Jacques lowers an iron curtain

Age, it seems, doesn’t weary central bankers. The man behind the iron curtain of regulation descending on the European banking industry is 79 year-old Jacques de Larosiere, head of the so-called High-Level Group whose antidote against further failure will soon be rolled out

With the backing of 82 year-old Paul Volcker at Obama’s side and a like-minded Mervyn King (a mere 61), he’s reshaping the operating conditions of the western world’s financial sector. The last time anything on this scale happened was 75 years ago, and then only in the US.

Far from taking his time, as might befit a man nearly 15 years past official retirement, de Larosiere has moved so fast he’s caught the financial sector napping. Before they knew it, they’ve been encircled in exactly the web that Sarkozy, a confidant of de Larosiere, has wanted ever since the meltdown. Soon the banks will be under the relentless scrutiny of a council of systemic surveillance sitting on top of three other organisations responsible for banking, insurance and markets. All these bodies will have the power to overrule national regulators. Done and dusted.

Some financial sector bodies are complaining – notably the insurance sector which, after all, had nothing to do with the meltdown. Their argument is that de Larosiere’s group didn’t listen, has acted too soon and many innocent banks are being punished. Some of this is transparently true, but all complaints will prove futile. The oldies think they know better and the kids have been grounded.

In this fait accompli, France’s pre-eminent central banker has acted true to form. Here’s the consummate performer behind closed doors. It was de Larosiere who, as MD of the IMF sorted out the Latin American crisis in 1982 by summoning the creditor nations to New York and putting a gun to their heads. They either found $6.5bn to bail out Mexico and Argentina or they could forget about any IMF loans in the future. They found it.

After a further five years at Banque de France, he was parachuted into another crisis at the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Acting like a company doctor, he scrapped the executive dining room, cancelled business-class travel throughout Europe and quadrupled the loan book. In other words he turned it back into a bank for reconstruction and development.

For this latest job, Sarkozy wanted a trouble-shooting banker and so did the Americans who know and like de Larosiere as a member of the Washington-based group Thirty, the high-level think tank on economic and monetary affairs. Certainly nobody wanted a slow-moving Bank for International Settlements kind of guy.

From his extra-curricular interests, you might take de Larosiere for a lofty intellectual rather than a central banker in a hard hat. His private passions are classical music, 18th century French history and 19th century French literature. But he’s also a student of the robust theology of the late Henri-Marie Cardinal de Lubac, the Jesuit priest who refused to toe the Vatican line and was not afraid to say so. 

Like the cardinal, France’s top central banker has thought his way through to his present hard-line position on regulation, greatly influencing the rest of the club. Lately, the mood among regulators has changed right across the regulatory spectrum. As Alexander Justham, director of the markets division of the FSA, observed recently, a society bleeding savings, investments and trust now wants and expects their banks to serve them, not crucify them: “[Bankers] should do the right thing and if you don’t you run the risk of having your head put on a spike.”

That’s the sort of thing Jacques de Larosiere has been saying for some time. He believes the days of self-regulation are dead and buried for ever.

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The May – June 2013 Issue

Highest corporate tax
rates in Europe

European countries are scrambling to raise every last penny of funds through taxes. But some countries may have gone too far...

Belgium

Though all business taxes in Belgium can be paid online with little effort and preparation, the rates are still sky-high at 57.7 percent, including a staggering 50.8 percent total rate on profits only in social security contributions.

Belarus

In Belarus, a company spends up to 338 hours annually preparing for and paying ten different taxes and duties. The total tax rate has incredibly been lowered to 60.7 percent, from 117.5 percent in 2008.

France

A company in France pays seven different taxes and duties, the sum of which can amount to 65.7 percent of profits; though President François Hollande has announced a wave of business tax rate cuts coming up.

Estonia

A business in Estonia pays 67.3 percent of profits in tax, 37.2 percent exclusively in social security contributions. The country has gone against the grain in Europe by raising businesses taxes from 48.6 percent in 2008 to the current rates.

