart Russell, come together to share their insight with Pope Leo XIV on the social, cultural and ethical dimensions of AI. The message was clear: AI must serve humanity, not erode its dignity, and must be anchored in dialogue and care. It is with no surprise that this group agreed that the two most significant positive impacts AI can have are ‘scientific discovery’ and ‘global human understanding.’

Leading in the age of understanding
For leaders and organisations, the path forwards demands a shift in perspective. The question is no longer which tasks AI can perform, but how it can elevate human potential. The most successful companies will be those that invest in understanding and context rather than just efficiency. True leadership in the age of AI means embedding empathy and ethics at the core of innovation, ensuring that technology amplifies what is most human about us: our ability to care, to interpret and to connect.

The next decade of AI will not be defined by fewer jobs and faster machines. It will be defined by machines that understand contexts, emotions, and human values, and by humans who leverage that understanding to do what only humans can do: build relationships, innovate culture, and lead with meaning.

When machines finally grasp that a sentence is not just a sentence, but an expression of human intent, when they discern not just words but tone, gesture, and cultural context, then we will emerge from automation into augmentation. That is the moment when AI truly becomes a partner in human progress. The real progress of AI will not be measured by how many jobs disappear, but by how many new forms of human value emerge.

Finding quality niches for infrastructure investments

One of the fears of pension fund investment managers as they strive to deliver the UK government’s targets for investment into infrastructure and other large-scale private assets is that quality assets will quickly be snapped up. Exploring niches offers a solution to that challenge.

Energy infrastructure provides one such opportunity, says Christian Schwenkenbecher, chief client officer of MPC Capital, which works with institutional investors to access structural growth opportunities in the maritime and energy infrastructure markets. With the growing importance of energy security within a more de-centralised energy infrastructure, especially in Europe, there are some exciting prospects.

“Our approach to energy infrastructure investments focuses on generation assets such as onshore wind, solar PV as well as storage. We focus on structuring and securing long-term cash flows primarily through corporate offtake structures, allowing us to take an active role as a vertically integrated investor, ensuring we remain close to the underlying asset. Going forward we will be looking for additional niches across the entire value chain of energy infrastructure.”

This effectively gives the client a ringside seat, reassuringly close to the decision-making centre of the firms they are investing in, a point underlined by Schwenkenbecher. “We look for majority ownership in assets to fully exploit our active management approach. However, we also see value in partnering when skillsets are complementary, and return and performance expectations are aligned. This means we have built a track record of working successfully for and alongside institutional investment partners but also industrial partners. Combining the two is a key ingredient for performance.”

Flexible system
The focus on Europe is driven by the quality of assets, reliable political and regulatory systems and the substantial investment backlog building a new, more flexible and de-centralised energy infrastructure system. Schwenkenbecher continued; “The industrial sector in particular will increasingly depend on private capital to drive economically feasible decarbonisation. This is a compelling investment thesis for institutional investors, including private equity firms, such as KKR, Apollo and EQT, which have stepped up their investment activity, particularly in Germany, Europe’s largest economy.”

We will be looking for additional niches across the entire value chain of energy infrastructure

Schwenkenbecher explained that while MPC Capital’s target markets will remain unchanged, there seems to be a growing overseas interest from the US and the Middle East to invest in Europe. While this seems sensible considering recent political events, he sees ample investment opportunities in Europe both in the short and medium to long term, across the entire value chain, from generation to grid infrastructure to energy services.

“Energy will likely be the key bottleneck for new, rising technologies such as AI and will continue to facilitate overall GDP growth and domestic competitiveness. Ahead of these mega-trends and structural growth drivers it seems sensible to be invested along those structural trends,” Schwenkenbecher said.

While governments are looking to an expansion of nuclear power to play an important part in their longer-term plans to create national greater energy security and capacity, it does not figure prominently in MPC Capital’s strategy. “We are agnostic to overall energy sources, but our focus on renewable production capacity is mostly due to its cost competitiveness and shorter time to market compared to nuclear power,” Schwenkenbecher continued.

