Female, French and focused

Christine Lagarde promises to bring a new social dimension to the IMF’s work

One thing Dominique Strauss-Kahn has done for the IMF is put it on the front pages. Until the French economist and politician became managing director nearly four years ago, turning it into a powerhouse of geo-finance before ending up on rape charges in New York City in May, few outside central-banking circles knew much about the organisation and even fewer cared.

The appointment of Christine Lagarde, another former French minister of finance, as his $468,000-a-year replacement showed how much things have changed. Her courtship of the job and subsequent appointment turned into a media circus, with journalists asking Lagarde at her opening press conference if there was “too much testosterone” at the organisation.

However the headlines have tended to obscure the real story. It wasn’t so long ago that the IMF was an expensive irrelevancy and the despair of national central bankers. Before he shot himself in the foot, Strauss-Kahn had used the crisis to drag the IMF up by its boot-straps from an ineffectual bureaucracy that was part of the problem to a dynamic institution that helped save the day. He did so by harnessing the organisation’s largely neglected but formidable intellectual firepower.

The question now is what can the 55 year-old, fluent English-speaking, French lawyer do for the IMF in her five-year term? The organisation has three main jobs: multi-lateral economic surveillance that doesn’t mind treading on toes; what might be called last-ditch lending to nations in difficulties; and the virtual enforcement of solutions on recalcitrant nations because they will otherwise be denied funds.

For a start, Lagarde is unlikely to land the IMF in sexual scandal. Divorced with two sons in their twenties, she has a partner who stays out of the news. And her hobby of making jam back in her Normandy farmhouse is much more likely to land the new IMF chief’s personal life in the cookery section than the front pages.

In her big jobs so far, she’s shown herself to be tough-minded and unapologetically proud of her legal rather than economic background. For years she was the Chicago-based head of the international law firm Baker & McKenzie, and Lagarde regards her lawyer’s ability to cut to the chase as extremely important at a time when economists have, for the most part, confined themselves to wringing their hands at the parlous state of affairs without producing solutions. For her, formal qualifications in economics are not essential – “not all conductors know how to play piano, harp, violin or cello.”

Although Lagarde has barely got her feet under the table, she’s made a good start. She’s already announced that she will broaden the remit of the IMF’s trouble-shooting research squads – the ones that produce voluminous reports on 187 member nations – to take account of not just bald economic data but employment and social issues as well. Lagarde puts a high value on what she calls “stable, social chemistry,” and given continuing riots in Greece and elsewhere, she’s right to.

And while her predecessor was a high-profile socialist, it would be a mistake to pigeonhole Lagarde politically.

Her career so far suggests she’s highly pragmatic, a solutions-oriented operator who adjusts her stance to the problem in hand at any one time. That’s also how she happens to see herself – “very practical and down to earth.”
She will need all the practicality she can muster to help fix the problems in a globally interconnected economy that is only just out of its sick bed. The IMF’s job, she said, is “to restore stability where there’s instability, and there’s plenty of that around…”

Right now the biggest source of instability is the eurozone and its embattled national economies – Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Spain and, latterly, Italy. Lagarde’s immediate job is to find a solution to the endless onslaughts on weak sovereign debt and to restore calm to the financial markets. How she does so will define her tenure at the IMF.

Tags:
Comments: 0
Join the discussion below

The May – June 2013 Issue

Highest corporate tax
rates in Europe

European countries are scrambling to raise every last penny of funds through taxes. But some countries may have gone too far...

Belgium

Though all business taxes in Belgium can be paid online with little effort and preparation, the rates are still sky-high at 57.7 percent, including a staggering 50.8 percent total rate on profits only in social security contributions.

Belarus

In Belarus, a company spends up to 338 hours annually preparing for and paying ten different taxes and duties. The total tax rate has incredibly been lowered to 60.7 percent, from 117.5 percent in 2008.

France

A company in France pays seven different taxes and duties, the sum of which can amount to 65.7 percent of profits; though President François Hollande has announced a wave of business tax rate cuts coming up.

