India’s affluent spur development

The Indian debt market can be divided into two segments: Indian currency denominated debt and foreign currency denominated debt. Anand Rathi speaks to Lyndon Driver

In terms of Indian currency denominated debt, the total size of the market as of March 2010 – as per the national Stock Exchange of India (NSE) – was just over $705bn. Of this, government debt – including public sector undertakings and local government bodies such as municipals – accounted for 88 percent ($38.5bn) of the total national debt while corporate debt amounted to just seven percent ($25.8bn).

There are a number of reasons behind the relative underdevelopment of the corporate debt market in India.

Apart from the conspicuous absence of borrowing facilities against corporate bonds, there is also a variation in the various corporate bonds issued. For example, different issues by Power Finance Corporation (a frequent borrower) have different day counts for periodic interest payments. While most bond issues have a minimum denomination of Rs 10 lakh (Rs 1,000,000), that of Power Grid Corporation is Rs 12.5 lakh (Rs 1,250,000).

Finally the standards of disclosure and transparency in India are relatively poor compared with the western benchmark.

Turning to foreign currency denominated debt, the total size of External Commercial Borrowings (ECB) – including Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCB) – made by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was just over $80bn as of March 2010. Of this, FCCB accounted for 15 percent ($12bn) of the total.

Driving the growth of Indian FCCBs are a number of factors, including interest rates that are lower than than of traditional debt, the option to convert debt to equity upon the maturity of a loan, the easy transferability of debt between non-residents outside India, and the fact that average term of a loan is approximately five years.

Acquisition finance
The Indian debt market grew from $342bn in 2006 to just over $705bn in 2010, representing a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 20 percent. However, as we have seen, some 88 percent of this debt is composed of government securities and just seven percent of private debt. As such, the availability of debt to fund transactions in India is low. By comparison, in the US, some 75 percent of total debt comprises private debt, while the figure stands at 65 percent for the Eurozone and 35 percent in China.

Liquidity
In 2006, India’s total financial assets totalled $1.8trn, equating to 202 percent of the country’s GDP. This compared well with other emerging economies but was significantly low compared with developed nations such as the US and the Eurozone, where the financial assets where 424 percent and 356 percent of GDP respectively. China’s financial assets stood at $8.1trn; 307 percent of GDP. Under the Indian financial system most of the capital is channelled back to the government, and state owned enterprises and the public sector absorbs nearly 70 percent of the nation’s savings. As a result, there is inadequate capital available to fund successful private enterprises.

Private equity
Private Equity (PE) deals have shown a decline both in volume and value since January 2007. The total private equity investment since 2007 to 2010 till date is $27bn. The global financial crisis has changed the PE landscape altogether, resulting in fewer deals and even fewer exits. Allocations to PE funds by Limited Partners (LPs) were down in the first half of 2009, with some LPs even requesting a rescheduling of existing commitments. In response, some PE funds – most notably the international players – have reportedly reduced their management fees and reduced their commitment to the asset class.

Given the current economic situation, global LPs are likely to invest in fewer funds than they would have done three years ago, and today they are picking those funds with management teams which have a genuinely sound track records and exceptional operational experience. In addition, going forward, the emergence of domestic LPs investing from family and corporate accounts are expected to offset – at least in part – the reduction in capital from overseas.

In terms of exit activity, the majority of exits in 2009 were made by funds that made their initial investments between 2004 and early 2006. In addition, many of these divestments have only been partial exits. Exit multiples have been varied, with ChrysCapital making an 8.5x return on its investment in Shriram Transport Finance, whereas the majority of other divestments have seen more austere returns, for example Citi Venture Capital International (CVCI) recorded returns of 1x on its sale of Techno Electric & Engineering Co.

Family-owned businesses
Traditionally in India, there has been a reluctance among privately-owned family companies to share ownership or surrender control of their business. However, this scenario is changing, as family businesses are becoming increasingly larger entities, and as such their need for funds has increased. Private equity firms present a distinct advantage over traditional methods of fundraising as they take a more active advisory role and have a greater ability to raise growth capital – a combination that business owners and promoters are finding more attractive. In this way, there is a growing openness to private equity by Indian businesses and this is likely to increase further in the coming years.