Robust infrastructure
The current waves of geo-political unrest sweeping around the world also create a neat intersection for MPC Capital’s core expertise in maritime and energy assets. With European governments – especially those within the NATO alliance – now committed to increasing defence spending to five percent of GDP in the next decade, he sees some of that funding major port expansions, all of which will need a robust energy infrastructure.

“Increased spending on port infrastructure and other maritime assets validates the importance of both sectors, and the focus on attractive niches is rather geared towards the intersection of maritime and energy infrastructure.” These wider macro-economic, geo-political and regulatory issues are constantly on our radar screens, says Schwenkenbecher; “We have to be sensitive to the impact of interest rate developments on transaction as well as fundraising activity. This leads us to adopt a selective approach to overall transaction activity in a still high-interest-rate environment. We will be very cautious as central banks start to ease interest rates. If continued, this trend should act as a tailwind for our transaction activities.”

He emphasised the importance of balancing transactional and management revenues, and that recurring service revenues have been a key reason for MPC Capital’s resilient business model. It has enabled the company to remain disciplined and focused on those investment strategies while ensuring high visibility of earnings growth.

Regulatory structures and policies are also a key influence when it comes to deciding which projects to commit capital to. The jolt to the world’s energy markets following the Russian invasion of Ukraine put national energy security firmly on government agendas. So far, the response in terms of impactful regulatory change has been mixed.

“The importance of sensible regulation to drive investment to accelerate the build-out of energy infrastructure cannot be under-estimated. In particular, the regulatory approaches in the UK and US have been very encouraging,” Schwenkenbecher said, while also expressing a desire for similar regulations to be enacted in Germany to attract more capital to the infrastructure sector. “Private capital will play a key role, with governments likely to provide frameworks to attract capital.”

The human algorithm of fintech innovation

The financial industry is evolving at unprecedented speed. Traditional banking and investment models are being challenged by nimble fintech start-ups, and with them comes a new breed of entrepreneur: visionary, ambitious, and willing to take risks in markets historically dominated by established institutions. In the UK alone, the fintech ecosystem comprises over 3,300 fintech firms as of late 2024. Moreover, UK fintech investment reached $7.2bn in the first half of 2025, underscoring both growth and the intensity of competition. But what drives these individuals? What personality qualities distinguish the fintech founder who succeeds from the one whose venture falters?

At Hogan Assessments, we have spent decades studying how personality influences career trajectories and leadership effectiveness. Our research shows that entrepreneurs in the financial sector often display a combination of high ambition, strong cognitive ability, and a willingness to challenge the status quo. These traits can be powerful catalysts for innovation, but they also carry potential pitfalls.

The double-edged sword of ambition
Ambition fuels growth, attracts investment, and motivates teams. In fintech, where speed-to-market can define success or failure, ambitious leaders can move quickly, inspire followers, and secure funding. However, unchecked ambition can lead to overconfidence, excessive risk-taking, and ethical lapses. Ambition may get you the job, I often tell founders, but self-awareness helps you keep it.

In recent years, high-profile failures have underscored how ambition, when divorced from feedback and humility, can harm organisations. The lesson for investors and boards is clear: ambition is essential, but it must be balanced with integrity, self-awareness and humility. Entrepreneurs who recognise their limitations, solicit feedback, and maintain perspective tend to create ventures that are resilient, sustainable, and trusted by clients and partners alike.

Cognitive agility and adaptability
Fintech founders face an environment of constant change; shifting regulations, emerging technologies and rapidly evolving consumer expectations. Cognitive agility, or the ability to process complex information and pivot strategies effectively, is therefore critical. Entrepreneurs who combine creativity with disciplined decision-making are better equipped to navigate uncertainty without jeopardising their organisations. In the UK context specifically, with the regulatory framework evolving and market pressures mounting, this quality becomes even more important. The best founders I have worked with don’t merely tolerate change, they anticipate it, restructure accordingly, and embed learning loops within their teams. Adaptability isn’t a soft skill: it is a strategic differentiator.