Estonia

A business in Estonia pays 67.3 percent of profits in tax, 37.2 percent exclusively in social security contributions. The country has gone against the grain in Europe by raising businesses taxes from 48.6 percent in 2008 to the current rates.

Italy

While corporate income tax (IRES) in Italy is limited to 38 percent of taxable profit, a company operating in Italy can expect to pay 14 other taxes and duties, including social security contributions, bringing their total payable tax to 68.7 percent of profits, according to the World Bank.

Norway

Norway taxes motor fuels twice, with a road use tax and a CO2 emissions tax. Combined with strikes in the energy sector that have curbed output, the price of gas at a local pump has soared to $10.12 per gallon.

Turkey

Though Turkey sits on the Suez Canal and neighbours many oil rich countries, the price of a gallon of average gas clocks in at $9.41 in Turkish pumps, because of a 60 percent share of taxes. 

Israel

Like Turkey, Israel is surrounded by oil-rich neighbours, but drills very little itself. Gas prices are controlled by the government, so about half of the $9.28 per gallon goes to taxes.

Hong Kong

There are few gas stations in Hong Kong, but the ones available charge up to 76 percent more per gallon than mainland China, where the government caps the cost of fuel. A gallon at the pumps will cost around $8.61 on the island.

Netherlands

Expensive labour costs make the Dutch petrol prices the dearest in Europe, at $8.26 per gallon; though the 57 percent tax add-ons don’t help.

The credit crisis

8 February 2007
HSBC warns of subprime mortgage losses

2 April 2007
New Century goes bus

14 September 2007
Wholesale markets have dried up

17 March 2008
Rescue of Bear Stearns

7 September 2008
Rescue of Fannie Mae

15 September 2008
Lehman Brothers file for bankruptcy

3 October 2008
US congress approves $700bn bailout

14 February 2009
$787bn stimulus approved by congress

 

The effects of the current financial crisis are global and irrefutable. With the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the domino effect of irresponsible public monetary policies, huge levels of unsustainable debt, and a deregulated financial sector, has escalated to the point where no corner of the globe has been left untouched.

1973 oil crisis

October 1973
Syria and Egypt launch an attack on Israel on Yom Kippur and set off a twenty day war;

1977
US President Carter creates Department of Energy, which develops the US strategic petroleum reserve

 

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) used their oil reserves as a weapon with the Arab Oil Embargo against those who supported Israel. By January 1974, world oil prices were four times higher than they were at the start of the crisis, especially in the US, and the shock led to a huge drop in the stock market with NYSE losing $97bn in just six weeks.  The embargo lasted five months, and the effects are still seen today.

German hyperinflation

1922-1923

Hyperinflation
1923 – 1924
Stabilisation

 

The trouble began when Germany missed a repatriation payment, worth about one third of the German deficit in this period. Inflation was already high but by 1923 it was raging. Prices doubled within hours, and by late 1923, it cost 200bn marks to buy a single loaf of bread. People burned money as it was cheaper than buying firewood. Germany eventually regained control of its economy when it introduced the Rentenmark into circulation in 1923, and then the Reichmark in 1924.

The Great Depression

1929-1933
The Great Crash
1934-1939
Recovery and Recession

 

After the decadence of the Roaring Twenties, the 1930s saw the biggest economic slump of all time. The stock market crashed on 29 October 1929, and optimism and decadent living tumbled along with the figures. The GDP fell from $103.6bn in 1929, to $66bn in 1934 and the subsequent years of recovery were the most dramatic in US history.

1907 bankers’ panic

1907
Otto Heinze and his brother Augustus Heinze bought shares of United Copper.

 

The stock market was already cautious over the tight money supply, but the US was thrown into a depression after the stock market fell nearly 50 percent from its peak in 1906. The Heinze brothers thought they could influence market shares but ended up bankrupting lenders that provided the financing to buy the stock. A chain reaction left nine institutions bankrupt. By February 1908, the panic was over and the government created the Federal Reserve system, to prevent banks from exercising too much control over the economy.