Italy

While corporate income tax (IRES) in Italy is limited to 38 percent of taxable profit, a company operating in Italy can expect to pay 14 other taxes and duties, including social security contributions, bringing their total payable tax to 68.7 percent of profits, according to the World Bank.

Norway

Norway taxes motor fuels twice, with a road use tax and a CO2 emissions tax. Combined with strikes in the energy sector that have curbed output, the price of gas at a local pump has soared to $10.12 per gallon.

Turkey

Though Turkey sits on the Suez Canal and neighbours many oil rich countries, the price of a gallon of average gas clocks in at $9.41 in Turkish pumps, because of a 60 percent share of taxes. 

Israel

Like Turkey, Israel is surrounded by oil-rich neighbours, but drills very little itself. Gas prices are controlled by the government, so about half of the $9.28 per gallon goes to taxes.

Hong Kong

There are few gas stations in Hong Kong, but the ones available charge up to 76 percent more per gallon than mainland China, where the government caps the cost of fuel. A gallon at the pumps will cost around $8.61 on the island.

Netherlands

Expensive labour costs make the Dutch petrol prices the dearest in Europe, at $8.26 per gallon; though the 57 percent tax add-ons don’t help.

The credit crisis

8 February 2007
HSBC warns of subprime mortgage losses

2 April 2007
New Century goes bus

14 September 2007
Wholesale markets have dried up

17 March 2008
Rescue of Bear Stearns

7 September 2008
Rescue of Fannie Mae

15 September 2008
Lehman Brothers file for bankruptcy

3 October 2008
US congress approves $700bn bailout

14 February 2009
$787bn stimulus approved by congress

 

The effects of the current financial crisis are global and irrefutable. With the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the domino effect of irresponsible public monetary policies, huge levels of unsustainable debt, and a deregulated financial sector, has escalated to the point where no corner of the globe has been left untouched.

1973 oil crisis

October 1973
Syria and Egypt launch an attack on Israel on Yom Kippur and set off a twenty day war;

1977
US President Carter creates Department of Energy, which develops the US strategic petroleum reserve

 

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) used their oil reserves as a weapon with the Arab Oil Embargo against those who supported Israel. By January 1974, world oil prices were four times higher than they were at the start of the crisis, especially in the US, and the shock led to a huge drop in the stock market with NYSE losing $97bn in just six weeks.  The embargo lasted five months, and the effects are still seen today.

German hyperinflation

1922-1923

Hyperinflation
1923 – 1924
Stabilisation

 

The trouble began when Germany missed a repatriation payment, worth about one third of the German deficit in this period. Inflation was already high but by 1923 it was raging. Prices doubled within hours, and by late 1923, it cost 200bn marks to buy a single loaf of bread. People burned money as it was cheaper than buying firewood. Germany eventually regained control of its economy when it introduced the Rentenmark into circulation in 1923, and then the Reichmark in 1924.

The Great Depression

1929-1933
The Great Crash
1934-1939
Recovery and Recession

 

After the decadence of the Roaring Twenties, the 1930s saw the biggest economic slump of all time. The stock market crashed on 29 October 1929, and optimism and decadent living tumbled along with the figures. The GDP fell from $103.6bn in 1929, to $66bn in 1934 and the subsequent years of recovery were the most dramatic in US history.

1907 bankers’ panic

1907
Otto Heinze and his brother Augustus Heinze bought shares of United Copper.

 

The stock market was already cautious over the tight money supply, but the US was thrown into a depression after the stock market fell nearly 50 percent from its peak in 1906. The Heinze brothers thought they could influence market shares but ended up bankrupting lenders that provided the financing to buy the stock. A chain reaction left nine institutions bankrupt. By February 1908, the panic was over and the government created the Federal Reserve system, to prevent banks from exercising too much control over the economy.