Ambition is essential, but it must be balanced with integrity, self-awareness and humility

Start-ups, by nature, involve risk. Successful financial entrepreneurs tend to tolerate uncertainty and remain composed under pressure. However, extreme risk-seeking behaviour, especially when coupled with low conscientiousness or high narcissism, can threaten both the company and its stakeholders. For boards and investors, evaluating risk tolerance and decision-making patterns is as important as assessing technical skills or market insights. In the UK fintech ecosystem, where investment valuations and exit timing are under pressure, founders’ risk-temperament often determines whether ventures grow sustainably or collapse under volatility. In our work at Hogan, we see that founders who manage risk by building governance into their culture, maintaining transparency and surrounding themselves with trusted advisors, are far likelier to succeed.

Building sustainable leadership
Ultimately, the most effective fintech entrepreneurs are not those who are fearless or flawless, but those who balance ambition with ethics, decisiveness with reflection, and innovation with governance. Boards, investors, and partners benefit from understanding these traits: they inform leadership development, succession planning and risk management. In a sector defined by rapid disruption, personality matters. Recognising the strengths and potential derailers of financial entrepreneurs can help stakeholders support ventures that not only grow quickly but endure. As fintech continues to reshape global finance, a nuanced understanding of the people behind the innovation will be as important as the technologies they create.

In the UK specifically, this insight is essential. The nation remains Europe’s leading fintech hub, even as capital markets and investor sentiment recalibrate. With over 11 of the UK’s most profitable fintechs posting combined $3.3bn in profits before tax in 2024 and employing more than 26,000 people, the foundation is strong. Yet leadership risk abounds. In such a vibrant environment, boards and investors must look beyond business models and ask: Who is behind this venture? How do they respond when the spotlight dims? The technology may drive disruption, but personality determines whether that disruption is sustainable.

If there is one truth to take away, it is this: the ideal fintech founder is not the one who never falters, it is the one who recognises when to pause, learns from their mistakes, seeks counsel, and leads with integrity. In an industry defined by change, such human qualities are not the soft option; they are the hard requirement of longevity.

The German economic miracle, then and now

Postwar Germany has appeared to the world as a model democracy and economy for fully seven decades. From the first postwar chancellor, Konrad Adenauer, through Willy Brandt, Helmut Schmidt, Helmut Kohl, and the 16 years of Angela Merkel’s leadership, Germany’s postwar political and economic stability appeared rock-solid, so much so that the Federal Republic could readily absorb the decrepit communist economy of East Germany within a year of the fall of the Berlin Wall.

No doubt, there were bumps along the way in the decades following the Second World War, from the Red Army Faction/Baader-Meinhof terrorism of the 1970s to the inflation and stagflation that followed the oil price shocks of that same decade. For the most part, however, Germany’s economy grew steadily and inclusively, led by world-beating manufacturing exports. But now Germany is firmly in the grip of a malaise. The country’s export-led economic model has been unable to cope with its loss of competitiveness to China, and resentment of immigration has reached its highest level in the postwar years following Merkel’s decision in 2015 to open the country’s borders to over a million migrants. Germany, like much of the West, is experiencing a rising far-right populist tide, with Alternative für Deutschland questioning the fundamental assumptions and norms of political behaviour that have governed Germany since the Federal Republic’s founding in 1949.

The miracle workers
To understand how we got here, it helps to go back to the beginning. Conventional accounts of the Wirtschaftswunder – West Germany’s miraculous economic ascent after the Second World War – locate its origins in the Ludwig Erhard-engineered currency reform and the George Marshall-inspired European Recovery Programme, both introduced in 1948. The Marshall Plan, as the ERP was informally known, was signed into law on April 3, 1948, by US President Harry Truman. Disbursements began immediately, with initial aid shipments reaching Germany in early July.