Local knowledge
There is a growing trend for global funds to seek domestic LPs as they acknowledge their superior knowledge of the local market, in particular on regulatory issues and in their understanding of the mechanisms of the Indian private equity industry. This expertise, therefore, helps protect the interests of both GPs and LPs alike.

IPOs and FPOs
The appetite for IPOs and FPOs in India seems to have increased despite the current economic climate. In the first three months of 2010, some 30 Indian companies raised a combined $6.9bn through initial share sale offerings (including both IPOs and FPOs). This is slightly surprising, as over the same period the total value of IPOs globally was $53bn. With 20 IPOs in the first quarter of the year, India had the third largest number of IPOs globally, after China and the US. Global IPO activity witnessed five-fold growth during the period with a total of 267 IPOs valued at $53.2bn in the quarter ending March 2010, compared with 52 deals, which raised $1.4bn, in the same quarter the previous year.

India’s leading sectors in terms of IPO and FPO activity were infrastructure (including logistics, real estate and construction) as well as retail and IT. In addition, as of the beginning of April 2010, there were a further 117 more IPOs in the pipeline.

Cross-border M&A
The fast-growing Indian economy offers huge opportunities for cross-border M&A, which has the benefit of bringing in the necessary skills, expertise and resources that are presently not readily available in India. In the resources sector, Indian companies are actively seeking to acquire energy and mining assets in the CIS and Africa. Also, the IT, Manufacturing and Healthcare sectors present the strongest growth opportunities for cross-border M&A. Over the last three years, one-third of all deals has been in these sectors.

As to the location of India’s partners, both in terms of volume and also the value of deals, India engages most with US and Northern Europe for cross-border M&A. Even in Northern Europe, the UK is the dominant country. Other regions of good activity are Western Europe and South East Asia. Based on the number of deals concluded over the last three years, India has completed the majority of its transactions with the US. In value terms, however, over the same period, India has been most actively involved with African nations. Having said that, India’s involvement with Africa is principally the result of the 2010 Bharti Zain deal, bearing a transaction value of $10.7bn.

India’s financial services
Financial services in India are not well recognised and there is not much demand for financial services products such as insurance. The exceptions to this rule are Unit-Linked Insurance Plans (ULIP), which are viewed mainly as tax-saving instruments. Demand for non life insurance such as automobile insurance has been present in India for some time as it is a mandatory government requirement, but the situation is not the same for life insurance.

In recent times, however, there has been a growing awareness of the financial services industry and the products on offer to individuals. India’s growing economy has also bolstered this awareness. Financial services offered to individuals range from banking and insurance to investments in equity markets and mutual funds.

Financial services’ future
An increasingly affluent middle class is one of the most important factors spurring the development of the Indian financial services industry. A relatively stable economy and a consistently-high GDP growth has also fuelled this development. The social fabric of India – which is increasingly encouraging individuals to save their money – has also created a need for further financial services. Gross financial savings is expected to rise from $2bn in today to $6.6bn by 2017, creating growth opportunity groups such as banks, insurance providers, mutual funds, the stock markets and wealth management firms.

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The May – June 2013 Issue

Highest corporate tax
rates in Europe

European countries are scrambling to raise every last penny of funds through taxes. But some countries may have gone too far...

Belgium

Though all business taxes in Belgium can be paid online with little effort and preparation, the rates are still sky-high at 57.7 percent, including a staggering 50.8 percent total rate on profits only in social security contributions.

Belarus

In Belarus, a company spends up to 338 hours annually preparing for and paying ten different taxes and duties. The total tax rate has incredibly been lowered to 60.7 percent, from 117.5 percent in 2008.

France

A company in France pays seven different taxes and duties, the sum of which can amount to 65.7 percent of profits; though President François Hollande has announced a wave of business tax rate cuts coming up.