In exchange for receiving Marshall Plan aid, the German authorities were required to balance the budget, contain inflation, dismantle rationing, remove wage and price controls, encourage private enterprise and liberalise trade. In effect, they were asked to implement what came to be known a half-century later as the ‘Washington Consensus.’

A key element was Erhard’s currency reform, inaugurated midway between Truman’s signing of the ERP and the arrival of the first aid shipments. On June 20, 1948, the Deutsche Mark replaced the Reichsmark as legal tender in the Bizone, the western zone of occupation administered jointly by US and British forces. The monetary overhang that fuelled inflation on the black market and created shortages in the controlled economy was removed by converting Reichsmarks into Deutsche Marks at a rate of roughly 10 to one.

Erhard, as the highest German economic official working under the occupation authorities, administered the introduction of the Deutsche Mark. One day later, acting on his own authority, he unilaterally abolished most price controls and rationing.

Eliminating the monetary overhang, together with fiscal retrenchment and the removal of price controls, led to the miraculous reappearance of goods on previously barren store shelves. Farmers now had real money with which to buy equipment and fertiliser, much of which was provided by the US through the Marshall Plan. The prospect of real revenues encouraged them to bring produce to market, alleviating food shortages. Exchange-rate stabilisation enabled firms to export while also selling at home, leading them to hire, invest and ramp up production.

The rest is history, or so say triumphal accounts of the Wirtschaftswunder. Over the subsequent quarter-century, West Germany grew by an unprecedented six percent per year. By 1973 the Federal Republic of Germany had become the world’s third-largest economy.

Two new books by Carl-Ludwig Holtfrerich, a former professor of economics at the Free University of Berlin, and Tobias Straumann, a professor of economics at the University of Zurich, push back against this conventional account.

Holtfrerich insists that Erhard actually played no role in designing the currency reform, despite having claimed credit for it for the remainder of his political career.

Straumann, for his part, argues that German economic recovery was far from secure following the reforms of 1948. West Germany’s economic miracle would not have endured without the 1953 London Debt Agreement, which eliminated all possibility that the country would be saddled with massive reparation obligations to its wartime enemies, as happened after the First World War.

The London Debt Agreement was the culmination of several years of negotiations between a German delegation headed by Hermann Josef Abs, a senior Deutsche Bank official, and 20 creditor countries, of which the US, the UK and France carried the most weight. In explaining the outcome and why it was so different from debt and reparations negotiations after the First World War, Straumann posits a straightforward ‘lessons of history’ hypothesis. Negotiators on all sides drew a straight line from the economically crushing and politically humiliating reparations burden imposed on Germany in 1921 to the downfall of the Weimar Republic and the rise of Adolf Hitler and the Nazi Party. After the Second World War, they understandably sought, at all costs, to avoid a similar sequence of events.

Memories of reparations
Historical lessons were drawn, to be sure, but the full story is more complex, as Straumann eventually acknowledges. The influence of the Cold War was critically important in the 1950s and created an imperative for economic recovery that was absent among the victors in the aftermath of the First World War. With the Soviet Union threatening Western Europe, it was urgent to get the West German economy, Europe’s most important source of capital goods, running on all cylinders. This meant not overburdening Germany with reparations, but it also presupposed normalising the Federal Republic’s financial relations with the rest of the world, so that German firms could borrow abroad and export without fear that their goods would be garnished.

Ludwig Erhard was chameleon-like, able to successfully bend his policy posture to the prevailing winds

Under the London Debt Agreement, the new West German government committed to service and repay Reich and Weimar-era foreign borrowings and post-Second World War loans from Western governments, but not Nazi-era war debts and occupation costs. All reparations obligations were put off until that far-distant day when the two Germanys might be reunified. Another important difference from the aftermath of the First World War, not unrelated to the first, was European integration.

Proceeding in parallel with debt negotiations, the French government, with leadership from Foreign Minister Robert Schuman, launched a scheme for joint control of French and German heavy industry; what became the European Coal and Steel Community. The Soviet threat highlighted the need to return the operation of Western Europe’s heavy industry, and specifically German heavy industry, to full capacity. But this required assurance that Germany’s industrial might would not again be used to threaten France and other neighbours. The Coal and Steel Community served this purpose. It is hard to imagine that the Community could have been successfully launched absent progress on the debt front. In an aside, Straumann describes how the French plan was sprung on UK Foreign Minister Ernest Bevin and other British officials, whose startled reaction was strongly negative, presaging an enduring ambivalence about what became the European Community and then the European Union.

Finally, the London Debt Agreement enabled the new German government to begin normalising relations with Israel, despite the horrors of the Holocaust. Without it, the Federal Republic would not have had the resources and political will to send DM3bn worth of German goods to the Jewish State, or to pay for Israel’s desperately needed imports from Britain’s oil companies.

Deutsche Mark’s real father
Whereas Straumann’s book is a political narrative, Holtfrerich’s is a biography, the subject of which, Edward Tenenbaum, was the real author of the currency reform. Holtfrerich’s account starts with the immigration of Tenenbaum’s Jewish parents from Polish Galicia, his childhood in New York, and his education at the International School of Geneva and Yale. An interesting parallel, not drawn by the author, is with Harry Dexter White, architect of the Bretton Woods system, another component of the monetary system that supported the Wirtschaftswunder.

Tenenbaum served as an intelligence officer in the Twelfth Army Group during the Second World War, and in the Office of Military Government, United States (OMGUS), which administered the American occupation zone. After being discharged in 1946, he continued to work as a civilian adviser to OMGUS, and it was in this capacity that he designed the currency reform. In Army Intelligence and then at OMGUS, Tenenbaum worked closely with a more senior economic expert, Charles Kindleberger, subsequently an accomplished professor of international economics and economic history at MIT. Kindleberger’s appearance in the book is more than incidental.

Holtfrerich describes how, during an academic sabbatical in Cambridge, Massachusetts, in 1975–76 – that is, fully a half-century ago – he learned from Kindleberger of Tenenbaum’s role in the currency reform, thereby planting the seeds for the present book. He reveals how Kindleberger withheld, presumably out of kindness, the fact that he had for a time been in charge of selecting targets for America’s wartime strategic bombing campaign, as a result of which Holtfrerich’s father lost his life in 1944.

As for why Erhard rather than Tenenbaum received – and continues to receive – popular credit for the currency reform, Holtfrerich offers three explanations. First, Tenenbaum was remarkably self-effacing, for reasons that elude even his biographer. When confronted with the fact that Erhard was stealing his thunder, Tenenbaum is said to have casually replied, “Who cares who gets the credit?”

Second, Erhard, in contrast to Tenenbaum, was unrelenting in his self-promotion. Such is the difference between economists and politicians, it is tempting (if self-serving) to say. Erhard was also chameleon-like, able to successfully bend his policy posture to the prevailing winds. Before and during the war, he had been an advocate of strong state direction of the economy. With the advent of the Marshall Plan, he became a champion of sound money, private enterprise, and competition.

Third, postwar West Germany was desperately in need of a positive self-image, given the Third Reich’s horrific actions and the guilt bequeathed by acknowledgment of that history. It was desperately in need of leaders, even heroes. The idea of a home-grown currency reform led by a German fit the bill. Today’s Germany reflects the legacy of the postwar Wirtschaftswunder: rich, democratic and firmly anchored in Europe. But nothing is guaranteed forever. To preserve the gains made over the postwar decades, Germany once again needs an economic overhaul and political leaders who are equal to the task.

The birth of modern investing

What does it take for an idea to change an industry forever? In finance, a handful of academics daring to think differently and make some money by putting their ideas into practice, a university willing to nurture unorthodox ideas, a new technology – and a good dose of luck. That argument lies at the heart of Tune Out the Noise, Errol Morris’s latest documentary, which premiered in New York last March. The film revisits the birth of modern investing at the University of Chicago in the 1960s and early 1970s, when a group of researchers didn’t just develop another theory – they changed the very fabric of financial markets. Their ideas reshaped how ordinary Americans thought about their future, while revolutionising the global investment industry.