Estonia

A business in Estonia pays 67.3 percent of profits in tax, 37.2 percent exclusively in social security contributions. The country has gone against the grain in Europe by raising businesses taxes from 48.6 percent in 2008 to the current rates.

Italy

While corporate income tax (IRES) in Italy is limited to 38 percent of taxable profit, a company operating in Italy can expect to pay 14 other taxes and duties, including social security contributions, bringing their total payable tax to 68.7 percent of profits, according to the World Bank.

Norway

Norway taxes motor fuels twice, with a road use tax and a CO2 emissions tax. Combined with strikes in the energy sector that have curbed output, the price of gas at a local pump has soared to $10.12 per gallon.

Turkey

Though Turkey sits on the Suez Canal and neighbours many oil rich countries, the price of a gallon of average gas clocks in at $9.41 in Turkish pumps, because of a 60 percent share of taxes. 

Israel

Like Turkey, Israel is surrounded by oil-rich neighbours, but drills very little itself. Gas prices are controlled by the government, so about half of the $9.28 per gallon goes to taxes.

Hong Kong

There are few gas stations in Hong Kong, but the ones available charge up to 76 percent more per gallon than mainland China, where the government caps the cost of fuel. A gallon at the pumps will cost around $8.61 on the island.

Netherlands

Expensive labour costs make the Dutch petrol prices the dearest in Europe, at $8.26 per gallon; though the 57 percent tax add-ons don’t help.

The credit crisis

8 February 2007
HSBC warns of subprime mortgage losses

2 April 2007
New Century goes bus

14 September 2007
Wholesale markets have dried up

17 March 2008
Rescue of Bear Stearns

7 September 2008
Rescue of Fannie Mae

15 September 2008
Lehman Brothers file for bankruptcy

3 October 2008
US congress approves $700bn bailout

14 February 2009
$787bn stimulus approved by congress

 

The effects of the current financial crisis are global and irrefutable. With the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the domino effect of irresponsible public monetary policies, huge levels of unsustainable debt, and a deregulated financial sector, has escalated to the point where no corner of the globe has been left untouched.

1973 oil crisis

October 1973
Syria and Egypt launch an attack on Israel on Yom Kippur and set off a twenty day war;

1977
US President Carter creates Department of Energy, which develops the US strategic petroleum reserve

 

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) used their oil reserves as a weapon with the Arab Oil Embargo against those who supported Israel. By January 1974, world oil prices were four times higher than they were at the start of the crisis, especially in the US, and the shock led to a huge drop in the stock market with NYSE losing $97bn in just six weeks.  The embargo lasted five months, and the effects are still seen today.

German hyperinflation

1922-1923

Hyperinflation
1923 – 1924
Stabilisation

 

The trouble began when Germany missed a repatriation payment, worth about one third of the German deficit in this period. Inflation was already high but by 1923 it was raging. Prices doubled within hours, and by late 1923, it cost 200bn marks to buy a single loaf of bread. People burned money as it was cheaper than buying firewood. Germany eventually regained control of its economy when it introduced the Rentenmark into circulation in 1923, and then the Reichmark in 1924.

The Great Depression

1929-1933
The Great Crash
1934-1939
Recovery and Recession

 

After the decadence of the Roaring Twenties, the 1930s saw the biggest economic slump of all time. The stock market crashed on 29 October 1929, and optimism and decadent living tumbled along with the figures. The GDP fell from $103.6bn in 1929, to $66bn in 1934 and the subsequent years of recovery were the most dramatic in US history.

1907 bankers’ panic

1907
Otto Heinze and his brother Augustus Heinze bought shares of United Copper.

 

The stock market was already cautious over the tight money supply, but the US was thrown into a depression after the stock market fell nearly 50 percent from its peak in 1906. The Heinze brothers thought they could influence market shares but ended up bankrupting lenders that provided the financing to buy the stock. A chain reaction left nine institutions bankrupt. By February 1908, the panic was over and the government created the Federal Reserve system, to prevent banks from exercising too much control over the economy.