Efficient markets
It is difficult to imagine in an era when algorithms make split-second trading decisions, but more than half a century ago the markets ran on intuition. Investing was more of an art than a science, dominated by professionals trying to outsmart the market by spotting opportunities others had missed. As Eugene Fama – one of several Nobel Prize winners featured in the documentary – recalls in the film, the conventional wisdom at the time was to trust a person with special stock-picking skills who could “beat the market.” That mindset began to crumble with the rise of the efficient-market hypothesis (EMH), a theory Fama helped pioneer. The idea upended conventional investing. What if asset prices already reflect all available information, and everything else is just noise? If markets are efficient, then consistently beating them is impossible – prices move only when new information emerges. The logical conclusion was that success depends not on instinct, but on diversification and disciplined risk management.

The film presents a vision of America and its ability to question itself that is fading away

The timing was perfect. The 1960s brought a computational revolution that gave investors access to stock prices and company data. Markets could finally be analysed with scientific precision. Out went hunches; in came data-driven strategies that laid the groundwork for passive investing. As Fama says in the film, “Markets work; prices are right.” In other words, you can’t beat the averages, but you can outperform the professionals by embracing the market itself. If that was the case half a century ago, it is even more true today, says Aaron Brask, a Wall Street veteran who teaches finance at the University of Florida. “Markets were not that efficient when Eugene Fama wrote his dissertation on the topic in the 1960s. If they were, it would imply that Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Walter Schloss, Philip Fisher and Seth Klarman were all lucky. Fast forward 60 years, and we now have an incredible amount of money, brains and computing power devoted to sniffing out investment opportunities. This makes it significantly more challenging to beat the market. There is less dumb money, and markets are more efficient.”

Fama’s ideas sparked a financial revolution, making passive investment the go-to option for millions of investors. Thus the index fund was born, powered by data and algorithms rather than intuition and luck. Wells Fargo launched the first index fund in 1971, while John Bogle, the legendary financier whose name would become synonymous with low-cost investing, created the first index mutual fund available to individual investors in 1976. Although the case against active investing remains strong for most investors, there are some, albeit fewer, active managers who can still beat the market, says Brask: “Buffett and other active value investors come up with an idea of how much a stock should be worth based on its fundamentals. This figure is often referred to as a stock’s intrinsic value. Then they compare that value to its market price. In the end, their value investing equates to buying stocks for significantly less than they think they are worth. In some cases, higher quality or growing fundamentals might warrant higher valuations.”

The power of diversification
One of the theory’s most enduring insights was the importance of diversification. Where old-school investors sought a single big win, Chicago’s researchers promoted the opposite: spread your bets. They found that mixing the stocks of established firms with smaller, high-potential firms, could reduce volatility without sacrificing returns.

Errol Morris, director
of Tune Out the Noise

This gave rise to modern portfolio theory, now a bedrock of contemporary finance. Among its early advocates were David Booth and Rex Sinquefield who went on to found Dimensional Fund Advisors, the Austin-based investment firm that turned the EMH into a money-making machine.

Booth features prominently in the documentary, which at times borders on a promotional piece for Dimensional, one of its backers. Yet Errol Morris, an Oscar-winning filmmaker, handles the material with his trademark subtlety. His conversational style – punctuated by deceptively simple questions like “Why did you get sick of French?, Why would you do that?, You failed in air-conditioning?” – allows the story to unfold naturally. The result is a thoughtful exploration of how finance evolved from intuition to evidence. “The film emphasised the human element. The academics interviewed were humble and relatable. It was good to see some of the giants of finance talk about their work in their own words,” says Matthew Garrott, Director of Investment Research at Fairway Wealth Management, a US wealth management firm.

Shaped by randomness
One of the film’s most striking messages is the importance of chance. Financial markets are chaotic systems shaped by randomness rather than rational decisions. Sheer luck also brought together the brilliant minds who pioneered passive investment at the University of Chicago, although its reputation for rigorous economics likely helped. The creation of the Centre for Research in Security Prices by the economist James Lorie in 1960 was a turning point that brought together two revolutions, a financial and a technological one, offering investors a trove of long-term stock and bond data.

Luck shaped the individuals too. Eugene Fama almost missed his chance to go to the University of Chicago, receiving a last-minute scholarship that changed his life. Myron Scholes, another Chicago veteran, Nobel laureate and early champion of computerised trading, stumbled into the art of deciphering financial data by accident: in 1963 he took a programming job despite having little experience. When the six other programmers failed to show up, Scholes found himself assisting academics with financial research – a twist of fate that set his career in motion.

Then there was David Booth and Rex Sinquefield, the pair who turned academic theory into practice by founding Dimensional Fund Advisors. In 1969, Booth narrowly avoided the Vietnam draft when a sympathetic officer deferred his conscription so he could pursue a PhD at the University of Chicago. Sinquefield did serve in the army, but his poor eyesight spared him from partaking in possibly lethal combat in Vietnam. Today the firm manages nearly $800bn in assets, and the University of Chicago’s prestigious business school is named after Booth.

Still not perfect
The documentary touches only lightly on the unintended consequences of this intellectual revolution. Critics argue that the very theories that democratised investing also sowed the seeds of excess. Researchers who pioneered the EMH have been accused of creating a monster: an elegant idea that encouraged blind faith in the infallibility of markets, pushing investors and regulators to underestimate the dangers of asset bubbles and the need for oversight. Some critics claim that the efficient market hypothesis has been so successful that too much passive investing has undermined market efficiency, leaving a shrinking minority of investors to feed new information into prices.

For its proponents though, the theory still holds water. “Many smart traders exist, and behavioural biases are not more or less than in the past. Hence, the impact of irrational traders on efficiency is unchanged.

It can also be shown that bubbles are consistent with an efficient market,” says Robert Jarrow, advisor at the data and AI provider SAS and Professor of Investment Management at Cornell University. “There is a continuum of less efficient to more efficient. Markets with more pricing events like US large cap stocks are more efficient. The market for selling your house is much less efficient. The US stock market is not perfectly efficient, but it is efficient enough that active managers are at a significant disadvantage,” says Garrott from Fairway Wealth Management.

Even the most rational systems are built on human assumptions

Even the equations used to justify investment strategies have faced fierce criticism. Take the Black-Scholes model, Scholes’s great contribution to financial economics, with its recipe for sophisticated risk management and portfolio diversification. A mathematical triumph in theory, it also became the justification for an explosion in speculative trading in derivatives. Designed to hedge risk, derivatives have turned into highly leveraged bets stacked upon other bets. The financial alchemy enriched traders but also destabilised markets, culminating in the credit crunch and the near collapse of global banking in 2008. As one commentator would put it at the time, the model became “an ingredient in a rich stew of financial irresponsibility, political ineptitude, perverse incentives, and lax regulation.”

A different America
Ultimately, Tune Out the Noise is not just about finance. The film presents a vision of America and its ability to question itself that is fading away. Passive investing, after all, means accepting average returns – a notion that, as Sinquefield wryly notes in the film, was not regarded at the time as “the American way,” but eventually came to be. David Booth’s own story underscores that tension. A former shoe salesman, he recalls in the film: “When I went home at night, I wanted to feel good about myself.” His words evoke an older America, one that prized diligence, honesty and modest success, now eclipsed by the speculative frenzy of crypto trading and the pursuit of quick profits.

At its core, the film is also about information: the flood of data, the promise of efficiency, and the human struggle to separate signal from noise. The EMH rests on the belief that data doesn’t lie. Yet in an age of algorithmic trading, that certainty feels less solid. Markets move at machine speed, and active management faces extinction as AI systems take over. Tune Out the Noise leaves viewers with a quiet unease – that even the most rational systems are built on human assumptions, and that the next investment revolution may be about rediscovering human judgment.